11-16-08

[Mr. IWS]

2008-11-13 RON RAYMOND'S 5* NFL O/U GAME OF THE YEAR!
Pick # 1 Baltimore Ravens /New York Giants Under 40.5 -110

[Mr. IWS]

Spylock
Kansas City......1 unit

[Mr. IWS]

Handicapper: IndianCowboy
Sport: NFL Football
Game: Detroit Lions @ Carolina Panthers - Sunday November 16, 2008 1:00 pm
Pick: 3 units (Play of the Day) ATS: Detroit Lions +14 (-110)

[Mr. IWS]

Wunderdog

Game: Philadelphia at Cincinnati (Sunday 11/16 1:00 PM Eastern)
Pick: Philadelphia -9 (-110)


As much as this looks like a game the Eagles could no-show, their are 10 teams in the NFC right now with an equal or better record. There is no playing with this game because an unexpected loss, and the Eagles are probably done. They are arguably the best 5-4 team in the league right now and certainly capable of a double-digit win in this one. Injuries to key players and a few bad breaks hurt them early. Those players have now gotten healthy and will make this team even better. The Eagles have the 9th rated defense in the league, have recorded 28 sacks, and will certainly be coming at Fitzpatrick with all kinds of blitz packages. Fitz's four TD's to six INT's shows a pick-6 here is not out of the question. Donovan McNabb is having a big year and with Kevin Curtis back at WR, and a healthy Brian Westbrook, this offense is one of the toughest to stop. Cincinnati's pass rush has mustered just nine sacks all season. McNabb will have all the time he needs to pick apart a suspect secondary. This one has "UGLY" potential with a very good, underrated Eagles team needing a big win. The Eagles are 20-14 ATS as a road favorite under Andy Reid. I'll lay the points here as a see a monster blowout.

[Mr. IWS]

ASA's NFL 5-Game POWER PACK - 80% on the season!
PLAY ON Top Game Home Team Hammer - Pittsburgh (-) vs. San Diego, 4:15 PM EST

While many of the national pundits continue to speak of San Diego?s awaited emergence and how they are still one of the teams to beat in the AFC, the Chargers simply continue to play poor football. Folks, this is not a good team and it isn?t changing during their trip to Pittsburgh. The Steelers are coming off a home loss, so expect them to be ultra angry in this one. This team has been very solid at home off a home loss historically tallying a 15-6 spread record dating back to 1986. It doesn?t happen often, however when it does, the Steelers usually bounce back with a win and cover. San Diego has been really poor on the road this year. They have played away from Southern California five times this year and come up with only one victory. That win can be pushed aside because it was @ Oakland where everyone seems to win. The Bolts even struggled as they were behind 15-0 at half and were out gained by the offensively challenged Raiders. In fact, the only road game where the Chargers actually had more total yards than their opponent was against the Saints (by just 42 yards) and that was still a loss and actually on a neutral field. Look for the SD offense to struggle big time on Sunday. This team has played just one opponent this ENTIRE YEAR who?s defense is currently ranked inside the top 10. That was Carolina back on September 7th and a home loss for the Chargers. Now they attempt to put up points against the #1 overall defense in NFL and they are off loss. The 4-point loss at home to Indy last week was not the fault of the defense who continues to play stellar. They held the Colts to just 62 yards rushing and Peyton Manning completed just 21 of his 40 pass attempts. The problem was turnovers on offense. Ben Roethlisberger threw three interceptions and apologized to his team after the loss. Look for a much better effort from Roethlisberger on Sunday. He will also get a nice reprieve playing a Charger defense that ranks 26th overall in the NFL and dead last (32nd) against the pass. We?ll definitely side with the riled up home team with the FAR superior defense. Lay the points with the Black & Gold.

PLAY ON Insider Chalk - Tampa Bay (-) vs. Minnesota, 1:00 PM EST

The Bucs are fresh after a bye last week. Minnesota won?t be after a down to the wire physically and emotionally draining game with division rival Green Bay last Sunday. You?ll definitely be able to see a drastic difference on the field Saturday because of this, among other things. Tampa has been a dominating home team this year winning all four by at least 9 points. Their closest home game was a 30-21 win over the Packers. They also whipped up on two very good teams at home rolling over Carolina 27-3 and Atlanta 24-9. Their other home win was a 10-point victory over Seattle. The Bucs have out gained their opponents at home by an average of 120 YPG. Their defense has been lights out at Raymond James Stadium holding each of their four opponents to 282 total yards or less. They have given up an average of just 218 total YPG in those four and just 10 PPG. That will be a big problem for a pedestrian Minnesota offense that relies so heavily on Adrian Peterson. Tampa allows just 99 YPG on the ground in order for the Vikings to stay in this they will rely heavily on QB Gus Frerotte. Problem is, Frerotte has not been playing well. In his last four games he has thrown nine interceptions and don?t expect that to change against the #5 pass defense in the league on Sunday. The Vikes have been a ?go against? team on the road this season. They are just 1-3 both SU and ATS away from the Metrodome. Also, their one road win was a 30-27 gift at New Orleans. The Saints dominated that game but turned the ball over 4 times and Minny also blocked a field goal and returned it for a TD. Otherwise, they would be staring 0-4 in the face for their road record. Tampa is coming off two sub par performance vs. Dallas and KC, however both of those games were on the road. They have now had two weeks off to rectify their problems and we expect a great effort on Sunday. QB Jeff Garcia has been very good completing 68% of his passes and he should continue his success vs. Minnesota who has the 19th ranked pass defense in the NFL. Tampa is in the top 10 in both offensive and defensive total yards and should roll on Sunday. The Vikes have a definite letdown and Tampa comes out on fire. We?ll lay the small number.

