Friday 6/6/25 Free Plays / Trends / Betting Info / Etc

**Can'tPickAWinner** · 2025-06-06T06:15:22-05:00

Jeff Siegel's What You Need to Know for Santa Anita - 6/6/25

June 6, 2025

Jeff Siegel’s “What You Need to Know”
Friday, June 6 2024
Santa Anita Park

Specifically designed for the rolling exotic player, Jeff Siegel’s “What You Need to Know” isolates those horses that should be included in daily doubles, pick-3s, pick-4s, pick-5s, and the pick-6.

For additional commentary, follow us on twitter @jsiegelracing.

Grade Descriptions: Grade A=Highest degree of confidence; Grade B=Solid Play. Grade C=Least preferred or pass; Grade X=probable winner but likely at odds too short to play.

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Santa Anita Race 1: Post: 1:00 PT Grade: B
Main Ticket: 7-Lady Gregory
Backups: 2-Over Attracted.

Forecast: Lady Gregory just missed in a similar starter’s allowance affair on dirt but today switches to grass, which appears to be her preferred surface. Drawn comfortably outside, the J. Mullins-trained mare should settle into an ideal second flight stalking position and then have dead aim and every chance from the quarter pole home. A real pro, she’s a two time winner over the local lawn and has won 11 races throughout her career.

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Santa Anita Race 2: Post: 1:33 PT Grade: B+
Main Ticket: 5-Concord Bridge
Backups: 2-Mr. Leasure.

Forecast: Concord Bridge left his previous form far behind with a fast, highly rated career top maiden optional claiming win sprinting last month and today will try to duplicate that performance stretching out to a mile in this starter optional claimer. Based strictly on speed figures, the son of Medaglia d’Oro is a complete standout, assuming he can turn in two alike and handle today’s two-turn trip. We suspect he will do just that.

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Santa Anita Race 3: Post: 2:02 PT Grade: B
Main Ticket: 2-Thebestisyettobe (Ire).
Backups: 1-Port Ellen (Ire).

Forecast: Thebestisyettobe (Ire) returned off a very long layoff to handle a restricted $25,000 claiming field over the local lawn in facile fashion while earning a career top number. She returns protected in a sign of confidence while shortening to a mile in this starter allowance affair for older fillies and mares, and we expect the P. D’Amato-trained import to score right back.

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Santa Anita Race 4: Post: 2:32 PT Grade: C
Main Ticket: 3-Misty Dancer
Backups: none.

Forecast: We’re putting Misty Dance on top in this $5,000 claiming sprint for fillies and mares by process if elimination. In other words, we’ve eliminated everybody else. She looks quick enough to establish a clear lead in a field without pace and could get brave if she can shake loose early. Her low percentage connections don’t inspire confidence, but somebody has to win. Tread lightly here.

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Santa Anita Race 5: Post: 3:04 PT Grade: C+
Main Ticket: 3-Bob’s Blue Moon; 1-One Flew South. 8-Jetovator.
Backups: none.

Forecast: A few of these exit the same turf sprint and are hard to separate. Bob’s Blue Moon, a lethargic fourth in that common race in early May as the beaten favorite, gets a chance to make amends. He has some back numbers that makes him the one to beat and couple of sharp recent workouts since raced appears to indicate that he’s perking up. One Flew South is a three time winner over the local lawn while Jetovator is getting up in mileage and clearly has lost a step but his best race always must be respected at this level.

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Santa Anita Race 6: Post: 3:36 PT Grade: C
Main Ticket: 5-Smokem Hot Girl; 4-Mzarek’s Old Dream.
Backups: 7-Little Silver Girl.

Forecast: Smokem Hot Girl, in the frame in both of her career starts, may have more room for improvement than the others in the field, so we’ll give her a slight edge on top. First off the claim for a low profile outfit, she removes blinkers and projects to settle in the second flight and have her chance when the pressure is turned on. Mzarek’s Old Dream, an okay second in the same race our top pick just finished third in, already has had nine chance but is a fit on numbers and really won’t have to improve much to be competitive again in this very modest maiden claiming field.

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Santa Anita Race 7: Post: 4:08 PT Grade: B+
Main Ticket: 3-Certitude.
Backups: 9-Sun Of Hill (Brz).

