11-8-08

[Mr. IWS]

Matt F@rgo
Louisville Cardinals v/s Pittsburgh Panthers 11/8/2008 12:05:00 pm Predicted Winner: Pittsburgh Panthers
Louisville Cardinals at Pittsburgh Panthers 12:00 PM ET
Pittsburgh Panthers -6 -110

**9** Big East Conference Game of the Year Louisville could not have had a worse loss than the one last week in Syracuse. It was the second straight season that the Orange defeated the Cardinals and while a loss like that can normally fire up a team the following week, it will be the opposite this week against the Panthers. This is not a very good team and its 5-3 record is skewed because of a soft schedule played thus far. The best team it has played thus far is between Connecticut and Kentucky and both of those games resulted in home losses.

The Panthers are coming off a hard fought four-overtime victory over Notre Dame but they are not going to lay down here. That out of conference win was nice but Pittsburgh is more concerned about the Big East Conference right now and sitting a game behind West Virginia means this is a must win to keep pace. The Panthers have two week after this to get ready for their game at Cincinnati so there is no chance for a lookahead, only for a full out effort.

The loss in Syracuse last weekend should have been the fifth straight road loss for the Cardinals dating back to last season. A win in Memphis should never have happened as they were outgained by 182 yards. Louisville has now been outgained in three of its last four games and was outrushed for just the second time this season. That was against a team that cannot rush the ball nor stop the run and it now faces a team that can do both, something it has not seen much of this season.

Pittsburgh is 48th in the nation in rushing offense and 43rd in rushing defense. Those rankings are nothing special but they show balance and that is the key here. The Cardinals allowed 126 rushing yards combined in their first three games but they have given up 121.2 ypg over their last five games and that includes allowing just eight yards against South Florida. Pittsburgh has rushed for at least 138 yards in each of its last five games, putting up 189.4 ypg over that stretch. 9*Pittsburgh Panthers

[Mr. IWS]

vegas-runner | CFB Side Triple-Dime Bet
160 Nebraska 0.0 (-110) Bodog vs 159 Kansas
Analysis: *** NCAAFB 3* POD-CAST PLAY of the WEEK ***

Guys, I wanted to let my Subscribers in on the Pod-Cast Play which I will be passing along this evening, when we do this week's show...
This is a 3* BEST BET and with the "Outfits" already taking a position on Nebraska and "steaming" them as soon as the number was posted...we may see followers push this number to where we can possibly set up a middle, like the last time (KENT ST)...But we will cross that bridge when we get to it...but for know, let's go ahead and make a 3 Unit bet on Nebraska...

[Mr. IWS]

Colin Cowherd (29-17-2 YTD)

California +22 (Projected score USC 33, Cal 21)
Alabama -3.5 (Projected score Bama 37, LSU 27)
Penn St. -7.5 (Projected score Penn St. 36, Iowa 21)
Oklahoma St. +3.5 (Projected score Okie St. 36, Texas Tech 26)

[Mr. IWS]

BOB AKMENS

10* louisville +6 vs pitt

10* minnesota -8 vs michigan

10* rice -9.5 vs army

10* airforce -10 vs colorado st

20* san jose st -7 vs louisiana tech

[Mr. IWS]

FRANK PATRON

30000 UNIT MUST WIN LOCK #25

ALABAMA CRIMSON TIDE -3

This is a blowout. Alabama went to Georgia and was up 31-0 in the first half. Georgia went to LSU and crucified the Tigers. Do not buy into all the Saban hype for the LSU players. Alabama nearly beat this team last year when LSU was great. They will murder them this year. Blowout winner boys. Take the Crimson Tide.

[Mr. IWS]

Law Plays
4% Purdue +10
3% Utah State =35
2% La Tech +7.5
2% UCF +3
2% Colorado State +10
2% Western Kentucky +16.5
2% Vanderbilt +24
1% Purdue +$325

[Mr. IWS]

ASA

College Football Picks
11/8/2008
11:00:00 AM Ohio State Buckeyes (-11)
over NORTHWESTERN WILDCATS
ASA 4-Star #119 Ohio State (-11) over @ Northwestern - 11:00 am CST

Talk about line value. Ohio State is an 11-point favorite in this game when they basically have the same team from a year ago when they were favored by 24 at home. Yes, Ohio State isn’t as good offensively as they were a year ago but the defense is again outstanding. On defense, Northwestern is without standouts defensive end Vince Browne and linebacker Malcolm Arrington, who is out for the season. Both have knee injuries. Offensively the Wildcats are now without running back Omar Conteh after suffering a knee injury in a non-contact drill at Wednesday's practice. Conteh became the starter after Tyrell Sutton suffered a regular-season ending wrist injury against Indiana a few weeks back. The Wildcats will now turn to their 3rd and 4th string backs that have a combined 10 career carries for 20 yards. That makes Northwestern one-dimensional on offense against a Buckeye defense which ranks 7th in the nation in total yards allowed. Ohio State’s stop unit held a potent Penn State offense that averages 459.8 ypg, 41.8 ppg to just 281 total yards and just 13-points two weeks ago. OSU has held 7 of their nine foes this season to 17-points or less with their only really bad showing coming at USC. With a week off you can bet the OSU coaching staff will have the Buckeye’s defense ready to play here against the Wildcats gimmick offense. Last year Ohio State beat Northwestern 58-7 and lead 45-0 at halftime. In fact the last 3 years the Buckeyes have won this series by a combined score of 160-24 which also saw OSU favored by 20+ points in all three games. With a week to put the PSU loss behind them the Buckeyes will be anxious to get back on the football field and pound someone. Northwestern is off a fortunate win over Minnesota as they picked off a pass with just 12 seconds left in the game and returned it for the game winning TD. Statistically, Minnesota outplayed them but that late INT was the difference. NU has not played a very tough schedule and is over-rated by the oddsmakers in our opinion. Northwestern did beat Minnesota and Iowa but those teams are middle of the pack Big 10 teams. The one good team they played was Michigan State and they got beat 20-37. Ohio State on the other hand has faced a much better schedule and just won at Michigan State 45-7. Ohio State is a solid 9-4-1 ATS on the road when coming off a straight up home loss and they have covered 13 of their last 17 away. Northwestern on the other hand is just 4-10 ATS at home when coming off a SU road underdog win and just 1-5 ATS as a double digit dog in that same setting. We have gotten some great reports out of the Ohio State camp this week that it’s been a great two weeks of practice and Tressel has the team really focused for this Saturday’s game. A highly motivated OSU team that is anxious to get back on the field will pound the Wildcats this weekend. Lay the small number with Ohio State.
11/8/2008
1:30:00 PM NEBRASKA CORNHUSKERS (-1)
over Kansas Jayhawks
ASA 4-Star # 160 @Nebraska (-1) over Kansas - 1:30 pm CST