PLAY ON Total of the Day - Under the total, Detroit vs. Carolina, 1:00 PM EST

Both of these teams struggled mightily on offense last week. Carolina put up just 17 points @ Oakland while the Lions managed only 10 points at home vs. the Jags. Don?t expect a big change this Sunday. The Lions are in transition as Daunte Culpepper took over at QB after just a few days of practice last week. He threw only 10 passes in last Sunday?s loss to Jacksonville. Don?t expect that to change a whole lot as Culpepper has not been able to get very deep into the playbook in his short time with the team. Detroit has averaged just over 16 PPG this year and that was when they had QB?s that actually have been in the system and were able to run a vast array of offensive plays. Now with Culpepper under center and a scaled back playbook, we can only anticipate this offense will struggle even more than they have over the next few weeks. It doesn?t help that they are facing a Panther defense that had allowed an average of just 11 PPG in their five home games this year. The Panthers offense was terrible last week against an Oakland team that had allowed 24 points or more in 5 of their previous 6 games. QB Jake Delhomme was terrible throwing four interceptions. He also completed just 7 of his 27 attempts for 72 yards. Carolina head coach John Fox will not want to take any chances with this poor Detroit team. Especially with Delhomme coming off a poor performance and struggling against Oakland, look for Carolina to grab a lead and run, run, run. Carolina has played 9 games this year and 8 of them have failed to top 40 points. The Panthers are the #2 defense in the NFL in points allowed and Detroit is not a team that will alter that stat with their struggling offense. Carolina also has the league?s 10th best rushing offense while Detroit can?t stop the run allowing 161 YPG. Expect a heavy dose of the ground game, shortening this game and keeping it well under the total.

PLAY ON Seattle + vs. Arizona, 4:15 PM EST

The Smart Money is all over Seattle on this one and we agree 100%. Nearly 75% of the wagers have come in on the Cards yet the line has remained on 3-points the entire week. It hasn?t budged one bit. That?s because the few ?smart money guys? who are among the 25% wagering on Arizona, have put down enough to keep this line stable. The odds makers are begging you to take the Cards here and we won?t appease them. We like Seattle. The Seahawks have actually been playing fairly well as of late. Three weeks ago they went into San Fran and dominated the Niners winning 34-13 (the same SF team that Arizona struggled with at home on Monday Night). The following week the Hawks lost to a desperate, but very good Philadelphia team that is trying to keep pace in the NFC East. Last Sunday they went to a good Miami team and nearly pulled off the win losing 21-19. This team is still playing hard for Mike Holmgren who is in his final year as Seattle?s head coach. Seattle has had some struggles on offense this year. The main problem has been their passing attack which is averaging just 145 YPG. That is way down from last year when they threw for 248 YPG. Look for those numbers to move drastically upward on Sunday as QB Matt Hasselbeck is back under center for the first time since October 5th. Hasselbeck practiced with no ill affects all week and will get the start vs. Arizona. He is also getting one of his key weapons back as WR Deion Branch will play also for the first time since October 5th. Expect the Seattle offense to look better than it has in quite some time. Arizona is in an absolute horrible spot. They had a come from behind win on Monday night beating San Francisco 29-24. The Cardinals aren?t used to the limelight because they have simply been a poor team for much of their time in Arizona. In fact, last Monday was their FIRST Monday Night win since moving to Arizona 20 years ago. You think there is any chance they avoid a letdown after that. No way. Not only that, this is basically a meaningless game for the Cardinals as they stand at 6-3 in the NFC West while the closest team to them is just 2-7. They have that division wrapped up. Arizona has won just once in Seattle since 1993 (1-6 SU). They have also been a historically terrible road team with a record of just 16-60 their last 76 trips outside of Arizona. With a home game vs. the Super Bowl Champion Giants on deck, we can?t fault the Cards for not having their full focus on the struggling Seahawks. We call for the upset and watch Seattle win at home with Hasselbeck at the helm.

