11-6-08

[Mr. IWS]

Jim Feist

(57) TAMPA BAY LIGHTNING
(58) NEW YORK RANGERS
Take "Under"
The NY Rangers are off to a fast start this season at 10-4-1. They have accomplished this with a very stingy defense led by Henrik Lundqvist between the pipes. Lundqvist is 8-3 this yea with a 2.00 goals against average and a save percentage of .926. Steve Valiquette has done well when he's given Lundqvist a night off, going 2-1 with a 2.59 gaa and .905 save percentage. The Rangers have the second best penalty killing unit in the league at 91.5%). Tampa Bay (4-3-3) has 11 points on the season and currently resides third in the Eastern Conference Southeast divsion. Tampa hasn't scored many goals this year, just 22 in 10 games (2.20 avg). Good thing for the Lightning is that they haven't given up many goals either, just 24. Vincent Lecavalier leads the Lightning with nine points and six goals. Mike Smith has been excellent in goal, allowing just 2.07 gaa with a very nice .941 save percentage. Neither of these teams do very well on the power play, as the Rangers are 27th in the league (13.7%) and Tampa Bay is 28th (13.6%). Lots of defense and goaltending in this game, but not a lot of scoring. Look for this game to fly under the total on Thursday.

[Mr. IWS]

Dave Cokin

(65) NASHVILLE PREDATORS
(66) CALGARY FLAMES
Take "(65) NASHVILLE PREDATORS"
Nashville was a home loser to Calgary in their earlier hookup, despite the fact the Predators controlled play for much of the contest. Now they get a chance to get a little revenge for that loss and they're catching a pretty good price in the process. The Flames are very streaky and have now dropped their last two outings, so the timing is good. I'll grab the road dog odds with the Predators.

[Mr. IWS]

Iron Horse 10* Thursday GOY is on TCU

[Mr. IWS]

Patron
Frank Patron
7500 Unit Lock
Tcu Horned Frogs -1.5

[Mr. IWS]

steve budin
25 dime

tcu

[Mr. IWS]

Sebastian:

100* Vegas Steam Play is TCU/Utah UNDER 43

[Mr. IWS]

Kelso

10 Browns
5 Maryland

[Mr. IWS]

JOHN RYAN
COLLEGE FOOTBALL

5* maryland
____________

[Mr. IWS]

JOHN RYAN

Ai Simulator 5* graded play on TCU - AiS shows an 82% probability that TCU will win this game by 3 or more points. The biggest factor in this game will be the running games. Specifically, the lack of one for Utah and very strong one for TCU. TCU is 29-13 ATS (+14.7 Units) when they allow 50 to 100 rushing yards since 1992. TCU will look to pound the running game between the tackles against a under sized LB corp. RB Joseph Turner is a powerful 226-pounder who leads the team in rushing and can churn out tough yards between the tackles. Then you add the option package that QB Dalton executes very well with correct and decisive reads. Utah's DT Newman weighs just 265 pounds and NT Shelby 245. These two will have to face a center in Schleueter who weighs 295, RG Montgomery who weighs 310 and LG Doley who checks in at 310. Moreover, Utah has two quick and athletic defensive ends, but they are nearly completely taken out of the game once the middle of the field is exposed by the TCU running attack. Keep track of running and passing plays for TCU. If they attain a better than 2 to 1 margin favoring run then they will be dominating the LOS and also TOp and most importantly the scoreboard. TCU is in a series of strong roles and I will not a few of them. TCU is 6-0 ATS (+6.0 Units) after leading their last 2 games by 14+ points at the half over the last 3 seasons; 9-0 ATS (+9.0 Units) after scoring 20 points or more in the first half in 2 straight games over the last 3 seasons; 8-1 ATS (+6.9 Units) after scoring 24 points or more in the first half last game over the last 3 seasons; 10-2 ATS (+7.8 Units) after outgaining opp by 125 or more total yards in 2 consecutive games over the last 3 seasons; 8-1 ATS (+6.9 Units) after playing 3 straight conference games over the last 3 seasons; 7-0 ATS (+7.0 Units) after having won 6 or 7 out of their last 8 games over the last 3 seasons; 9-0 ATS (+9.0 Units) off 2 straight wins against conference rivals over the last 3 seasons.