The Huskers have been waiting for this rematch for nearly a year now. KU was clicking on all cylinders during last year’s game and the Huskers were reeling coming into the contest having last four straight games. The Jayhawks put up 76 points on the Huskers and most have called it the worst defensive performance in Nebraska history. It was the highest point total a Nebraska defense has ever allowed. The players and coaches were thoroughly embarrassed after the last which was to be expected. Wide receiver Todd Peterson said he was so distraught that he couldn’t even look his parents in the eye after the loss. Now they get KU in Lincoln where the Jayhawks have not won since 1968! Look for an absolute supreme effort from Husker Nation. While Kansas was one of the best teams in the country last year record wise (12-1), much of that was due to the fact that they benefited from a huge discrepancy in turnovers leading the nation at +21. Many times team “come back to earth” after a season like that. This season they rank just 57th in turnover margin which has been enough to give them two more losses already this year (5-3 record) than they had all of last season. We felt they would be an over rated team this year and they are just that. On the road, “Rock Chalk Jayhawk” has not been impressive this year. They have played just three road games all season a come in at 1-2 SU. Their only win was at anemic Iowa State 35-33. In that game they trailed 20-0 at half to the winless in the Big 12 Cyclones. That close win by Kansas tells us a lot as ISU has been blown out in every other Big 12 game this year. In fact, minus their 2-point loss to Kansas, the Cyclones have lost by an average of 28 PPG in Big 12 play. KU’s other road games were both losses at Oklahoma and South Florida. Before beating a down trodden KSU team last week, this team gave up 108 total points in just two weeks vs. Texas Tech and Oklahoma. Granted those teams are very good on offense, however it showed us some serious kinks in their defensive armor. Nebraska needs this win to be bowl eligible and they have played very well in three of their last four games. Last week’s 62-28 loss to Oklahoma was VERY deceiving as the Huskers turned the ball over three times in their first five offensive PLAYS which got them down 28-0 very quickly. After that they actually played well racking up 418 total yards on the road and getting outgained by just 90 total yards. Before that the Huskers whipped Baylor and Iowa State getting back to back wins. They also took Texas Tech to the wire in Lubbock losing in overtime 37-31 and are the ONLY TEAM to out gain the Red Raiders this season. These two teams have nearly identical numbers as they are within just 6 yards or fewer of each other in offensive yard per game and defensive yards per game. With some huge motivation for Nebraska and great home field advantage (remember KU has not won here since 1968), this is a great play. We’ll take Nebraska at home here.
11/8/2008
2:30:00 PM Virginia Cavaliers (+3.5)
over WAKE FOREST DEMON DEACONS
ASA 3-Star #127 Virginia (+3.5) @ Wake Forest - 2:30 pm CST

We really like the way the Cavs have been playing. Head coach Al Groh has turned this team around after a terrible start and they continue to be extremely under rated by the odds makers. UVA had won 4 straight games straight up (all as an underdog) before finally losing in overtime last week to Miami (FL). The Cavs were actually staring their fifth straight win in the face with a 17-10 and less than 1:00 minute remaining in the game. The Canes scored late to tie the game and then won in overtime when UVA RB Cedric Pearman lost a fumble. A tough way to lose, however Virginia showed no signs of slowing up as they played another solid game vs. Miami but came up just short. While Virginia is playing very well, Wake is headed in the opposite direction. The Demon Deacons have now lost 3 of their last 5 games with their only wins coming against a Clemson team with big time internal problems and an overtime win vs. Duke. Those two wins came by a total of just 8 points. Wake Forest is simply vastly over rated this year. Their offense has struggled big time ranking 101st in total offense, 103rd in rush offense and 101st in scoring offense. Before last week’s 33-30 overtime win over Duke, the Deacs offense had put up 12, 17, 12, 0 & 10 points in their previous 5 games. That won’t cut it against a great improved Virginia defense that has allowed an average of just 13 PPG (in regulation) in their last five games. WF is definitely not playing like they should be favored here and they probably shouldn’t be. Wake head coach Jim Grobe and his team thrive on the underdog role. They are outstanding when getting points. However when they are “supposed to” win, they seem to fall flat with regularity. This team is just 1-3 ATS this year as a favorite and only 12-25 in the role going all the way back to 2000. Virginia, on the other hand, has actually won their last four games out right as a dog and they are 14-7 ATS in that role. Expect Virginia to bounce back after last week’s tough loss and continue to play well. Wake has been out gained in 4 of their last 5 games and continues to falter. UVA showed two weeks ago that the road doesn’t intimidate them as they went to Georgia Tech and won 24-17 out gaining a very good Yellow Jacket team by 137 yards. They do it again on Saturday and get the out right win at Wake Forest.
11/8/2008
7:00:00 PM 3.5,OKLAHOMA STATE COWBOYS
-vs-Texas Tech Red Raiders
ASA 3-Star #131 Oklahoma State (+3.5) @ Texas Tech - 7:00 pm CST

What a great spot to side with a fantastic team as an underdog. The Cowboys have been great all season long and they have shown that they are not fazed on the road in big games. This team beat Missouri on the road and their only loss was @ Texas 28-24. As good as OSU is, Texas Tech will have an awfully hard time focusing on this opponent after last week’s thriller. Most in Lubbock tabbed it as the biggest game EVER for Tech and they had to score on a 28-yard TD pass with just one second left to get the win. The fans and players were whipped into a frenzy over their win against the #1 ranked in-state big boy Longhorns. A tough task to turn around and play that well again the following Saturday. We don’t think they’ll do it.

OSU has an offense that is extremely tough to defend. They run the ball as well as anyone in the nation at 273 yards per game. QB Zac Robinson is no slouch himself completing 69% of his passes and he has thrown 20 TD passes on the year. They have put up 50 or more points in five games this year so one thing we know, they will be able to score with Tech in this one. The Raiders will not run away and hide here. And in fact, if Oklahoma State can take advantage of a Tech letdown and get a lead here, they will be able to lean heavily in their dominant running game and eat clock. That keeps Tech’s offense off the field which is what the Cowboys are looking to do here. Okie State definitely has that ability as they ripped apart the Raider defense last year for 366 yards rushing in their 49-45 win.

The OSU defense has also improved greatly as the year has gone on. They have played very well in their big games holding Chase Daniel and Missouri to just 23 points in Columbia and Colt McCoy and Texas to only 28 points in Texas. Those were both season lows for each of those offensive juggernauts. If they do the same here, which we believe they can, they will win this game because we do not see Tech slowing down the Cowboy offense.

Oklahoma State has covered EVERY game this year and 10 of their last 11. The roll continues and Okie State wins this game out right and takes Tech out of the National Championship race.

[Mr. IWS]

Teddy Covers
T.Covers 20 Southern Miss

[Mr. IWS]

DOC

4 Unit Play. #25 Take Wisconsin Badgers -9 ½ over Indiana Hoosiers (Saturday 12:00 pm Big 10 Network) Except for last week, I have made good money going against the Badgers in 2008. Now it seems like the right opportunity to side with Bucky. They are a veteran team that now finds themselves in a soft portion of their schedule and will be favored in all of them. They need to win all of them to keep their hopes alive. The offensive line is once again in tact and they will provide holes for Hill and Clay. The Hoosier defense is beaten up and this will be their ninth game in nine weeks. Injuries have also taken their toll on IU and unlike Wisconsin they have not returned into the line-up. The Hoosiers bowl hopes are gone and look for a small crowd, as the Badgers are finally back on track for success. Wisconsin 34, Indiana 14.