Forecast: Certitude has won her last three outings in stylish manner and there’s no reason she can’t extend the streak to four. The J. Sadler-trained import, first or second in eight of 10 starters over the Santa Anita turf course, is effective at any distance and can be tough on the front end or from a stalking position, so regular rider H. Berrios can play the break and choose a strategy. This raise in class from starter’s allowance to the first level should be within her capabilities.

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Santa Anita Race 8: Post: 4:48 PT Grade: C+
Main Ticket: 1-Wishful Winker; 8-Rebelexis.
Backups: none.

Forecast: Wishful Winker plummets from maiden $20,000 to maiden $8,000 and may have found her friends. She had earned numbers that are better than par for this level, so if she can avoid trouble from the rail the daughter of Competitive Edge should be capable of earning her diploma. Rebelexis adds blinkers, and with just two starts on her resume is another that may be capable of improving at this bottom level.

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Santa Anita Race 9: Post: 5:18 PT Grade: C+
Main Ticket: 3-One of These Days (Ire); 7-Bad to the Bones.
Backups: none.

Forecast: One of These Days (Ire), a recent $25,000 S. Knapp claim, just missed in a photo in a similar restricted affair and is returns at the same level for his new connections while shortening to a mile. It’s been awhile since he’s won a race, but this is the type of claim this barn has had good success with in the past. Bad to the Bones is just 1-for-19 and certainly not one to trust, but this is his lowest level ever and on pure numbers he’s a fit, so we’ll toss him in.

**Can'tPickAWinner** · 2025-06-06T06:15:56-05:00

Jeff Siegel's What You Need to Know - Saratoga - 6/6/25

June 6, 2025

Jeff Siegel’s “What You Need to Know”
Saturday, June 7, 2024
Saratoga

Specifically designed for the rolling exotic player, Jeff Siegel’s “What You Need to Know” isolates those horses that should be included in daily doubles, pick-3s, pick-4s, pick-5s, and the pick-6.

For additional commentary, follow us on twitter @jsiegelracing.

Grade Descriptions: Grade A=Highest degree of confidence; Grade B=Solid Play. Grade C=Least preferred or pass; Grade X=probable winner but likely at odds too short to play.

__________________________________________________ ________
Saratoga Race 1: Post: 10:45 ET Grade: B-
Main Ticket: 2-Roswell; 1-Save Us Melania; 8-Will Be Famous.
Backups: none.

Forecast: Roswell went sour last fall and was turned out. She’s fired fresh in the past and has numbers to go back to that can win, including a pair of 90+ Beyers over the local main track last summer. If ready, the W. Mott-trained filly can beat this field. Save Us Melania has won two of her last three with good numbers and was an easy winner in her only prior outing at Saratoga, albeit against maiden $20,000 company. Her Aqueduct form has been consistently solid during the winter and spring and her pace stalking/prompting style should produce a trouble-free trip. Will Be Famous, claimed in her last pair and now in the R. Atras barn, has never had much luck at the Spa and needs some help in the speed figure department but could produce an improved effort for her new connections. The veteran mare likes to stalk and pounce and should have her kind of trip, according to the projected race flow.

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Saratoga Race 2: Post: 11:20 ET Grade: B+
Main Ticket: 4-Mainstream
Backups: 7-Draft Riots.

Forecast: Mainstream should be too quick for these. In the frame in both of his career starts, the son of Speightstown earned a monster figure (93 Beyer) when worn down late over a wet track at Churchill Downs on Derby Day and nothing more should be needed to earn a diploma against this group. He’s 6/5 on the morning line and on paper looks it.

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Saratoga Race 3: Post: 11:55 ET Grade: X
Main Ticket: 7-Redistricting.
Backups: 4-El Rezeen; 2-Swifsure.

Forecast: Redistricting exits a series of graded stakes races and should thoroughly enjoy this class drop into the conditioned allowance ranks. Sixth but beaten less than two lengths in the Turf Classic-G1 at Churchill Downs on Derby Day, the Kingman gelding is very fast on numbers, and absent something unforeseen should verify his 6/5 morning line price.

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Saratoga Race 4: Post: 12:35 ET Grade: B+
Main Ticket: 9-General Partner
Backups: 1-Radio Red; 8-Hades.

Forecast: General Partner loves Saratoga – he earned a career top 101 Beyer when crushing an allowance field here last summer – and though he’s burned money in his last two starts as the odds-on favorite the son of Speightstown should have every chance to regain his winning form with the return to the Spa. He’s listed at 7/2 on the morning line and is a gamble at that price, if you can get it.