PLAY ON Under the Total, Oakland vs. Miami, 1:00 PM EST

There is absolutely no question that Oakland has problems scoring, or even moving the football down the field for that matter. The Raiders were shut out two weeks ago and totaled just 77 total yards of offense against the Falcons! As an encore last week, they scored just 6 points against the Panthers, even with Carolina QB Jake Delhomme doing his best job to let the Raiders win, (Delhomme finished 7/27 passing for 72 yards and 4 interceptions). The Dolphins will score enough points to win, and be able to put their offense on cruise control against Oakland in a game that will finish UNDER 38.5. The Raider defense has been respectable this season, but no defense can expect to keep their team in contention when their offense is THAT bad. Miami will be able to do what the Falcons and the Panthers did in consecutive weeks against the Raiders; get a comfortable lead and use their strong running game as a cruise control to get an easy win. Also, not that it matters too much, but the Dolphins have a great defense with a fierce pass rush that will further prevent the Oakland offense from scoring. Dolphins quarterback Chad Pennington has been extremely efficient in his first season in Miami, completing 67% of his passes for 2200 yards and 8 touchdowns. Miami has also used talented running backs Ronnie Brown (504 yards, 9 TD?s) and Ricky Williams (388 yards, 3 TD?s) very effectively in the new and improved ?Wildcat? formation. Miami doesn?t make a lot of mistakes and that?s a big reason why they are a surprising 5-4 this season and in the playoff hunt. It?s no surprise that the Raiders have finished UNDER in four of their last five games, but the Dolphins have also won three straight games, and finished UNDER in all three. This trend will continue as the Dolphins will jump out to a comfortable lead, and be able to use their strong running game to milk the clock and get the win. Easy UNDER play here.
here you go smash on these!

[Mr. IWS]

DOC

SUNDAY NIGHT GAME OF YEAR


DALLAS





5* Jacksonville

[Mr. IWS]

Dominic Brando's Inner Circle, 2-0 yesterday Big 10 goy Ohio State and Big 12 goy Texas

Dominic Brando's Inner Circle 2008-09 NFL/NCAA Football Records Grid:
NFL Regular Season 7-4 for +145.00 Units (Special 150 Units 7-4, Top 100 Units 0-0)
NCAA Regular Season 8-5 for +420.00 Units (Special 150 Units 8-5, Top 100 Units 0-0)
NFL/NCAA Special Teaser Releases 1-0- for +150.00 Units (150 Unit Game of the Year Teaser Iso's 1-0)

Dominic Brando's Inner Circle Sunday NFL Week 11 Executive Report:

NFL 150 Unit Executive Max Out (Dominic Brando's 2008 NFC West Game of the Year):
150 Units #422 SAN FRANCISCO 49'ERS -6/-115 over St. Louis Rams

NFL 150 Unit Executive Max Out (Dominic Brando's 2008 NFC North Game of the Year):
150 Units #420 TAMPA BAY BUCCANEERS -3/-130 over Minnesota Vikings

[Mr. IWS]

Kelso

2008 PERSONAL BEST FOOTBALL CLUB
25 Units each
75 Unit NFL 2-Team Parlay

Ny Giants (-7) over Ravens
49ers (-6½) over Rams

2008 CHAIRMAN'S CLUB FOOTBALL

10 Units
Seahawks (+3) over Cardinals

2008 BEST BETS FOOTBALL
3 Units
Bears (+3½) over Packers

5 Units
Dolphins (-10) over Raiders

[Mr. IWS]

ChicagoSportsConnection
PAID/confirmed
************************************************** *******
CSC NFL NORTH >P>O>W>
TAMPA -4 vs Minnesota..................1:00 EDT
Tampa very tough @ home....4-0.
Won by 10,24,9&15 points.
Minny is a poor road team...1-3 record.
************************************************** *******
CSC NBA
UNDER 188 Miami-Toronto..............1:05 EDT
(note early start time)
MIA has held opponents to 83 or less in 3 of L6.
TOR has scored 96,87,89,92,93&91 in L6 games.
.................................................. ......................
NEW YORK +1.5 vs Dallas................6:05 EDT
(note unusual start time)
Wrong team is favored here in our opinion.
NYK have won 5 of L6
DALL has lost 5 straight & will play 3rd in 4.
.................................................. .....................
MINNESOTA +9 @ Denver................8:05 EDT
MINN is 1-7, but they have been in every game.....
..only a couple DD losses and those were by 10 & 12.
They played yesterday, but that will help them cause
they had 3 days off before that.
DENV will play their 1st game home off the recent
East Coast swing.
This is their 3rd in 4.

[Mr. IWS]

Dominic Brando Sports High Volume Program 2008-09 NCAA/NFL Football Records Grid:
NFL/NCAA Teaser Club 8-1-0 for +730.00 Units (Special 150 Units 1-0, Top 100 Units 7-1, Reg 50 Units 0-0)
NCAA ATS Plays 69-56-5/+360.00 Units (Special 150 Units 8-4, Top 100 Units 56-52-4, Reg 50 Units 5-0)
NCAA Money Lines 17-20/+98.75 Units (Top 100 Units 2-0, Regular 50 Units 9-10, Light 25 Units 6-10)
NFL Regular Season ATS Plays 38-30-0 for +150.00 Units (Special 150 Units 7-5, Top 100 Units 31-25)
NFL Regular Season Money Line Plays 17-20/-25.00 Units (Regular 50 Units 11-11, Light 25 Units 6-9)