4 Unit Play. #28 Take Iowa Hawkeyes +7 ½ over Penn State Nittany Lions (Saturday 3:30 pm ABC) Big Three Game. This Hawkeye team continues to improve each week and despite a tough loss last week to Illinois their defense stepped up and controlled the rushing attack. Penn State is coming off a bye and a win here would almost guarantee a spot in the national championship; however, winning will not be as easy as it sounds.. The Hawks defense will give this Lion offense problems and Iowa has one of the top running backs in the country in Shonn Greene. The big key for Iowa will be QB Stanzi and if he can avoid major mistakes expect this to be a low scoring game. With that in minds and rain mix a possibility the points look very attractive. In fact I will call the upset as the homer plays their best game of the year. Iowa 20, Penn State 17.



5 Unit Play. #35 Take Ohio State Buckeyes -11 over Northwestern Wildcats (Saturday 12:00 pm ESPN 2) Big Three Game. The Cats pulled a big upset last week but reality will set back in on Saturday. A win last week kept the line in order and this is very manageable for a strong Ohio State team. The Buckeyes are coming off of a bye and look for them to play power football in the remaining three games. True Ohio State has been inconsistent all year and did not score an offensive touchdown against Purdue, which still amazes me. But like it or not, the talent gap between these two is huge and Ohio State lead 45-0 at halftime in their meeting last year. Injuries have hit the Cats hard this season and sneaking up on teams like they did last week will not work here. Ryan Field is not much of a home field advantage and with 25,000 Ohioans expected to make the trip, the may outnumber the home faithful. The Buckeyes defense will dominate and the offense will show their stuff. Ohio State 42, Northwestern 10.



4 Unit Play. #54 Take Western Michigan Broncos +7 over Illinois Fightin Illini (Saturday 12:00 pm Big 10 Network) The Illini find themselves in a real flat spot, as they step outside the conference after beating Iowa last week and have Ohio State on deck. This is the type of situation that Big 10 opponents find themselves getting beat. As for the Broncos, they bring one of the best pass offenses in the country. As good as that sounds, they also have one of the worst defense in the country. A big key for their success will be whether or not they can stop QB Juice Williams. The Illinois rushing attack has been suspect which could help them defense the pass. Illinois has struggled to rush the football and that could help the Broncos stay in this game. In what should be a huge scoring affair, the points look attractive and remember this game is played in Detroit, giving the home state team another advantage.. Illinois 35, Western Michigan 31.


4 Unit Play. #58 Take Colorado Buffaloes -10 over Iowa State Cyclones (Saturday 1:30 pm Versus) Big Three Game. This may be Colorado’s last chance to win as they finish with Oklahoma State and Nebraska with both of them on the road. Neither team is playing very well at the moment but Colorado did outgain two of their last three opponents despite failing to cover any of their last three games. Coach Hawkins knows the importance of this home game. If they lose here, recruiting will suffer. They will also have revenge on their minds, as they lead 21-0 in the 2007 meetings, but lost 31-28. The Cyclones have too many problems to make a game of this, as the homer gets the call. Colorado 35, Iowa State 10.


4 Unit Play. #68 Take Tennessee Volunteers -26 over Wyoming Cowboys (Saturday 1:00 pm ESPN Gameplan) Not only a step down in class, but a complete staircase is what separates these two institutions. Granted Coach Fulmer is on the way out; however, his players like playing for him. For a struggling team, playing Wyoming would be the way to get healthy. The Cowboys got a win last week in Laramie, but the celebration will end here. Tennessee has next week off so I see no reason why they will hold back, as a rout looks obvious. Tennessee 42, Wyoming 3.

[Mr. IWS]

vegas-runner | CFB Side Triple-Dime Bet
160 Nebraska 0.0 (-110) Bodog vs 159 Kansas
Analysis: *** NCAAFB 3* POD-CAST PLAY of the WEEK ***

Guys, I wanted to let my Subscribers in on the Pod-Cast Play which I will be passing along this evening, when we do this week's show...
This is a 3* BEST BET and with the "Outfits" already taking a position on Nebraska and "steaming" them as soon as the number was posted...we may see followers push this number to where we can possibly set up a middle, like the last time (KENT ST)...But we will cross that bridge when we get to it...but for know, let's go ahead and make a 3 Unit bet on Nebraska...

[Mr. IWS]

Spylock
all 1 unit
Minny
Penn St.
Duke
Nevada

[Mr. IWS]

Coach Ron Meyer

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Sec And Big 12 Parlay- Lsu And Oklahoma St

[Mr. IWS]

Dave Cokin Tv Parlay Of Year

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Alabama And New Mexico

[Mr. IWS]

Chip Chirimbes

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Double Play Goy Iowa

[Mr. IWS]

Greg Robert GOM: Alabama -3

[Mr. IWS]

Malinski:

6-col St,

5-nc St,

4-oh St, Ark, Gt Under

[Mr. IWS]

Red Dog Sports (Northcoast Community Line)
36-24 (60%) in college FB


3* Okla State at Texas Tech (Sat.)

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Over 69.5

These 2 played a 49-45 (94 points!) game last year as Harrell was 46-67 for 646 yards and 5 TD's with 0 int's. The total in that game was 72. Okla State has played unders in 3 of their last 4 games (which keeps this total down below 70) but have gone over in 17 of their last 24 games.

The OSU Cowboys are led by QB Zack Robinson, who can pass and run. In last year's game there were only 4 punts. I think the line in this game will go up to 70 or more. Look for plenty of points.

Okla State/TT over 69.5 points

[Mr. IWS]

Glen Mcgrew

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Big East GOY- West Virginia

[Mr. IWS]

JOHN RYAN

Ai Simulator 10* graded play OVER Texas Tech/Oklahoma – AiS shows an 87% probability that there will be 70 or more points scored in this game. There is a 94% probability that both teams will score 28 or more points and although that only gets part way to the posted total it does place TT in a strong over role. TT is 7-0 OVER (+7.0 Units) when both teams score 28 or more points over the last 2 seasons. TT also in a series of strong roles noting that they are 14-3 OVER (+10.7 Units) vs. good passing teams with a completion percentage of 58% or better over the last 3 seasons; 10-2 OVER (+7.8 Units) vs. excellent passing teams with a completion percentage of 62% or better over the last 3 seasons; 15-5 OVER (+9.5 Units) versus excellent offensive teams averaging >=6.25 yards/play since 1992. Oklahoma State is 10-2 OVER (+7.8 Units) after having won 3 out of their last 4 games since 1992; 12-3 OVER (+8.7 Units) after having won 4 or 5 out of their last 6 games since 1992; 11-2 OVER (+8.8 Units) after outgaining opposition by 225 or more total yards in their previous game over the last 3 seasons. TT is also 8-1 OVER (+6.9 Units) after 2 straight games where 60 total points or more were scored over the last 3 seasons; 12-3 OVER (+8.7 Units) after 1 or more consecutive wins against the spread over the last 3 seasons. TT HC Leach is also in a strong over role noting he is 8-1 OVER (+6.9 Units) after a dominating performance with 34+ minutes TOP and 24+ First downs; 8-0 OVER (+8.0 Units) after 4 or more consecutive straight up wins. Take the OVER.