[Mr. IWS]

LENNY STEVENS
10 maryland
pass nfl and nba

[Mr. IWS]

Seabass
50 TCU
50 V Tech
30 DEN/CLE over

[Mr. IWS]

Andre Gomes

Pick: 3 units (Regular Play) on 703/704 Over 182 @1.97 on Pinnacle

Houston / Portland

[Mr. IWS]

JOHN RYAN

Ai Simulator 5* graded play OVER VA Tech/Maryland - AiS shows a 79% probability that 43 or more points will be scored in this game. Maryland in a series of strong roles under HC Friedgen noting they are 17-8 ATS (+8.2 Units) after having won 3 out of their last 4 games; 9-2 ATS (+6.8 Units) in road games after a 2 game home stand. Maryland is ranked 23rd entering this road tilt at V-tech. Maryland will be defending their top ranked position in the ACC Atlantic division. Both teams are coming off BYE weeks and that no doubt helps Maryland more than V-tech. ACC leading and 26th best nationally, Da'Rel Scott is on the mend after injuring his shoulder September 13th against California. he has obviously played injured all along and has been a strong leader and inspiration to this team. Certain to hear announcers proclaiming that as well tonight. V-tech is in worse shape though having both QB banged up significantly. Virginia Tech lost starter Tyrod Taylor and backup Sean Glennon in a 30-20 loss to then-No. 24 Florida State on Oct. 25, and it’s uncertain if either one will be able to play this week. This play is based on both of them being available. Take the OVER and consider an optional 2* Parlay with Maryland and the OVER. Ai Simulator 3* graded play on Maryland - AiS shows a 72% probability that Maryland will lose this game by 3 or fewer points. AiS also shows an 86% probability that Maryland will score 28 or more points. Note that this augments the TOTAL play and that Maryland is a perfect 6-0 ATS (+6.0 Units) when they score 28 or more points over the last 2 seasons. Va Tech is just 9-34 ATS (-28.4 Units) when they allow 28 or more points since 1992

[Mr. IWS]

Vegas Sports Experts

10* Take Cleveland (-3) over Denver (NFL Power Play)
8:15 PM EST

Denver
• 1-7 ATS in all games this season
• 2-9 ATS in road games over the last 2 seasons
• 0-12 ATS when the total posted is between 42.5 and 49 points
• 3-13 ATS when playing with 6 days or less of rest



10* Take TCU (-2) over Utah (NCAA Power Play)
8:00 PM EST

TCU
• 9-0 ATS coming off two or more conference wins the last 3 seasons
• 7-1 ATS as a favorite this season
• 14-3 ATS when playing in the 2nd half of the season the last 3 years



10* Take Maryland (+3) over Virginia Tech (NCAA Power Play)
7:45 PM EST

Virginia Tech
• 5-9 ATS as a home favorite over the last 3 seasons
• 0-2 ATS coming off a two game road trip
• 0-4 SU & ATS coming off a bye week

[Mr. IWS]

LVTR

Maryland +3


Utah +2

Orlando -5


Free Play: Under in Orlando-Phily

[Mr. IWS]

Lenny D's ACC Game of the YEAR (80% w/ GOY's)
LENNY WINS AGAIN! This former linesmaker NAILED his MAC GOM (Akron 47-30) last night and is now on a PHENOMENAL 28-13 (68%) CFB Run! After going 3-1 on Sat (incl. Big 10 GOY on Wisky), Lenny has started this week w/ BACK-TO-BACK DOUBLE-DIGIT WINNERS (had Buffalo on Tues). Get his #1 ACC GOY now!
Maryland is our ACC Game of the Year.