Dominic Brando Sports Sunday NFL Week 11 High Volume Report #1:
NFL Special 150 Unit Executive Max Out: #420 TAMPA BAY BUCCANEERS -3/-130 over Minnesota
NFL Special 150 Unit Executive Max Out: #422 SAN FRANCISCO 49'ERS -6/-115 over St Louis Rams
NFL Top 100 Unit Golden Star Lock: #417 DETROIT LIONS +15/-115 over Carolina Panthers
NFL Top 100 Unit Golden Star Lock: #417 DETROIT/CAROLINA GAME TOTAL OVER 39/-120
NFL Top 100 Unit Golden Star Lock: #423 ARIZONA CARDINALS -2/-125 over Seattle Seahawks
NFL Top 100 Unit Golden Star Lock::#427 DALLAS COWBOYS PICK/-115 over Washington Redskins

7-1 ATS NCAA Saturday (Including 2-0 on Special 150 Unit Releases) Brings Us Over the +1,000 Unit Mark YTD. WE LOOK TO CLOSE THE SEASON IN EXTREMELY STRONG FASHION! Next Report Sunday Anytime Before 12:30 PM Eastern

[Mr. IWS]

Tim Trushel
20* over pitt-s.diego

[Mr. IWS]

FRANK PATRON

30000 UNIT LOCK #28

ARIZONA CARDINALS -2.5

If you have -3 buy it to -2.5. Even though I do not feel we will ever need that half point because Arizona should roll this team by 17 easy. They have too much talent on offense and Seattle is off another cross country flight. Look for the younger fresher legs of Arizona to crush this over matched Seattle squad.

[Mr. IWS]

ETHAN LAW'S


Sunday's AFC clash between the Pittsburgh Steelers (6-3 SU & 4-5 ATS) and the San Diego Chargers (4-5 SU & 4-5 ATS) will go a long way towards deciding these teams fates in the 2008 season. Pittsburgh has lost 2 of 3 and has fallen into a tie with Baltimore for 1st place in the AFC North. San Diego meanwhile, has struggled most of the season to this point, yet only trail Denver by a game in the AFC West. The Chargers though, would have to be labeled the more "desperate" team in this game. Fail winning the division, and they have very little hope to secure a wildcard bid. Pittsburgh on the other hand would still be 6-4, which would still be at the worst a game behind Baltimore (whom they play again), or they would be tied with the best record among wildcard hopefuls.

The perception of these 2 teams entering this game is quite different. San Diego has under-achieved all year, disappointing many fans who had them pegged as a possible Super Bowl team. The Steelers meanwhile, have perhaps the most impressive defense in the league and look to be one of the best teams in the NFL. That is the perception. Here is the reality. San Diego is one of the healthier teams in the NFL at this point, with only Shawn Merriman being the only key personnel on the Chargers out. His loss was devastating to their defense, but they are dealing with his loss better and better as the season progresses. The Steelers on the other hand have just a slew of major injuries to key personnel. TE Heath Miller, RB Willie Parker, and QB Ben Roethlisberger's being the most publicized. The injuries that will have the most effect on this game though, are the ones to their defensive secondary. With both Deshea Townsend and Bryant McFadden out for this game, the Steelers will have only 1 of their top 3 cornerbacks available to defend the Chargers #6 in the NFL passing game. William Gay, a 5th round draft pick a year ago, will make his 1st NFL start at cornerback. Fernando Bryant, whom the Steelers signed just this week, will play nickel back, despite having only a few days practice with his new team. Bryant is a 10 year veteran of the NFL who was not even on an NFL roster till he signed this week, and now he will be expected to absorb the nuances of the Steelers complex blitzing schemes in a few short days? Surely San Diego QB Phillip Rivers must be licking his chops. Rivers, by the way, may be having one of the quietest "MVP type" seasons in the league this year. He is 2nd in the NFL with a 106.3 passer rating behind only Kurt Warner's 106.4. He leads the NFL with 21 TD passes, yet has thrown only 8 interceptions. He benefits from having the best running back in the NFL behind him, Ladanian Tomlinson. L.T.'s limited success this year is much publicized, but averaging 3.8 yards per carry against defenses designed to stop him every week is not that bad. The Steelers also know that containing L.T. is a priority, which creates a problem for them. A BIG PROBLEM! The Steelers defensive philosophy is to pressure the QB in hopes of rushing him into mistakes. If the rush does not get there in time, their secondary is left open to big plays. The Chargers have one of the best offensive lines in football, and do a fantastic job keeping pass rushers off Phillip Rivers back. They have in fact allowed just 12 sacks this year. Their pass blocking ability will be without a doubt one of the biggest advantages they have entering this game. It is not a coincidence that the 3 teams that have beaten the Steelers this year all rank in the top 10 in the NFL in sacks allowed. Keep your QB standing against Pittsburgh, and you have half won the battle. Make that a QB with a pro bowl resume, against an injury riddled secondary, and Pittsburgh may be the team on its heels this week.