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Saratoga Race 5: Post: 1:15 ET Grade: B
Main Ticket: 2-Silver Slugger; 1-Unlimitedpotential.
Backups: 6-Antonio of Venice.

Forecast: Silver Slugger is a thoroughly genuine and consistent sprinter with strong speed figures and the proper pace pressing style for this distance. He started off cheap at Tampa Bay Downs but has worked his way right up the class ladder, and after missing in a photo in a graded sprint stakes at the Big A last time out the son of Cairo Prince drops into the first level allowance ranks to steal a purse. Unlimitedpotential isn’t as fast on pure numbers as our top pick but has run well at Saratoga in the past and has never been worse than second in four starts at this seven furlong trip.

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Saratoga Race 6: Post: 1:55 ET Grade: X
Main Ticket: 6-Nitrogen
Backups: 2-May Day Ready.

Forecast: Nitrogen is easily the best sophomore turf filly in North America and will be odds-on to extend her winning streak to five in this year’s renewal of the Wonder Again S.-G2. She’s never raced at Saratoga and we’re not sure how she’ll handle soggy ground if that’s what she’s faced with, but we doubt the conditions, whatever they may be, will stand in her way.

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Saratoga Race 7: Post: 2:37 ET Grade: B+
Main Ticket: 5-Mullikin; 4-Nakatomi.
Backups: 2-Crazy Mason.

Forecast: Mulligan won the Forego-S.-G1 over the Saratoga main track last year and although the R. Brisset-trained horse has not won in three subsequent starts, we’re thinking that the return to the Spa will get this talented son of Violence back on the winning track. He’s especially effective in extended sprints and is reunited with “win rider” F. Prat, so there should be no excuses. Nakatomi is back from Dubai, where he ran lights out when missing by a neck in the valuable Golden Shaheen S.-G1 at Meydan in early April. Another with proven winning form at the Spa, the W. Ward-trained gelding captured the A. G. Vanderbilt S.-G1 here last year and has been burning up the Keeneland main track in the morning since returning from the Middle East.

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Saratoga Race 8: Post: 3:17 ET Grade: A-
Main Ticket: 1-Fierceness
Backups: 2-White Abarrio.

Forecast: It’s very hard to pick against Fierceness in this year’s edition of the Met Mile, so we won’t even try. A perfect three-for-three over the Saratoga main track, the son of City of Light is very fast on figures and has developed the consistency that he lacked earlier in this career. He’s even money on the morning line and is likely to go lower.

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Saratoga Race 9: Post: 4:08 ET Grade: B+
Main Ticket: 2-Think Big
Backups: 5-Arzak.

Forecast: Think Big has developed into a high class turf sprinter – perhaps the best in North America – and conditions appear ideal for the Twirling Candy gelding to extend his winning streak to four and five of his last six. The M. Stidham-trained four year old prefers to settle in mid-pack and then blast home and this rider knows him well and fits him perfectly. At 6/5 on the morning line he’s expected to win but not offer much in the way of wagering value.

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Saratoga Race 10: Post: 4:47 ET Grade: B+
Main Ticket: 1-Zulu Kingdom
Backups: none.

Forecast: Here’s another short-priced favorite that will be a rolling exotic single on the majority of tickets. Zulu Kingdom has been beaten just once in six starts and most recently earned a career top number (90 Beyer) when winning the American Turf-G1 against a tougher field on Derby day at Churchill Downs. He’s 6/5 on the morning line and almost certainly (or should be) odds-on.

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Saratoga Race 11: Post: 5:28 ET Grade: B+
Main Ticket: 4-Patch Adams; 10-Chancer McPatrick.
Backups: 8-Gunmetal.

Forecast: Patch Adams has two terrific sprint outings on his resume – a maiden win by more than 10 lengths last fall and a fast, highly rated allowance victory over a sloppy track on Derby day at Churchill Downs. In between were a couple of disappointing distance races, but this son of Into Mischief is clearly much more effective around one turn and he should continue his outstanding form at this seven furlong distance of the Woody Stephens S.-G1 for 3-year-olds. Based strictly on speed figures the B. Cox-trained sophomore is fast enough to win despite the class hike, and you may get close to his 5-1 morning line due to F. Prat opting for Chancer McPatrick. The latter, like our top pick, turns back to what should be his best trip after failing to perform up to expectations over a distance of ground. His sprint races last year were spectacular, and we expect to see the best he has to offer today, which makes him a major player.