JOHN RYAN

Ai Simulator 7* graded play on Baylor - I am not surprised at all with this grading from the AiS showing that Baylor will lose this game by 28 or fewer points. I nailed Baylor last week against Missouri and they pushed Missouri the entire game and Texas will still be feeling the pain fro last week's epic battle in Lubbock. That was a truly bruising game and the wear from it will have an effect on Texas. Texas will certainly win the game, but the Bears will push them. Baylor's running game has improved greatly since the beginning of the year. Last week against Missouri they gained 155 rushing yards on 44 plays and the week before at Nebraska they gained 216 yards on 33 attempts. Baylor is a run dominated team, but the OL has really come into it's own and will be able to control the LOS for a majority of the game. Texas defense is a tired group right now having to play all of the marquee games in recent weeks. They gave up 217 rushing yards to Oklahoma State and a 105 yards to the pass happy bunch from Lubbock. The Texas running game has spurted in recent weeks gaining just 113 versus Oklahoma State and just 71 at Texas Tech. No doubt Texas will want to establish the running game first so that they can protect McCoy and set-up easy play action pass routes. Their play calling will be very conservative looking for long time consuming scoring drives. This style will keep Baylor in the game far longer than if this game was taking place in the first few weeks of the season. They know that they could be NUMBER 1 Sunday night with any sort of win against Baylor. yes, Iowa has a solid chance at home versus Peen State, Oklahoma State could defeat Texas Tech and yes LSU could finally play up to their potential and ruin 'Bama's title hopes. Take Baylor.

[Mr. IWS]

Fairway Jay 20* Big 12 GOY: Baylor Bears

[Mr. IWS]

Stephen Nover
TITLE: SEC Game of the Year
REASON FOR PICK: There's tremendous hype surrounding the coaches, especially Nick Saban returning to his former coaching ground. But this matchup will be won in the trenches - and that's where Saban's Crimson Tide holds a decisive edge.

The Crimson Tide can run the ball better and stop the run better. They've won nine straight with only Mississippi topping 92 yards rushing versus them. Alabama is surrendering an average of just 2.6 yards per rush and 65.6 yards rushing per game.

They are going to load up the box daring LSU to throw. The Tigers need an effective ground game to win. But the Tide, featuring 380-pound nose tackle Terrance Cody, won't allow it.

For LSU to win, redshirt freshman quarterback Jarrett Lee will need to step up. His inexperience, this is just his sixth start, and history in big games doesn't suggest that. LSU was crushed by Florida and Georgia when stepping up in competition.

Lee has just a 12-to-10 touchdown-to-interception ratio. Opponents have returned half of Lee's interceptions for touchdowns. Alabama quarterback John Parker Wilson plays his best in big games. He's the more steadier quarterback.

Wilson has thrown only four interceptions and the Tigers have an SEC-low eight takeaways. The Tide takes the pressure off Wilson, rushing for an average of 202 yards per game.

Emotionally, Alabama is in a revenge situation and wants to prove it is deserving of the No. 1 ranking. The Tide has covered eight of the past 10 times when playing on the road against a team with a winning record.

LSU, by contrast, is 3-9-1 against the spread in its past 13 conference matchups. The Tigers have failed to cover in their past four home contests.

This is a five-unit play for me.

[Mr. IWS]

Scott Rickenbach
TITLE: 9-2 SEASON! #1 SAT. TOP PLAY
REASON FOR PICK: Game #163 – 2* (Top Play) Notre Dame Fighting Irish (+) @ Boston College @ 8 PM ET – The Eagles are struggling badly and their swoon is quite likely to continue here. Boston College has lost their game each of the last two weeks and is now just 2-3 in ACC action. Also, with a 5-3 record on the season, there suddenly is real concern in Chestnut Hill about the Eagles even getting their sixth win to be bowl eligible. Remaining games, after hosting Notre Dame, include two ranked teams and two road games for Boston College. The Eagles have road games at Florida State and Wake Forest and then host Maryland in their season finale. As you can see there is tremendous pressure on the Eagles to get that sixth win this week and pressure is the last thing that QB Chris Crane needs! The Boston College quarterback is struggling badly. They tried to go with a more conservative attack against Clemson last week but that back-fired as they looked very poor offensively against the Tigers. However, if they open up the playbook again Crane is likely to struggle with turnovers. Notre Dame has proven to be a very opportunistic team this season and Crane has 12 interceptions and only 8 touchdowns. More concerning than the overall stats is that Crane threw three interceptions in back to back weeks before the Eagles “limited the playbook” last week. He didn’t throw any picks last week but the Boston College QB averaged just 3 yards per pass attempt and the Eagles weakness at QB is a major concern this week.

Unlike the Eagles, Notre Dame is getting improved play from the quarterback start as the season has gone on. QB Jimmy Clausen has 18 touchdowns against 9 interceptions on the season but what has been especially impressive is that he’s got 12 touchdowns against just 3 interceptions in the last five weeks. The Fighting Irish are coming off of a tough overtime loss versus Pittsburgh as it was a game that Notre Dame never trailed in during regulation. However, there is no concern about an inability to bounce back here because the Irish certainly won’t be flat for this game. The Eagles and the Irish are the only two big Catholic schools playing college football as a major program. As a result, this series carries extra meaning and the Irish are determined to win at Chestnut Hill for the first time since 1998. The series actually ends after next season’s game and that game will be at Notre Dame so the Fighting Irish know that it’s now or “who knows when” in terms of coming up with another win at Chestnut Hill. The Irish would love nothing more than to take down the Eagles in their own stadium and they will do just that.

Not only does Notre Dame have a big edge at quarterback, we also feel that Boston College’s indefinite suspension of their kicker Billy Bennett is very significant because the punter will be handling kickoff duties this week and, also, the Eagles missed two field goals in last week’s game versus Clemson. Taking a look at the game, Boston College got down big 17-0 and only got back in the game because of a blocked punt and thanks to some interceptions. In other words, that had a chance to be a home blowout loss and it shows you just how susceptible the Eagles are right now. No longer having Matt Ryan at quarterback is a huge difference and after dominating the Irish in South Bend last season, it will be payback for Notre Dame this time around. This Eagles team is simply not what anywhere close to the team that the Irish played last season and Boston College’s defense was supposed to be it’s strength this season but they’ve allowed 31.5 points per game the last four weeks. Don’t be fooled by their full season stats as that included some very weak offenses. The Eagles defense is struggling and they’re very shaky at quarterback. The Irish will take advantage and win this “statement” game on national TV as they are in much better position, unlike Boston College, to secure their sixth win for bowl eligibility. Play Notre Dame plus the points as a Top Play selection.

[Mr. IWS]

NORTHCOAST BIG DOG PLAYS-west ky,purdue,west michigan,san diego st.,texas a.m.,marshall,washington,california,utep // big 10-michigan // big 12-texas tech // pac 10-ucla // wac-unlv // usa-cent flor. //

[Mr. IWS]

Chris Jordan

Saturday Winner ...
Analysis by 10 a.m. eastern

BLANK CHECK ALABAMA - I see the line on this game is -3 and -3-1/2 everywhere. I want you to buy the 1/2-point down and lay only -3 points. This is extremely important with a game like this, as we will not get beat by the hook in the event of a 3-point game

1,000? MINNESOTA -

[Mr. IWS]

Wizard of Odds Guaranteed Selections
Date: Saturday, November 08, 2008
$35.00 Guaranteed: TWO WORDS...LATE STEAM!!! That is what I have for you today! This is so BIG it can only be rated as my COLLEGE FOOTBALL LATE STEAM PLAY OF THE YEAR! and you can get this GUARANTEED WINNER for just $35 and you will pay only after you WIN! We are currently on a 81-36 run with all selections and we are 29-14 in College Football the this year! WE ARE ON FIRE!!! GET THIS WINNER!! 11/8/2008

COLLEGE FOOTBALL LATE STEAM PLAY OF THE YEAR
133 Florida -23.5 8:00 EST

[Mr. IWS]

Kelso's 100 unit play for Saturday.

