UFC 141 Ubereem vs Brock 12/30

[MMA_scientist]

Magic parlay: "not gustaffson, fitch, hettes, cerrone by submission" All underdogs, none of them should be getting submitted. Should be a decent line since they are all at least +200 except Phan.

[MMA_scientist]

I like pretty much all underdogs. I like Hendricks, Brock, Diaz, mildly like Efrain. Was hoping to bet DHK, but screw that. -365, I'll pass. I just need to sort out who i am actually going to play. I actually expect Brock to win and I think Diaz is close to 50%. Hendricks/Fitch will be really close IMO, but Fitch is more willing to Fitch it out than Johny is, and that could be the difference there. When Johny gets a break, I expect he will swing for the fence, where he should just try to win the Fitching contest. Efrain, i think his wrestling is close enough to Volkmann's to where it will probably come down to striking and grit.

[SPX]

All those lines suck.

Thoughts on DHK @ -365?

How about Volkmann/Escudero?

[SPX]

Lines up!

[Mr. IWS]

Not sure if this is legit, I got it off another forum:

UFC 141 Lesnar vs Overeem - FREE FOR XBOX LIVE USERS(HD)
1.Download UFC App.

2.) Click Purchase

3.) Notice $0.00

[Ludo]

That was close.

[SPX]

UFC 141's Alistair Overeem passes drug test, cleared for PPV headliner

[Ludo]

Don't you mean reeeped? (short for reported)

[Vandelay]

And reported

Don't you mean reeeped? (short for reported)

[Luke]

And reported

[Luke]

damnit, im embarrassed i didnt catch that before you did Ludo

Inb4VandelaysaysLukeisn'tareporter

Go find your own info from now on. I'll keep mine to myself.

[MMA_scientist]

I will definitely bet Hendricks, I think the fight is about 50/50. Fitch has only had to fight one other of the fitchers in the division (Pierce). Pierce took a round off him and dropped him. I also think Pierce has gotten significantly better since then while Fitch has already peaked. I think Fitch has better technical striking and has reach advantage, but Hendricks hits a lot harder. I doubt Fitch can pin him on the fence for 15 minutes. Fitch may win, but he is not 2:1 IMO. Tough matchup stylistically for both guys, but I have Hendricks.

I will bet Diaz @ 2:1 as well. Diaz's boxing looks like it is getting better and Maynard is not that bad of a striker (he almost became champ by KOing Edgar twice).

Don't like teh Volkmann/Escudero bet, unless one of them is a big underdog. I think Efrain may be able to outwrestle Volkmann if he chooses to grapple. Volkmann is technically better, but he is not a very gifted athlete IMO, and I could see Efrain outworking him. Also, Efrain should be hungry after having to do the small show tour.

Not touching Nunes/Manny. Nunes will be a favorite, as I think he should be. I don't think Manny can keep up standing, and I doubt he can get him down enough to win a decision.



Going to bet Brock most likely too.

[zY|]

Diaz outlanded Maynard.

[SPX]

I think part of that had to do with Kelly throwing that suckerpunch at the beginning when Cerrone wanted to touch gloves.

I guess. If that's all it takes to throw Cerrone off his game though that is not a good sign.

[Ludo]

Paul Kelly, too.

Cerrone seems to have his good days and his bad days. But lately it's mostly been good days.

I think part of that had to do with Kelly throwing that suckerpunch at the beginning when Cerrone wanted to touch gloves.