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Saratoga Race 12: Post: 6:09 ET Grade: B+
Main Ticket: 6-Spirit of St Louis; 5-Deterministic.
Backups: 3-Highway Robber.

Forecast: Spirit of St Louis, never worse than second in three career outings over the Saratoga turf course, has won three of his last four starts overall, including the Turf Classic-G1 on Derby Day at Churchill Downs. The C. Brown-trained gelding is consistent and reliable, and his best race is good enough to win again. Deterministic likes the front end and if he’s able to secure a trip as the controlling speed the rapidly developing son of Liam’s Map may prove to be an elusive target. He’s never been quite this good, but a career top 98 Beyer speed figure when winning the Ft. Marcy S.-G2 indicates he’s getting close.

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Saratoga Race 13: Post: 7:04 ET Grade: A-
Main Ticket: 3-Rodriguez; 7-Journalism.
Backups: none.

Forecast: Rodriguez will be the controlling speed, and in two prior outings with that kind of trip the son of Authentic ran away and hid - most recently in the Wood Memorial S.-G2 - while earning triple digit Beyer numbers in both of those victories. Freshened and breezing better and better with each workout, the B. Baffert-trained colt may be stretching his limit at 10 furlongs but if not policed early he can take control from the gate and never look back to spring the upset. There’s a gamble here at 6-1 on the morning line if you can get it (and you should). Journalism will be racing for third time in five weeks. That’s really the only concern. Otherwise, the Preakness S.-G1 winning son of Curlin almost certainly will fire another big shot and be the one our top pick will have to hold off in the final furlong.

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Saratoga Race 14: Post: 8:02 ET Grade: B+
Main Ticket: 2-Taraj (Ire) ; Then.
Backups: 8-Smooth Breeze; 4-Deuteronomy.

Forecast: Taraj (ire) makes his U.S. debut in this first level allowance turf router and based on his European form the Irish-bred colt should outclass this field. The W. Mott-trained colt was Group-3 placed in Ireland two races back when assigned a 99 Timeform Rating, and that makes him a strong fit at this level on this circuit. He’s a first time Lasix user for a barn that generally does well with European imports. Then is the best of the local contingent. He’s a stretch runner with a dangerous late kick, so if the pace is normal or faster he’ll be heard from in the closing stages.

**Can'tPickAWinner** · 2025-06-06T06:16:26-05:00

Al Cimaglia: Yonkers Raceway Late Pick 4 Analysis

June 6, 2025 | By Al Cimaglia

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Yonkers Raceway has a 9-race card. The $2.00 Late Pick 4 starts in Race 6, and the sequence will be my focus. Comments and selections below are based on a fast track.

Race 6 (8:25 PM EDT)

3-The Prince (3-1)-Worked hard to get the top and finished 2nd by a neck. It was out of the norm for type of trip and that was still a very good try. Could come right back and will be close to the top off the gate and Jordan Stratton has options.
4-Torrone (2-1)-Beat up on easier for a win at PcD and come right back and fits against this class. Should be in hunt and has been hitting the board while facing better at Yonkers.

Race 7 (8:45 PM EDT)

3-Cactustothclouds (5/2)-Lost to a well-meant winner in last and fell a 1/2 length short. Likes a top of the stack ytrip and Brent Holland can make that plan work. Has been drawing outside and did take a picture the last time leaving from this post.
6-Djimon (4-1)-Shipped in to PcD from Ontario, got the pocket and finished that way. Was facing better when last here in November. Did have some breaking issues, but should be a player against this bunch if minds it manners.

Race 8 (8:25 PM EDT)

5-Factory Girl (7/5)-Steps up after posting a 2nd place finish and a win last by getting on the engine against easier. Should be a player when facing this group and could land on the point or in the pocket off the gate.
7-Uptown Hanover (3-1)-Cullipher entry has been racing well against better but has burned some money in the last 2 starts. Could post an overdue win with the class relief.

Race 9 (9:25 PM EDT)

5-Lucky Artist A (4-1)-Like much of the field recent form has been spotty but has been drawing outside while facing better. Drops to face a beatable field and Jim Marohn could have the pedal down and be aggressive in this spot.
6-Twin B Echo (8-1)-Willing to fade the 9/5 chalk #2 Ladycorona and take a sing for a price who is getting class relief plus post relief. The Artist was off 20-days before the last start. Gets a new set of hands in George Brennan and when he teams up with trainer Nick DeVita they win 36% of the time.