Saturday, November 08, 2008
Houston by 35 points
100Houston (-16) over Tulane
8:00 PM -- John O Quinn Field at Robertson Stadium
Houston by 35 Points
TV: CBSC Comments: Houston (4-4) is catching Tulane (2-6) at just the right time for a blowout win. Tulane has had more injuries in the last 3-4 weeks than any 10 teams in college football and it has really impacted what was once a high-powered offense. The Green Way have been able to muster just 27 points in it last two games and is now facing a Houston team that can run it up. Houston also has to be in a bounce-back mode after a 37-23 loss at Marshall and comes into this game off a bye week. Meantime, Tulane had to play at LSU last week and lost 35-10 in a game in which the Tigers called off the big dogs in an act of mercy. It also is of note this is homecoming at Houston and the Cougars love to win these games. My figures say it will never be close.
Clear. Winds blowing from the Northwest at 5-10 m.p.h. Game-time temperature: Around 70.

[Mr. IWS]

Iron Horse 10* College Blowout of the Year is Oregon St

[Mr. IWS]

ProCappersNetwork


Here are three premium plays off of my large college card for today:

128 Wake Forest -3 1/2 Even (3 Unit Play)

156 Clemson/Florida State Under 44 -1.09 (3 Unit Play)

202 Florida Atlantic -22 1/2 Even (3 Unit Play)

In addition to the above three plays I have seven more 3*'s, five 4*'s and one 5 * selection which is my first five star selection since October 25th where I used Oklahoma as a 17 1/2 point favorite and won 58-35. For those interested you can pick up this sixteen play card right now by going to procappersnetwork and purchasing a seven day college football pass for just $25. For only $10 more you can also get all of tomorrow's NFL as well and I will even throw in my NBA & NHL plays for that period as well. Sign up today and start winning with me.

Oscarxena Sports

[Mr. IWS]

Indian Cowboy

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

Colorado St +10
Louisville +6.5
Kentucky +12 POD

[Mr. IWS]

Bill Bravenec

Week 11 College Football Picks
November 6th, 2008
Saturday, November 8

Air Force - 10 vs. Colorado State

This pick is based on Air Force’s better defense and a mismatch between Air Force’s rushing offense and Colorado State’s rushing defense. Air Force’s defense allows 298 yards (#22) and 17.3 points (#17) per game, while Colorado State’s defense allows 409 yards (#99) and 32.7 points (#106) per game. Air Force rushes for 274 yards (#4) per game and 4.3 yards per carry, and Colorado State’s defense allows 181 rushing yards (#95) per game and 5.3 yards per carry. Air Force should be able to run all day. Colorado State’s strength is their passing game (#30), but Air Force is #6 against the pass, allowing only 158 passing yards per game and 5.9 yards per pass attempt.

Minnesota - 8 vs. Michigan

This pick is based on Minnesota’s better defense and a mismatch between Minnesota’s passing offense and Michigan’s passing defense. Minnesota’s defense allows 363 yards (#65) but only 17.9 points (#20) per game, while Michigan’s defense allows 394 yards (#91) and 30.9 points (#97) per game. Minnesota passes for 240 yards (#36) per game and 7.3 yards per attempt, and Michigan’s defense allows 253 passing yards (#102) per game and 7.5 yards per pass attempt. Minnesota has a +15 turnover margin and Michigan has a -9 turnover margin.

New Mexico - 3 1/2 at UNLV

This pick is based on New Mexico’s better defense and a mismatch between New Mexico’s rushing offense and UNLV’s rushing defense. New Mexico’s defense allows 334 yards (#42) and 22.6 points (#49) per game, while UNLV’s defense allows 437 yards (#108) and 35.0 points (#110) per game. New Mexico rushes for 212 yards (#15) per game and 5.4 yards per carry, and UNLV’s defense allows 232 rushing yards (#116) per game and 5.2 yards per carry. Like Air Force, New Mexico should be able to run the ball at will. UNLV’s QB Omar Clayton, who is also the team’s 2nd leading rusher, is out with an injury so they will play sophomore Mike Clausen, who is only 11-of-21 for 110 yards with 0 TD’s and 0 INT’s. Clausen does have 2 rushing TDs but only has -6 rushing yards in 17 attempts.

[Mr. IWS]

kelsos


15 UnitsOregon State/UCLA Points
6:07 PM -- Rose Bowl
Oregon State by 17-21
TV: FSN Comments: For openers Oregon State is a dramatically superior football team and has so much more quickness and speed that this game could end up being a blowout. Oregon State (5-3) is young and somewhat inexperienced but one would never know it by watching the Beavers play. They have an explosive offense and a lockdown defense and it must be noted that two of its three losses this season came at Penn State (9-0) 45-14 and at Utah (10-0), 31-28. The figures say there is no way UCLA can keep it close.



5 UnitsOhio State (-11) over Northwestern
12:00 PM -- Ryan Field
Ohio State by 17-20
TV: ESPN2 Comments: It may well turn out to be a snowing day in Evanston but I don’t think it will have much impact on Ohio State, a 7-2 team coming off a bye week and a 13-6 loss to Penn State. Count on the Buckeyes being in a comeback mode and dominating a Northwestern (7-2) team that has injuries to several key people on offense. Of note is the fact OSU has won the last three games 56-7, 54-10 and 48-7.
Mostly cloudy with a 50-percent chance of rain. Winds blowing from the West at 15-25 m.p.h. Game-time temperature: Around 40.



4 UnitsArkansas/So Carolina Points
1:00 PM -- Williams-Brice Stadium
South Carolina by 3-4
TV: Pay Per View Comments: Arkansas (4-5) is one of the most improved teams in college football and stands a very impressive 2-2 in its last 4 games, with the two wins coming over Auburn and previously unbeaten Tulsa and the losses coming by 2 points to Mississippi and by 1 point to Kentucky. The charts say the Razorbacks are ready to fire their best shot and that should keep them in this one all the way. South Carolina (6-3) has a decent defense but is an unimpressive football team.
Partly cloudy. Winds blowing from the West at 5-10 m.p.h. Game-time temperature: Around 75.



3 UnitsOklahoma State/Texas Tech Points
8:00 PM -- Jones AT&T Stadium
Oklahoma State by 3-4
TV: ABC Comments: Texas Tech (9-0) is in a very tough spot in this Big 12 showdown. The Red Raiders come into this off a very draining last-second 39-33 win over previous number one ranked and undefeated Texas, and there is no way they can be ready to play at the 100% level. Oklahoma State (8-1) is every bit as good as Texas and is even quicker and with a betting running game. The only loss OSU has had this season was a 28-24 decision in Austin to Texas and my figures say they pull he ambush in Lubbock and get the outright win.
Clear. Winds blowing from the Southwest at 5-10 m.p.h. Game-time temperature: Around 65.