Another problem for the Steelers is their offensive line. Big Ben is maybe the most injured QB in the NFL because his line is not very good. He often takes hit after hit, and this will be one of the few weeks this year that the San Diego pass rush actually has a chance to make an impact. They rank just 17th in the NFL in sacks, but should be able to pressure Roethlisberger, as just about every other Steelers opponent has. Indeed, the Steelers have allowed more sacks than all but 3 NFL teams, and those 3 teams all attempt more passes per game than Pittsburgh does.

The schedule makers did the Chargers a huge favor by scheduling this game as the late doubleheader game on Sunday. San Diego does not have to fight their body clocks with a start time that is extreme to their usual routines. The bad west coast teams never seem to get that luxury. Oakland, San Francisco and Seattle all seem to play the early game when they travel to the East Coast. That this game is the nationally televised doubleheader game also increases the amount of action Vegas takes on this game. Gamblers love to bet on TV games. Because of perception, which I have already outlined, the books will definitely be rooting for the Chargers Sunday. At this writing, 67% of the action was coming in on the Steelers side. Another false perception is that the Steelers have a great home field advantage. While that is not actually wrong thinking, the books know that the public loves betting the Steelers at home, and the lines are adjusted to reflect that. That would also explain why Pittsburgh is just 2-6 ATS its last 8 times as home favorites. San Diego seems every year to wait till the end of the year to play their best football, starting with this game, I expect that trend to continue. This Chargers team also relishes the underdog role, this being only the 2nd time all year they have not been favored. They are 5-1 ATS last 6 as dogs, and with too many fundamental advantages caused by injuries, I fully expect them to win this game outright. Take the points, though we will not likely need them.

Verdict: San Diego 24, Pittsburgh 20
PLAY 1* UNIT (2%) ON SAN DIEGO +5

[Mr. IWS]

John Ryan

Game: Denver Broncos at Atlanta Falcons Nov 16 2008 1:00PM
Prediction: Denver Broncos

Reason: Ai Simulator 3* graded play on Denver - Denver has a 71% probability of losing this game by 6 or fewer points. Denver has a 90% probability of gaining 6 or more yards per play. Note that Denver is a solid 62-32 ATS when in this role over the past 10 seasons. They also have an 88% probability of scoring 22 or more points. Atlanta is just 3-10 ATS when allowing 22 to 28 points over the past 3 seasons. Atlanta is also just 38-63 ATS when they allow 6 or more yards per play over the past 10 seasons. Supporting this graded play is a strong system that has produced a record of 46-18 ATS for 72% since 2002. Play on road teams after 2 consecutive games where they forced 1 or less turnovers and is facing an opponent after a game where they forced 3 or more turnovers. Atlanta is in a series of poor roles noting they are just 6-21 ATS (-17.1 Units) vs. poor passing defenses allowing a completion percentage of 61% or worse in the second half of the season since 1992; 9-24 ATS (-17.4 Units) versus good offensive teams scoring 24 or more points/game in the second half of the season since 1992; 1-9 ATS (-8.9 Units) versus good offensive teams averaging >=5.65 yards/play over the last 3 seasons; 1-11 ATS (-11.1 Units) in home games off a home win by 10 points or more since 1992. Denver had a huge offensive game last week against Cleveland (MNF 15* winner) gaining 564 yards. Note that Denver is 11-1 ATS (+9.9 Units) after gaining 500 or more total yards in their previous game since 1992. Take the Denver Broncos

[Mr. IWS]

Al DeMarco

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NFC East Game of the Year



15 Dimer

Cowboys


Other plays
zona..falcons..Tampa

[Mr. IWS]

ATS Lock Club
5 Packers -3
4 Steelers -4.5
4 Cowboys Pick
4 Creighton -3
3 Delaware 4.5

ATS Financial Package
4 Giants -7
4 Titans -2.5
3 Columbia +13.5
3 Rhode Island +24

[Mr. IWS]

atslocks.com

Chargers @ Steelers -4.5: Steelers -4.5 (20 Unit Play)

Broncos @ Falcons -6.5: Falcons -6.5 (10 Unit Play)

Ravens @ Giants -7: Giants -7 (15 Unit Play)

Heat @ Raptrors Over/Under 188: Under (10 Unit Play)

William & Mary @ Ohio U -8: Ohio U -8 (10 Unit Play)

New Mexico +2 at Creighton: New Mexico +2 (5 Unit Play)

[Mr. IWS]

Joyce Sterling

Sunday NFL 11/16

10 STAR Game of the Week
Cincinnati +9.5
The Bengals are rested, off a bye, and have their confidence raised coming off their 1st win upsetting Jacksonville.
On the other hand Phila comes in off their Sunday Night loss.
The Eagles, were eighth in the NFL in rushing last season with 123.4 yards per game, and are now 22nd this season with 98.3
Bengals are 7-0 ATS in this series!
Cincy not under pressure could make this upset.
Take the well rested Bengals


10 STAR TOTAL of the Week
OVER 43 Dallas vs Washington
Tony Romo is back. He makes a huge difference, averaging 29+ppg.
He pumps up the offense and the Redskins have injuries on defense.
They are playing with revenge from an earlier loss.
Both teams are rested, off bye weeks.