[Mr. IWS]

ATS Lock Club
4 TCU -1.5
3 Orlando Magic - 4.5

ATS Financial Package
3 Under 46 Den/Cle
3 Houston Rockets -4.5

[Mr. IWS]

Kelso


25* tcu

[Mr. IWS]

Greg Shaker
2* - Maryland +3

[Mr. IWS]

iceman 5* atlanta

[Mr. IWS]

DOC NHL


4 Unit Play.. #54 Take Over 5 ½ in New York @ Atlanta (7:05 pm NHL Center Ice) This numbers is too low considering that both clubs have been strong over plays all season long. That is because neither team plays much defense and thus we will not worry about who wins this game and just collect with the over. The Thrashers have went over this number five of their last six contests and the Islanders have went over two of their last three. Play the over and watch your money grow.



Best of Luck – Doc’s Sports

[Mr. IWS]

Kelso Pro BB 11/6
10 units Phil +5

[Mr. IWS]

Brian King


Maryland football is the bastard step child in the D.C Regions legion of College Football fans. You will find Ohio State fans, Penn State fans and of course Wahoos and Hokies, more than you can stand. But Maryland is the school everyone ignores and pushes to the side.

Not tonight. Ralph Friedgen has turned this program around. I am so impressed with Maryland this year. They have hit the bumps in the road but they have performed at other times in an outstanding fashion. And despite that loss to UVA I think they are the best College Football program in the region (VA / MD / DC) in 2008.

They have the ACC's top rusher in Da'Rel Scott who has a question mark over him tonight but word around College Park is he will be on the field tonight looking to help Maryland get by Virginia Tech. The Hokies meanwhile have concerns of their own with Tyrod Taylor and Sean Glennon's status in doubt. Not that going to their third string QB would matter for this abysmal Hokies offense. Beamer has relied on defense and special teams all season but tonight he faces a team in Maryland that has its own proud Special Teams unit and a defense that is pretty damn tough (remember that hit on that Cal receiver who threw up on the field...if you have not seen it here it is YouTube - Cal vs. Maryland Ralph)

Maryland also, unlike Tech, has an offense capable of putting points on the board. A key match up tonight will be Heyward-Bey versus the Tech secondary. If Chris Turner can get the ball to Heyward-Bey and avoid any costly mistakes Maryland will have a fairly easy time tonight.

Prior to dropping three in a row to Tech Maryland had won six straight in the series. Look for the Terps to get the big win tonight and take another step towards an ACC Title shot in a fiercely fought contest that the Terps should at least be able to stay inside the number. In their five games against unranked opponents this year the Terps have only been outscored 110-106. No way a deficient Tech team that is a dismal 0-4 SU and ATS after a bye week runs away with this. Look for Maryland to keep it close with a chance to win it in the fourth quarter. Maryland plus the points is the play tonight.





MARYLAND (+3) 25 Dimes







One of the first lessons I learned was to ride a streak until it ends. I do not always follow this rule. Tonight I will. Thursday Night home dog has been solid all year and we find Utah in that spot tonight. This is a huge game for the school with a planned black out and a capacity crowd in what may be some unpleasant weather conditions.

TCU is a Texas team not acclimated to the environment they find themselves playing in tonight with cold temps and a possibility of snow. This is the Utes house and they find themselves playing for a lot in this game tonight including a continued run at a perfect season and a potential January bowl date. The loser meanwhile will not be playing in January.

TCU is on their second straight road game and traveling on a short week to altitude. I am giving Utah the clear advantage here coming off a short week as well but playing at home off a mistake prone game last week against New Mexico. The Utes had nine penalties a muffed punt and a late interception while threatening in their 13-10 win. We catch them here at a great price off that uninspired effort last week while TCU has been steamrolling opponents on their way to rattling off 5 straight by an average of 28.4 ppg.

Thing is Utah has won nine straight at home, they are averaging 39 ppg, they have a 15-3 SU mark in November including 5-3 on Thursdays. All this and they hold a 4-1 SU advantage over TCU with an average score of 24-15. Meanwhile TCU is just 2-5 SU on Thursdays and their defense will be facing a very stiff challenge from veteran signal caller Brian Johnson and a Utah rushing game that has rushed for 520 yards over their last two games. We will see tonight if TCU is the real deal and their third ranked scoring defense and leading run defense can slow this Utah stampede. The Utes faithful will be out in force and the team that makes less mistakes wins. With Sophomore Andy Dalton at QB I see TCU losing the turnover battle.