[Mr. IWS]

Dominic Brando's Teaser Club (won last week)

Dominic Brando Sports 2008-09 NCAA/NFL Football Records Grid:
NFL/NCAA Teaser Club 7-1-0 for +630.00 Units (Special 150 Units 1-0, Top 100 Units 6-1, Reg 50 Units 0-0)

Dominic Brando's NFL/NCAA Teaser Club Release for Saturday November 8th, 2008:
NCAA Top 100 Unit Golden Star Lock 3 Team 10 Point Teaser Isolation:
1) #119 OHIO STATE BUCKEYES PICK over Northwestern Wildcats
2) #148 RICE OWLS PICK over Army Black Knights
3) #161 PENN STATE NITTANY LIONS +2.5 over Iowa Hawkeyes

[Mr. IWS]

Northcoast

4 -Florida
3- W. Virginia
3 -Wisconsin
2- W. Michigan
2 -Ohio State
2- Arizona

[Mr. IWS]

Steven Budin-CEO

SATURDAY'S PICK
25 DIME PLAY



NORTH CAROLINA

[Mr. IWS]

Bob Balfe


College Football
Iowa +7.5 over Penn State
Iowa is playing good football and they have a great running back in Shonn Greene who should be able to move the ball well controlling the clock for the Hawkeyes. Penn State came out of the gates early this season scoring a ton of points this season, but their first true test came against Ohio State in which they could not move the ball at all and only won thanks to a late turnover by the Buckeyes. This game should be a defensive struggle. This is too many points for Penn State to be laying on the road in a spot like this. Take Iowa.

North Carolina -4 over Georgia Tech
UNC has been playing great football and had an extra week off to get healthy to prepare for this game. GTech on the other hand played in a real tough game last week against Florida State and they will be without a few key starters. UNC has the athletes to defend the triple option. If UNC can stop the run the Yellow Jacket passing game should struggle tremendously. Look for UNC To get a huge home win.

Nebraska -1 over Kansas
Kansas has not won in Lincoln since 1968 and the Nebraska players will not forget the 76-39 beat down they received last year on the road at Kansas. For some reason the Jayhawks just do not show up to play in Lincoln. Nebraska is not to far behind Kansas statistically and should get a good home effort today. The public is all over Kansas today. Take Nebraska at home.

South Carolina -13 over Arkansas
Arkansas has gotten the better of South Carolina the last two seasons thanks too a great rushing attack that punished the Gamecocks. The problem for Arkansas is they throw the ball more now and the guys that did all the damage running the football are now in the NFL. South Carolina plays great defense and there is the double revenge factor going today. Arkansas defense is horrible which should allow the Steve Spurrier team to put up a ton of points. This spread is this high for a reason. Take South Carolina.

NBA Basketball
Pacers -6.5 over Nets

[Mr. IWS]

Special K

Super K Ohio State

[Mr. IWS]

Feist
5* West Mich
4* Nebr.
IC Mizz
Plat Louievill
Pla SJst
PB Iowa
PB GOY Az

[Mr. IWS]

LAS VEGAS TECH REPORT (LVTR)


Play: DALLAS / SAN JOSE OVER 5.5 (NHL)

This has been easy money for our clients. Dallas has been consistenly going over the 5.5 mark. More of the same today.

LAS VEGAS TECH REPORT (LVTR): OKLAHOMA STATE vs TEXAS TECH


Play: OKLAHOMA STATE +3.5

Last week was an exciting game for T-Tech and a highly emotional one beating number one Texas. Look for the letdown the following week. We have the dog with the better rushing team which is crucial in a close match-up. Oklahoma State lost by 4 points to Texas so this in a way is their version of a rematch. Not only can they beat the team that beat Texas but knock off a conference opponent out of a potential BCS championship game. We have a key Vegas number at 3.5/ Take the dog to bark today.

LAS VEGAS TECH REPORT (LVTR): ALABAMA vs LSU


Play: ALABAMA -3 ( WE REALLY WANT YOU TO TAKE THE HOOK HERE OFF THE 3.5)

We are sure LSU fans would love to take Saban's head off for the diss and him leaving them years ago, but it works both ways as we are sure he'd love to run that score up. We feel confident that the Tide Rolls today against an out of sync LSU team but they have been known to let up at times which is why we want the 3 line as insurance.

[Mr. IWS]

ATS Lock Club
7 W. Virginia -6.5 7:00
6 Louisianna Laffeyette -9.5 7:00
6 Pittsburgh -6 12:00
6 North Carolina -3.5 12:00
2 round robin parlay (above 4)
5 Notre Dame +3.5 8:00
4 Cavaliers -1.5

ATS Financial Package
4 Arkansas +13 1:00
4 Iowa +8 3:30
4 Rice -9.5 3:00
4 Pacers -6.5

[Mr. IWS]

Dominic Brando Sports 2008-09 NCAA/NFL Football Records Grid:
NFL/NCAA Teaser Club 7-1-0 for +630.00 Units (Special 150 Units 1-0, Top 100 Units 6-1, Reg 50 Units 0-0)

Dominic Brando's NFL/NCAA Teaser Club Release for Saturday November 8th, 2008:
NCAA Top 100 Unit Golden Star Lock 3 Team 10 Point Teaser Isolation:
1) #119 OHIO STATE BUCKEYES PICK over Northwestern Wildcats
2) #148 RICE OWLS PICK over Army Black Knights
3) #161 PENN STATE NITTANY LIONS +2.5 over Iowa Hawkeyes

Dominic Brando Sports 2008-09 NCAA/NFL Football Records Grid:
NFL/NCAA Teaser Club 7-1-0 for +630.00 Units (Special 150 Units 1-0, Top 100 Units 6-1, Reg 50 Units 0-0)
NCAA ATS Plays 57-48-5/-25.00 Units (Special 150 Units 4-3, Top 100 Units 48-45-4, Reg 50 Units 5-0)
NCAA Money Lines 16-20/-1.25 Units (Top 100 Units 1-0, Regular 50 Units 9-10, Light 25 Units 6-10)
NFL Regular Season ATS Plays 35-27-0 for +380.00 Units (Special 150 Units 4-2, Top 100 Units 31-25)
NFL Regular Season Money Line Plays 17-20/-25.00 Units (Regular 50 Units 11-11, Light 25 Units 6-9)

Dominic Brando Sports Saturday NCAA College Football High Volume Report:
NCAA Top 100 Unit Golden Star Lock: #179 OREGON STATE BEAVERS -7/-120 over UCLA Bruins
NCAA Top 100 Unit Golden Star Lock: #192 MINNESOTA GOLDEN GOPHERS -7/-120 over Michigan
NCAA Top 100 Unit Golden Star Lock: #132 TEXAS TECH RED RAIDERS -3/-125 over Oklahoma State
NCAA Top 100 Unit Golden Star Lock: #176 HOUSTON COUGARS -15/-120 over Tulane Green Wave
NCAA Top 100 Unit Golden Star Lock: #197 NEW MEXICO LOBOS -4/-125 over UNLV Runnin Rebels

[Mr. IWS]

kelso 3 team parlay LSU BOSTON COLLEGE USC

[Mr. IWS]

northcoast sprts THE GOY-OHIO STATE-11

[Mr. IWS]

LENNY STEVENS
20* BIG 12 GAME OF YEAR OKLA STATE
10 louisville
10 southern cal
10 lsu
Reply With Quote

[Mr. IWS]

nsa

20 Neb-1.5
10 fla st -3.5
10 ala-3
10 mizz over 69.5
10 n dame+3.5
10 n orleans-9.5

[Mr. IWS]

Greg Roberts

5* COLLEGE GAME OF THE MONTH: ALABAMA CRIMSON TIDE -3'

5* - NEBRASKA -1'

3* - OHIO STATE -11

3* - OKLAHOMA ST. +3'

3* - SOUTH CAROLINA -12'

3* - SAN JOSE ST -7

3* - HOUSTON -16'

[Mr. IWS]

Chicago Sports Connection

Ohio St -11 1.5 units

[Mr. IWS]

Hsw 10* On Ohio State

[Mr. IWS]

Seabass
50 Ill/W Mich over
50 6.5 pt tease Iowa & under
50 N Mex
50 Oregon St
100 UNC
100 ARK
100 WVU
200 OK St
200 HOU
300 Bama

100 steam play Ohio st
__________________

[Mr. IWS]

Northcoast
5* Ohio St
4* Wisc
4* Fla St
4* W Virg
4* SMU
3* UCLA
3* Neb
___________

[Mr. IWS]

ASA 7 star ohio st.