Washington is now poised for a playoff run.
It hopes to bounce back from an embarrassing 23-6 home loss to Pittsburgh on Nov. 3.
We see this a high scoring game.

[Mr. IWS]

Bob Balfe


NFL Football
Falcons -6.5 over Broncos
Matt Ryan and the Atlanta Falcons have picked themselves up and are out of the Mike Vick situation. This team looked as if it would be in the basement for at least 5 years has made a huge turnaround thanks to a rookie QB that is going to be a star in this league. Denver has no running game and its just a matter of time before passing the ball 50 times a game in the NFL will catch up with you. Atlanta can play good defense at home and should get a big win.

Bengals +9 over Eagles
The Bengals are 1-8 and obviously would love nothing more than to get a big home victory, but that will be tough to do against Philadelphia. I will say that the Bengals are one of the best teams to start 1-8, not like that means much. Cincy is coming off a big win against the Jags last week and will look to carry the momentum into today. I was actually in Cincinnati yesterday and it was cold and really windy. This 9 point spread might be too much for Philly to overcome in these conditions. Last weeks loss to the Giants really deflated this Eagles team. Take the Bengals.

Texans +8 over Colts
If you remember a few weeks back the Texans crushed the colts for 3 quarters only to have one of the worst breakdowns in history to lose that game. The good news is the Texans know they can compete and matchup well against Indianapolis. The Colts have a ton of guys who are banged up while Houston is pretty healthy. Look for the Texans to keep it close. Take Houston.

College Football
No plays today.

NBA Basketball
Raptors -5 over Heat

NCAA Basketball
Columbia +13.5 over Seton Hall

[Mr. IWS]

Savannah Sports

NFL Football
3 units on Detroit +14

[Mr. IWS]

Northcoast Full Service Line

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Pro Play Of Week Arizona, Dog Of The Day Baltimore

[Mr. IWS]

Matt Rivers

1ST 500,000* OF THE ENTIRE SEASON Plus Bonus Lock
Your winners here are on:

1. 500,000? Jaguars
2. 75,000? Redskins


1. The undefeated season is flat out over! Laying points in Jacksonville is just ridiculously silly no matter how stout Tennessee has been this season, period!

I do respect Jeff Fisher's team as they have been great this season and boast phenomenal offensive and defensive lines but this team is just not going to 10-0 as they are not going to sweep the Jags with a road win here. That is not happening. Jack Del Rio's team certainly has not overachieved this season but they have to win this game if they want any hope at making the playoffs. This is a total must win and it's not like the Jags are not still a very quality team. David Garrard is solid and the running game of Maurice Jones-Drew and Fred Taylor are as talented as they come. The receivers are not exactly Randy Moss or TO but the Titans are not great there either as these teams do not look to wide outs all that much for their offense.

Last week the Titans struggled mightily with the run in Chicago as LenDale White and Chris Johnson combined for something like 16 yards. No doubt Kerry Collins came through throwing the pill around the field but the guy is not going to do it again as he is a 180 yard a game guy and that is not all of a sudden changing. Maybe in that one game scenario he took care of business and went for around 300 yards but that ain't happening again here, on the road again and up against a desperate and physical Jacksonville squad.

We are not exactly looking at chuck and duck football as this game will be as black and blue as they come with the running and defense leading the way. In the end I will gladly go against the undefeated visitors as they are not going to continue the run and this truly is as good of a chance as there is for them to lose as the Jags have no choice but to come out today flexing their muscles and revive those postseason hopes.

27-10 Jags!




2. Tony Romo may be back and Clinton Portis may not be playing but how can this Dallas team be laying anything on the road like this!?!? Sure Romo makes the Cowboys a much better team but Wade Phillips' team comes in here with absolutely zero momentum and it's not like the Dallas offense will just all of a sudden click away from Big D and up against a pretty solid Washington defense.

If I have seen it once I have seen it a million times, the stud running back is out hurt and somebody, whether it be Ladell Betts or Shaun Alexander, comes in and doesn't miss a beat. I really am not at all that concerned with Portis' injury even if the guy is a legitimate MVP candidate this season.

Jason Campbell should play his usual solid Quarterback. The guy won't wow you at all with his athleticism or numbers but he continues to make the right decisions more times than not and at home should be just fine with guys like Santana Moss, Chris Cooley and Antwaan Randle El running their routes.

The Cowboys do have a score to settle after getting upset earlier in the season at home as the double digit chalk but I just do not see that happening as right now Dallas is just not good.