Last year Andy Dalton struggled against Utah in a 27-20 Utes victory. He threw four picks in that game and now travels as a sophomore to Utah where the welcome will be anything but friendly. Utah has won four of the five meetings with TCU and everyone is jumping on this TCU bandwagon. Problem is those people are a week late to that party. Utah tonight in a thriller that will be closer than it should. Take Utah and the points to get it done tonight.

UTAH (+1') 25 Dimes

[Mr. IWS]

Root tonite

Chairman- Maryland
Millionaire- Utah

[Mr. IWS]

Rocketman's Hockey

5* St Louis
4* Col

[Mr. IWS]

Bob Balfe

NFL Football
Cleveland -3 over Denver
Both teams are playing on a short week, but this will hurt Denver more due to the Travel and spending their nights in a hotel. Cleveland made the switch to Brady Quinn who is perfectly capable of running this offense. Denver has some running back issues and they have a rookie fullback. I do not see the Broncos running to much on Cleveland tonight. If you make a team unbalanced you can go for interceptions and really put them away. We all saw what Cleveland did on MNF to the Giants. This team is perfectly capable of winning big games. Also, Cleveland knows that another loss with all but crush their chance at a playoff spot. Look for Cleveland to have a good offensive game against a very bad Broncos defense. Take the Browns.

College Football
Maryland/Vtech Under 41.5
Maryland is the true definition of hot and cold. You never know what team you are going to get. Virginia Tech usually always plays good home defense and should slow up the Terps Da'Rel Scott. Scott is a great running back, but his shoulder has been slowing him down and I don't see him putting up a lot of yards tonight. When Tech is on offense they will be slowed by both QB's having Ankle injuries. We all are so used to Beamer Ball and VTech getting special teams TD's however it seems like this team is just not as good as they were in years pasts. Both teams should step it up on defense keep this low scoring. Take the Under.

Utah +1.5 over TCU
Both of these teams are outstanding and credit has to be given to TCU's defense. TCU has not allowed more than 14 pt's in any game except for their loss vs Oklahoma. Utah's defense is not far behind and I do like Brian Johnson their QB in a big game like this. Both teams can run the ball well, but yards will be hard to come by tonight. I do give the passing edge slightly to Utah and this home crowd and sub freezing temperatures have to favor the Utes who are used to the cold. Take Utah.

NBA Basketball
Trailblazers +5 over Rockets

[Mr. IWS]

Savannah Sports

NCAA Football
3 Units on Virginia Tech -3

NBA Basketball
3 Units on Orlando -5

[Mr. IWS]

Greg Shaker
2* - Maryland +3

[Mr. IWS]

IndianCowboy

Maryland Terrapins @ Virginia Tech Hokies
3 units Maryland Terrapins +3 (POD)

[Mr. IWS]

Bryan Leonard's Rare 4* TV Game of the Month (Thursday)

TCU at Utah We have said all along that the Horned Frogs are the best team in the Mountain West Conference and Vegas agrees making them a 2 point road favorite at undefeated Utah. The only blemish for TCU was a 35-10 loss at Oklahoma. The Sooners were looking to avenge their last home loss which came in 2005 when this same TCU program beat Oklahoma 17-10 on the road. Even in defeat the Horned Frogs were only outgained 435-314 but a 4-0 turnover disadvantage took them completely out of their game. TCU's most impressive victory this season was a 32-7 beat down of previous unbeaten BYU. They also took care of Stanford 31-14 winning the yardage battle 378-193. The TCU defense has held eight different opponents to their season low yardage, the most of any FBS squad. They also rank as the second best defense in the country right behind USC. They have held 7 of their 10 opponents this season to under 10 points. Simply put this offense is amazing and we can't see the Utes putting many points on the board. Utah is a perfect 9-0 on the season with their most impressive victories being a 31-28 home victory over Oregon State and a 25-23 win at Michigan. They were outgained in the win over the Beavers 405-337 and lowly Toledo also beat Michigan on the road. So despite the lofty ranking and the undefeated record Utah has done nothing to deserve all this credit. Much has been made about Utah beating TCU the last two seasons but this is a far better Horned Frogs team. Head coach Gary Patterson talked about that in his weekly press conference saying that the last time his team faced Utah QB Andy Dalton was a very raw and inexperienced player. Now he is a confident leader who has improved immensely from a season ago. In that game Utah won 27-20 and they had a plus three turnover advantage. Considering that TCU has only turned the ball over 11 times in 10 games we don't see that being a problem in this game. TCU has the better depth which is big at this time of season. Patterson said that every time his team has gotten a big lead this season he has rested his starters and that has helped his team stay relatively injury free. The second string defense played a great deal last week against UNLV and they still held the solid Rebel offense to 14 points and 175 total yards. TCU has allowed more than 14 points once all season, to Oklahoma one of the best offenses in the country. Utah is solid offensively but we can't expect more than 17 points from the host here. Look for the superior defense of the Horned Frogs to be the difference as TCU wins a low scoring physical game. PLAY TCU