[Mr. IWS]

tom stryker
w va

[Mr. IWS]

Animal

Pick title: 3* Missouri -27 1/2
Pick Date: 11/08/2008
Pick description:
Missouri let Baylor sneak in the backdoor at Waco last week after building up a huge lead. That shouldn’t happen in Columbia against a downtrodden K-State team. In their last two games the Wildcats have been out-rushed 553-185. Plus Kansas State is not dependable with the pigskin committing 10 turnovers in their last two games. Nothing leads to lopsided wins quicker by the upper echelon of the Big 12 than turnovers by inferior teams. Last year the Wildcats hosted Missouri and allowed 49 points in a 17-point loss at home to the Tigers. Keep in mind in their last home game Missouri blitzed Colorado 58-0. This is the final home game for QB Chase Daniel, tight end Chase Coffman, wide receiver Tommy Saunders and 12 other Tiger seniors. K-State has not had a week off since September 13th and this is their 4th road game in five weeks. They have allowed 52 or more points in 3/5 games recently and lost their only home game against Oklahoma by 23 points. The Tigers already have one home loss this year versus Oklahoma State. But in their other four home games, all wins by 21 or more. With five defeats already and a home win over UL Lafayette in which K-State allowed 335 rushing yards, I really don’t see much fight out of the Wildcats today. The home team has covered 12/18 in the series and the Tigers are 9-4 ATS in their home finale the last 13 years. The Kansas State defense has allowed an average of 546 yards in their last five games. This is a grueling game for a fatigued road team facing a homer that has the killer instinct in their own stadium (11-5-1 last 17 ATS). They are also 10-2-2 ATS in their last 14 as a conference chalk of 15 points or more. Blowout here as K-State has a lame-duck coach in Ron Prince, who was dismissed this week but will stay on to finish the season.

[Mr. IWS]

Akmens Hockey

Washington -125

[Mr. IWS]

Northcoast Totals

3'* Over Ill
3* Over SD ST
3* Under Utah St
2* Over Okl
2* Under S Miss
2* Under La Tech

Small Col
3* W Mich
3* UTEP
3* UL Monroe

[Mr. IWS]

Real Animal

5* is North Carolina -4..

[Mr. IWS]

Stan Sharp

Boston College -3.5 - 110

Triple Dime

[Mr. IWS]

Marco D'Angelo | CFB Side
triple-dime bet128 Wake Forest -3.5 (-110) BetUS vs 127 Virginia
Analysis: PLAY: WAKE FOREST
RATING: TRIPLE DIME PLAY

Ok guys this is one of my favorite scenarios as Wake Forest who had been struggling gets a narrow win in their last game as a 8 point favorite. Now this week they are -3.5 so if they could only beat Duke by 3 how will they be able to beat Virginia who is playing well winning 4 of last 5. Well that just how most people look at games and is why most people lose. I love taking a team that was snake bit losing close games then finally getting what I call an ugly win. Those ugly wins are what propel teams on Winning Streaks. But really if you look deeper Wake Forest has played great defense this year holding Baylor to 13, Florida St to 3, Clemson to 7 and Miami to 16. I look for Wake Forest to score a Big Win today as they make their push to a Bowl Game. Wake Forest Wins this by 10-14 points. WAKE FOREST IS MY 10* COLLEGE LOCK RELEASE.

Marco Rated this Play a 10* PLAY on his Executive Late Phone Service

[Mr. IWS]

Heisman Trophy Club

10 #s each

OH State,
Iowa,
LSU,
Vandy,
USC Under

[Mr. IWS]

vegas runner


PMvegas-runner | CFB Side Triple-Dime Bet
160 Nebraska 0.0 (-110) Bodog vs 159 Kansas
Analysis:
*** NCAAFB 3* POD-CAST PLAY of the WEEK ***







Sat, 11/08/08 - 3:30 PMvegas-runner | CFB MoneyLine Double-Dime Bet
128 Wake Forest (-130) Bodog vs 127 Virginia
Analysis:
*** NCAAFB 2* TEASER PLAY of the DAY ***



INDIANA +17 & WAKE FOREST +3.5 (2*)...Teaser...



*** INDIANA GAME STARTS at 12:00pm est ***






Sat, 11/08/08 - 3:00 PMvegas-runner | CFB Side Double-Dime Bet
147 Army 10.0 (-110) Sportsbetting.com vs 148 Rice
Analysis: ** NCAAFB 2* WAGER **




Sat, 11/08/08 - 3:30 PMvegas-runner | CFB Side Single-Dime Bet
128 Wake Forest -3.0 (-120) Sportsbetting.com vs 127 Virginia
Analysis:
* 1* NCAAFB "Subscribers" BET *

[Mr. IWS]

Northcoast Full Service Line
Billy Coleman 4* Nets/ Pacers Over

[Mr. IWS]

Marc Lawrence | CFB Side
triple-dime bet162 Iowa 8.0 (-110) Bodog vs 161 Penn St.


Analysis: Play On: Iowa

[Mr. IWS]

RAYMOND'S 5* CFB UPSET SPECIAL WINNER!
Pick # 1 Army (9.5)



RON RAYMOND'S 5* PRIVATE PLAYERS BEST BET WINNER
Pick # 1 Calgary Flames /Columbus Blue Jackets Under 5.5 100



Ron Raymond's 5* CFB O/U GAME OF THE WEEK!
Pick # 1 Cincinnati / West Virginia Over 45.5 -115



RON RAYMOND'S 5* NBA BEST BET WINNER!
Pick # 1 Minnesota Timberwolves / Portland Trailblazers Under 191.5 -110

[Mr. IWS]

INDIAN COWBOY SELECTION:

CHICAGO BULLS +1.5

Cleveland opened up at -2 point favorite and the line is slowly beginning to come down. Of course nearly 70% of the public favors Cleveland here and this is despite the fact that Chicago just hammered the Suns at home. Remember, this is a big revenge game for Chicago after losing to Cleveland on the road. Hinrich and Gooden are both listed as questionable in this game. I actually lean on Chicago to get it done at home today, the only thing is, not knowing Hinrich and Gooden\'s status for this game. Remember, since the mid-season trade last year, these two teams are not fond of each other. Regardless of the injuries, I can see the Bulls once again winning this game but of course, one can never count out Cleveland with Lebron. Either way, I can see the Bulls likely winning this game outright at home getting their revenge from an earlier season loss just last week.