Laying points on the road like this after the horrible last month plus is wrong and I am going to take advantage of it as the Redskins get back in the win column today!
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[Mr. IWS]

seabass

100* steam denver over 51

[Mr. IWS]

Bob Akmens

tampa bay -4
san diego +5
washington +1.5

[Mr. IWS]

Sean Michaels
25 Dimer
Dallas

[Mr. IWS]

Ethan Law - NFL

3% Vikings/bucs Over 38.5
2% Jacksonville +3
2% Seattle +3
2% Miami -10
2% San Diego +5
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[Mr. IWS]

LENNY STEVENS
20 PHILADELPHIA
10 chicago
10 seattle
10 washington

[Mr. IWS]

Teddy Covers-20 star San Diego

[Mr. IWS]

Seabass Football

20* Miami
20* Jacksoonville
50* Dallas
Teasers
20* Baltimore/Giants u46
Philly/Cinci o35

20* Carolina/Detroit u46.5
Houston/Indi o44

[Mr. IWS]

NORThCOAST MARQUEES // tennessee under 40,dallas

[Mr. IWS]

PURELOCK :

Seattle

[Mr. IWS]

Howie's 100 DIME Rivalry Game of the Week
Chicago (43') at Green Bay (-3') - 1 PM, EST
Howie Feiner's 100 DIME Rivalry Game of the Week Godfather Pick
GREEN BAY (-3') 100 Dimes

Howie's 100 DIME AFC Game of the Week
San Diego (42) at Pittsburgh (-5) - 4:15 PM, EST
Howie Feiner's 100 DIME AFC Game of the Week Godfather Pick
SAN DIEGO (+5) 100 Dimes

[Mr. IWS]

Northcoast

4* Atlanta
3* TB
3* Tn

Marquee

Dallas

Phil Steele

4* Atlanta
3* Pitt
3* TB

[Mr. IWS]

PATRON 30,000 - ARIZONA

[Mr. IWS]

M@linsky Sund@y
5* New Orleans -5
4* Cincy +9.5

[Mr. IWS]

EZ Winners

3* Jax
2* Hou
1* Atl, Phil, Sea

NBA 3* Phoe

[Mr. IWS]

Lenny Del Genio's AFC South GOY = Jax

[Mr. IWS]

Matt Fargo

NFC GOW

Tampa Bay

[Mr. IWS]

Mike Lineback

Dallas Cowboys

[Mr. IWS]

Carlo Campanella


Philadelphia heads to Cincinnati following having a 3 game winning streak snapped, 31-36, in an important Division loss on Sunday Night Football to the NY Giants in their first of two meetings this season. Expect these Eagles to rebound with a HUGE effort against a 1-8 Bengals squad as we find Philly at an incredible 13-1 ATS after facing the G-Men. Lay the lumber as the Eagles are already 2-1 SU & ATS as road Favorites this season.

7* Play On Philadelphia

[Mr. IWS]

CASH & PROFIT EXPERTS: New Mexico vs Creighton


Play: Creighton -3.5 (col basketball)
Comments:
CASH & PROFIT EXPERTS: Dallas Cowboys -1 (POD) vs Washington Redskins


Play: Dallas Cowboys -1 (POD)
Comments:
CASH & PROFIT EXPERTS: Minnesota Vikings vs Tampa Bay Buccaneers


Play: Tampa Bay Buccaneers -4
Comments:

[Mr. IWS]

Youngstown Connection
Date: Sunday, November 16, 2008
$25.00 Guaranteed Selection:

NFL Play

Green Bay -3 1:00PM EST

[Mr. IWS]

HSW Early: 5* Atl, add on Phil and Minn for the 3tm P

[Mr. IWS]

The real animal



Pick title: 2* Atlanta -6 1/2
Pick Date: 11/16/2008
Pick description:
Carbon copy of last week for Atlanta when they led New Orleans 27-6. Denver can score but they play no defense. They’ve allowed 30 or more in three straight and six times this season. The Broncos are 5-11 SU on the road in their last 16 and this is the first time in 2008 they are playing the 2nd of back-to-back road games. The last two times this sequence occurred in 2007 Denver lost at San Diego by 20 and at Oakland by 14. Denver allows 5.1 yards per carry and Michael Turner’s biggest games this year have come at the Georgia Dome. This is the first time the Broncos are in a domed stadium this year. Last season they lost at Detroit by 37 and at Indianapolis by 18. The ATS victory at Cleveland last week was the 3rd for the Broncos on enemy fields in their last 15 attempts. Denver is still beat up on both sides of the ball and the Falcons have become a very physical team this year. Atlanta is 4-0 SU and ATS at home averaging 32 points a game. Matt Ryan is 33-of-45 in his last two games and the Birds have the #1 rushing offense in the league. That’s a tough combination and don’t forget how difficult it’s been for teams out west to travel east and play at the 1PM Eastern Time hour. With Denver ranked #27 or below in every defensive category, there is no reason to believe the Falcons won’t manhandle this opponent. Atlanta recently has won and covered six straight versus teams that are ranked in the bottom half of team defensive statistics. They are 12-4 ATS in their last 16 versus the AFC. Denver is #28 in pass defense allowing 14 touchdowns with only three interceptions. Atlanta had three picks alone against Drew Brees last week thanks to a solid pass rush spearheaded by the quick John Abraham. I think it really helps the Falcons playing a similar opponent last Sunday in New Orleans. Last week the Saints #1 ranked offense didn’t reach the end zone until the 4th quarter.