$2 Late Pick 4

3,4/3,6/5,7/5,6
Total Bet=$32

**Can'tPickAWinner** · 2025-06-06T06:17:25-05:00

Jeff Siegel's What You Need to Know - Saratoga - 6/6/25

June 6, 2025

Jeff Siegel’s “What You Need to Know”
Friday, June 6, 2024
Saratoga

Specifically designed for the rolling exotic player, Jeff Siegel’s “What You Need to Know” isolates those horses that should be included in daily doubles, pick-3s, pick-4s, pick-5s, and the pick-6.

For additional commentary, follow us on twitter @jsiegelracing.

Grade Descriptions: Grade A=Highest degree of confidence; Grade B=Solid Play. Grade C=Least preferred or pass; Grade X=probable winner but likely at odds too short to play.

__________________________________________________ ________
Saratoga Race 1: Post: 11:40 ET Grade: B+
Main Ticket: 6-Munnings Express
Backups: 5-Geopoiitics; 4-Sassy Shenanigans

Forecast: Munnings Express improved her Beyer speed figure by 23 points in her second career start, a facile state-bred maiden win at Aqueduct last month., She returns in three weeks seeking to build on that performance in this first level allowance sprint and based on numbers is simply faster than these. Listed at 5/2 on the morning line, the L. Rice-trained filly probably will leave at a bit lower than that.

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Saratoga Race 2: Post: 12:16 ET Grade: B+
Main Ticket: 1-Numbered/1a-Endorse
Backups: 6-Surprise; 5-All Night Revival.

Forecast: Trainer Todd Pletcher has a couple of live items in this extended sprint for older fillies and mares and the same owner entry will race coupled in the wagering. Numbered never found her proper footing when well-backed in her debut over a wet surface she seemed to struggle over but stayed on with interest to be third (beaten four lengths) in a promising run last month. A long-striding filly begging for more ground, she is highly likely to improve off that effort for a barn that hits at a strong 21% with second timers. Additionally, she gets an extra furlong to work with today while Johnny V. stays aboard and blinkers are added. Stable mate Endorse, a first timer by Curlin, hasn’t done anything fancy in the morning but her work tab should have her plenty fit, so we suspect she’ll do her best work from off the pace.

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Saratoga Race 3: Post: 12:52 ET Grade: C+
Main Ticket: 3-Works for Me; 8-Final Verdict.
Backups: 5-Urban Legend; 2-Antares; 7-Refuel

Forecast: Works for Me and Final Verdict are tough to separate – they finished noses apart when second and third respectively in a similar turf sprint at Aqueduct last month – and both should fire good shots in this abbreviated dash for second level allowance older horses. The former likes to settle early and accelerate late and with good racing luck and some help up front should be heard from close home. ‘Verdict, a prior winner over the local lawn, has more tactical speed than his chief rival and projects to be prominent throughout.

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Saratoga Race 4: Post: 1:29 ET Grade: B-
Main Ticket: 7-Vehemente
Backups: 2-Embraceable Gal; 5-Army Gal.

Forecast: Vehemente has speed figures that continue to rise with each outing and while she’s tackling tougher on the mandatory raise while seeking her third straight score the daughter of Vekoma looks well-spotted to extend her seek. She employs an ideal second flight, stalking style for this extended sprint distance and usually does her best work in the final furlong. She might improve even more if she learns how to change leads.

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Saratoga Race 5: Post: 2:04 ET Grade: B+
Main Ticket: 6-Strategic Focus; 2-Malarchuk
Backups: 5-Waitlist; 7-Dreamlike.

Forecast: Strategic Focus earned a giant 90 Beyer speed figure in his one turn mile debut victory at Aqueduct in April despite taking the overland route and being ridden like they were merely giving him a race. Returning with a proper amount of rest to tackle first level allowance foes while stretching out to nine furlongs, the son of Gun Runner looks like a real prospect, but trainer C. Brown will wisely take the conditions as they come up. His uncoupled C. Brown-trained stable mate Malarchuk has burned money in each of his last three starts, most recently going down by a neck at 3/5 at this level over a sloppy track last month at the Big A (had every chance but couldn’t get by). Blinkers are added and why not; they might as well try something new.