[Mr. IWS]

Andre Gomes | NBA Total
dime bet712 POR / 711 MIN Under 192.5 Bookmaker
Analysis: Portland is finally favored on a game this season, after being the dog on their first five games of the season. Today they will face the Wolves at home, who is coming from two wild games. The team suffered 250 points in the last two games and coach randy Wittman questioned the defensive effort of the team:

"Until we're committed defensively, we don't have a chance," he said. "I don't care who we're playing. We don't have a chance. We're not committed right now. We're not committed individually; we're not committed as a team. We get intense and we get after it, then we dig ourselves a hole. It's been that way for five games."

"Some of that is embarrassing," he said. "Individual, one-on-one defense as well as then if a guy breaks down, nobody coming over and helping him. You watched it. What you're seeing and what I'm seeing is blatant. Our main guys that play at the start have to be more committed. We have to be more committed defensively."

But we can't forget the team will play their 3rd game in 4 days and the team played a double overtime against the Spurs and yesterday they were involved in a wild run and gun game at Sacramento. The team will naturally be tired and in these cases of back to back games, normally it's the other team which will dictate the pace of the game.

Well, Portland last season was one of the most powerful defensive teams of the league, especially at home, however that isn't happening this game. But we need to refer that they have faced the Lakers, Phoenix, Utah and Houston, who are teams who always score a lot of points. Portland will finally face a team who can easily be stopped by them. I remember that last season, Portland went 11-5 Under in home games after winning at home in the previous game. Also they have gone 10-2 Under after winning a game at home and it went over!

Today they will face a tired team, who was highly criticized by their own coach due to their poor defense and so, they will try their best to improve on their defense. This is the ideal opportunity for the Blazers to show that they are a good defensive team and I expect the Wolves to have a lot of problems on the offense tonight and not even reaching the 90 points mark. Take the under in here.
===========

710 MIL 5.5 (-110) Bookmaker vs 709 PHO
Analysis: The Suns lost last night at Chicago by 83-100 and today they will play at Milwaukee, which will be their last game on their road trip on the East. Everybody is expecting a bounce back from the team of Arizona, with the public being 92% on Phoenix! Amazing! I say amazing, considering the spot the Suns have on this game and for the fact they are 5,5 points favorites in here.

Well, the team will play their 4th game in 5 days and even though Terry Porter had decided to rest Shaq yesterday, the truth is that Phoenix is still far from their best offensively. It may seem weird for me to say this, considering that before yesterday's game, the Suns were leading the league in %FG and ppg. However, Phoenix is committing a lot of turnovers and terrible decisions on the offense. Looking at this road trip, we saw that they have committed 19 TO against the Nets, 16 TO against the Pacers and yesterday 18 TO against the Bulls. Obviously that when they do 30 or 32 assists on a game, like they did against New Jersey and Indiana, there is no problem, but the team can't do that on a consistent basis and yesterday was a good example of that. The team will need to improve their ball movement tonight and it's in here that the question of their playing their 4th game in 5 days tonight will certainly cause problems.

The Bucks are a team in progress, but they are getting better, as they are 3-0 ATS on their last 3 games and they have players who can adapt well to the style of the Suns. The team lost yesterday at Boston by 89-101, but while the Celtics didn't put a lot of pressure on them, they had the lead. The question is that the Suns won't pressure them like the Celtics did. Michael Redd is day to day, but Ramon Sessions is a player who is on fire right now. The Bucks are a team who is extremely dangerous when they aren't pressured and I predict this game to be an authentic ballgame and where any team may win. So, come to this I have no problems in taking the 5,5 points and bet on the home team. Take Milwaukee in here.


========


706 NOH / 705 MIA Over 191.5 Bookmaker
Analysis: The Hornets are currently on a rare losing streak for them, as they have lost their last two games against the Hawks and the Bobcats, when they were favored by 9 and 7 points. The team has just scored 79 and 89 points in those games and now they will have a back to back game against a team who is coming from a big win. The question in here is to know if the Hornets are currently on an offensive crisis or not. After all, scoring 79 and 89 points doesn't correspond to the offensive quality they have. I don't think so and I think it was just a question of focus. I remember the Hornets scored last night just 7 points during the second quarter, but they scored 28, 26 and 28 points on the other quarters of the game. The best example happened with Chris Paul, who went scoreless until halftime, just to score 20 points during the second half! After Paul regained his focus, the Hornets woke up and fought for the win. David West ended the game with 3-12 FG and he will look to bounce back today. The Hornets won't underrate their opponents, especially Miami who is coming from a big win against the Spurs.

Miami won by 99-83, in a good offensive game, where they shot 47% FG. Already in their previous game they had scored 106 points against the Sixers and that shows how they are confident right now. The Heat allowed just 83 points on their last two games against the Sixers and the Spurs, but will they will able to stop the fired up offense of the Hornets? I don't think so. First of all, the Sixers committed 25 turnovers and yesterday without Tony Parker, the Spurs lost their biggest offensive weapon. The defense of the Heat is being overrated in here, as we can't forget they allowed 120 and 100 points on their other two road games this season.

The Hornets will naturally bounce back on this game and they will play much better than on their previous games and it won't be hard for them to reach the 100 points mark. I remember last season when the Hornets were home favorites from 8 to 11,5 points, they finished with a 12-4 Over record, as they couldn't be stopped and today I expect the same to happen. Miami is coming with a lot of confidence, so I expect a good offensive game from them too. Take the over in here.
__________________

[Mr. IWS]

3 Unit Play. #56 Take Over 5 ½ in Tampa Bay @ Philadelphia (7:05 pm NHL Center Ice) The Lighting have gone over in back-2-back games against teams that traditionally play to the under (New York & New Jersey). Now they are facing an offensive minded Flyer team and expect this score to go way over the posted number. We will not worry if Philadelphia can cover this big number and just collect with the over.

Best of Luck – Doc’s Sports

[Mr. IWS]

Iceman
4* Florida + 145

[Mr. IWS]

Eddie Roman
Stat Match Release #28


Stat Match Release #28

Texas Tech Red Raiders -3 over Oklahoma State

You know what, you could consider this a let down game for Texas Tech. You could certainly make a case for that but in my mind, you'd come up short. Every one wants to talk about the let down game and yes, teams do let down but I don't see that happening with Texas Tech. What people don't understand about let down games is they tend to take place after a big win when a team sees a lesser opponent the following week. They don't practice as hard, they know they are going to win just by showing up and all of a sudden they find themselves in a battle with a team they are much better then.

That's not the case this week. Believe me, Okie State has the attention of the Texas Tech Red Raiders. Tech is on revenge as we have all seen the way they lost last year with the dropped pass in the end zone.

But here's the thing. If this team could dominate Texas like they did in the first half of last week's game, they can certainly do the same, or even worse to Okie State. In my mind, Texas Tech is the more complete team and at home,they are flat out great. Oklahoma State has to go there and play the perfect game and I don't see that happening. They could barely beat this team last year at home and Texas Tech is much better this year then they were last year.

This is a 14 point win minimum I feel. They shut down the Texas offense last week and remember, Texas beat Oklahoma State. There will be no letdown, there will be no upset. What there will be is a huge win for the Red Raiders. 14 points minimum and it could be much worse. Take TT