[Mr. IWS]

Heisman Trophy

10 Jacksonville
10 St Louis/SF Under
10 Dallas/Wash Under

[Mr. IWS]

Stan Sharp

Indy -8 -110

Triple Dime

[Mr. IWS]

Analyst: Rob Rosenhaus
2000* INTERCONFERENCE GAME OF THE YEAR


2000* Falcons

The way the Falcons run it and the way the Broncos stop the run this is a cakewalk for the home team. Michael Turner should have over 150 yards and a few scores, as Denver's defense is probably the worst or second worst in the league overall. On the flip side, Denver has no running backs as they are all hurt. They signed free agents Alex Haynes and Tatum Bell this week for some help, but they won't do much. 401.9. That is how many yards per game Denver allows. They get rocked by two TD's or more today.

[Mr. IWS]

Brandon Lovell

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

Sunday November 16 2008
Premium Plays

Brandon Lovell
Blank Check
Game of my Career
Minnesota Vikings +4

[Mr. IWS]

LAS VEGAS TECH REPORT (LVTR):


Play: BRONCOS / FALCONS OVER 51



Play: ATLANTA FALCONS -6.5



Play: MIAMI DOLPHINS -10



Play: TEXANS / COLTS OVER 50



Play: BEARS / PACKERS OVER 43




Play: DETROIT LIONS +14


Play: CARDINALS / SEAHAWKS OVER 48

[Mr. IWS]

Young Gun Sports 3* Charlotte Bobcats

[Mr. IWS]

Steven Budin-CEO

SUNDAY'S PICK
50 DIME TWO-TEAM TEASER

NEW YORK and ATLANTA

Using the standard six points you receive in a 2-Team Teaser, reduce the price you are laying with both favorites.

New York has been a steady 7 point home favorite all week against Baltimore. With the six-point teaser, you would make New York a 1 point chalk (depending of course on your original price - which is why it always pays to shop around).

Atlanta is laying 6 1/2 points at home versus Denver. Again, you can do the math, reducing Atlanta to virtually a pick-em game by taking away six points from the original price.

Both games kickoff at 1:00 P.M. Eastern and obviously the lines you get might be +/- the prices I'm listing.

[Mr. IWS]

Matt Fargo's **9** 78.6% AFC Game of the Year- 2-0 TW - Sunday
**9** 78.6% AFC Game of the Year ? 2-0 TW There isn?t a team in the NFL that wants to end the Titans unbeaten season more than Jacksonville does. Indianapolis is a close second but the Jaguars and Titans have hated each other for a long time and what better way for the streak to end than for Jacksonville to get it done and home and keep its playoff hopes alive. The Jaguars are 4-5 and while the division title is gone, the Wild Card is not. They are two games behind the Ravens and a win here is not only priority but a must.

Tennessee is undefeated, ranked 1st in almost every power ranking out there and is the public darling right now. The Titans have allowed the fewest points in the NFL and last week people were looking their remaining schedule to see what the 16-0 prospect looks like. Are you kidding me? They have played the 23rd ranked schedule in the league and they have beaten only two teams ranked within the top ten in the NFL. Of all the past 9-0 teams in the history of the league, Tennessee is near the bottom of the list.

The last three games for Tennessee have been far from efforts that should be put forth from the best team in the NFL. It took a 4th quarter comeback and the luck of a deflected interception against the Colts, it took an overtime win at home against Green Bay and it took a horrendous effort from Bears quarterback last week. Any one of those games could have been lost. Tennessee has been outgained in four of its last six games and on the season, it is outgaining opponents by only 28.6 ypg.

The Jaguars have no doubt had their issues this season but look how close they are to having a better record. Their five losses have come by seven, four, five, six and two points. Jacksonville has either led or been tied in the fourth quarter in three of those losses. While that may be a concern about the lack of being able to close games, I believe it shows how close this team is being from really good. The Jaguars blowout win over the Lions last Sunday was just what they needed.

This line is very shady. The Titans were favored by a field goal at Chicago and now they are favored by a field goal at Jacksonville. This is saying that The Bears and Jaguars are on an even level and they are not. According to Jeff Sagarin, Chicago is 8th in his power ratings while Jacksonville is 20th and their ratings are at a six-point differential. So why is this line only three points? You tell me. And because of this, the public is already cashing their Titans tickets. If only it were that easy.

Turnovers are such a big part of football and both have been solid in margins but the Jaguars fall into a great situation based on this. Play against any team against the moneyline in a game involving two teams that have a turnover margin of 1.25 or fewer per game after four consecutive games where they committed one or fewer turnovers. This situation is 22-6 (78.6 percent) over the last 10 seasons. This is a moneyline situation favoring the underdog which makes it even stronger. 9* Jacksonville

[Mr. IWS]

Teddy June

20* Tampa Bucs

[Mr. IWS]

SCORE
400 TENNESSEE
300 atlanta
300 dallas