[Mr. IWS]

bob akmens

clevland -3
virginia tech -3

ottowa -135
san jose/ st louis under 5.0 +130

[Mr. IWS]

ASA

Pro Football Picks
11/6/2008
7:15:00 PM CLEVELAND BROWNS (-3)
over Denver Broncos
ASA's 3-Star #108 @ Cleveland Browns (-3) over Denver Broncos - 7:15 pm CST

I have been fading Denver as of late and actually had them as my “sell” team in my weekly “NFL – Buy or Sell?” article a few weeks ago. This team is horrible on defense. If that is the case, which it is, you better be able to score a bunch of points or else you are not going to win games. Simple as that. Early in the season it looked like this team was going to be a juggernaut on offense. They ripped of 41, 39 & 34 points in their first three games. Do realize since that, the Broncos have not even broken 20 points? That’s right, in their last five games Denver’s highest point total has been 19. In those five games this once feared offense has averaged 15 PPG. Not good when your defense is bad. Over those same five games the Bronco stop unit has allowed nearly 28 PPG on average. The Broncos have won just one of their last five games which is bad. The worse part it, three of those five games have been at home. It was their time to make some headway and make a run in the poor AFC West. Now they make the long trip to Cleveland for a Thursday night game and this team flat out stinks on the road. They have played just three road games all season and after their win at putrid Oakland to open the season, they have been demolished in their other two road games. That includes a 33-19 loss @ Kansas City who has just one win on the year and that game was it. Their most recent road game was vs. New England a few weeks ago where they were embarrassed 41-7. That was a Patriot team that has average only 18 PPG on the year if you take out that Denver win. It’s a Patriot team that’s highest point total besides that 41-point blasting of the Broncos is just 23 points. That’s how bad Denver’s defense is. They rank 26th or worse in each major defensive category (YPG allowed, passing yards allowed, rushing yards allowed and PPG allowed). Cleveland is making a change at QB on Thursday which many times re-energizes a team. We see that as the case here. Brady Quinn steps under center replacing a struggling Derek Anderson. The last straw was on Sunday when the Browns were driving for the tying (FG) or winning (TD) score against Baltimore. With under 3:00 minutes remaining in the game, Anderson threw an interception near mid-field that was returned for a TD ending the game. This team had been playing much better leading up to their Baltimore loss winning three of their last four games including a 35-14 shellacking of the NY Giants who many consider the best team in the NFL. A huge home game and national TV appearance here for the 3-5 Browns. They face a “defenseless” team that hasn’t been scoring points. It all adds up to an easy win for the home team.

[Mr. IWS]

NCAA Football
110 Virginia Tech -3 +1.03 (2 Unit Play)

NBA
701 Philadelphia +5 -1.04 (2 Unit Play)

NHL
57 Tampa Bay +1.68 (2 Unit Play)

Best of luck to everyone tonight and don't forget to check out tomorrow for Free Play Friday where you can receive all of my plays as well as Stadium Club Sports for free just by signing up for an account which is free to do also.

Oscarxena Sports

[Mr. IWS]

NSA

20* browns
10* dn/clv over

10* mary
10* tcu

10* 76ers
10* blazers