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Saratoga Race 6: Post: 2:40 ET Grade: B+
Main Ticket: 3-Ways and Means .
Backups: 1-Irish Maxima.

Forecast: Ways and Means returns to her favorite track (three wins in four starts including a Grade-1) and won’t have Kopion to worry about today in this year’s renewal of the Bed O’ Roses S.-G2 for older fillies and mares. She has earned triple digit Beyer speed figures in three of her last five starts and on resume simply outclasses this field at a short price.

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Saratoga Race 7: Post: 3:16 ET Grade: B+
Main Ticket: 3-Mystifying; 4-Royally Rate.
Backups: 7-Louise Proctor; 2-Hope Mission

Forecast: Mystifying earned a big figure when a somewhat unlucky second in her recent comeback at Keeneland and if she produces a similar effort today the daughter of Curlin should regain her winning form. She’s drawn nicely inside and project to draft into an ideal pace stalking/prompting position and have every chance from there. Royally Rate graduated gamely in her debut at Gulfstream Park in mid-April but is facing much tougher today. She may be a decent type but has considerable ground to make up on her main rival in the speed figure department.

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Saratoga Race 8: Post: 3:52 ET Grade: B+
Main Ticket: 1-Asbury Park-GB
Backups: 10-Reteko; 6-Tom Collins.

Forecast: Asbury Park-GB had an educational run last August over the local lawn and wound up a close fifth as the favorite after finding his best stride too late without being knocked about. The English-bred colt returns for C. Brown with a series of steady works that should have him plenty fit, attracts F. Prat, and remains well regarded. If he’s truly a decent sort – we think he is - he should be able to handle this older maiden field.

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Saratoga Race 9: Post: 4:28 ET Grade: B
Main Ticket: 4-Raging Sea; 7-Randomized.
Backups:

Forecast: Raging Sea returned to winning form in her seasonal debut in the La Troienne S.-G1 at Churchill Downs but the speed figure was quite average and isn’t likely to be good enough to win again in today’s Ogden Phipps S.-G1. The good news is that this high class daughter of Curlin is a three time winner over the Saratoga main track and clearly her best race makes her tough to beat. Randomized, beaten less than a length by our top pick in Kentucky, also has won three races over the local main track including last year’s renewal of the Phipps. She’s most effective as the controlling speed and front running tactics seems likely despite her outside draw.

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Saratoga Race 10: Post: 5:08 ET Grade: B-
Main Ticket: 1-Flatten the Curve (Fr); 3-Limited Liability; 5-Anglophile,
Backups: 6-The Ginger Wizard; 8-Grtan Sonata.

Forecast: The German invader Flatten the Curve (Fr) has won his last three but probably was not beating much in doing so. What we do know is that he’ll stay all day and that’s the name of the game in these two mile affairs. Limited Liability hits hard in these marathons but if there’s one concern is that he tends to finish second or third (11 times) rather than win (four times). He’ll fire his usual shot and if it’s good enough, he’ll win, and if it isn’t, he won’t. Anglophile, like our top pick, has been more of a nibbler than a winner but is worth tossing in somewhere.

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Saratoga Race 11: Post: 5:46 ET Grade: B+
Main Ticket: 2-Good Cheer; 4-Shred the Gnar.
Backups: none.

Forecast: Good Cheer has never impressed the Beyer boys but it’s hard to find fault with a perfect seven-for-seven. There’s no reason to expect anything less than her best today. Shred the Gnar actually is a bit faster than the favorite purely on speed figures, but she’s never won anything better than a first level allowance race and she’s facing other speed types that will challenge her early. She might be the goods; today we’ll find out.

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Saratoga Race 12: Post: 6:25 ET Grade: A-
Min Ticket: 8-She Feels Pretty
Backups: none.

Forecast: She Feels Pretty has been untouchable in her last three wins since adding blinkers, all against top class company. She’s 3/5 on the morning line and on pure form looks every bit of that or even shorter. We’ll make her a rolling exotic single but otherwise watch and admire.

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Saratoga Race 13: Post: 7:04 ET Grade: B+
Main Ticket: 8-Excellent Truth.
Backups: 9-Chiusya (GB).

Forecast: Excellent Truth (Ire) was a tad unlucky when forced to alter course in mid-stretch and then just failing to catch Choisya (GB) close home in the Jenny Wiley S.-G1 at Keeneland in her U.S. debut last month, but with better luck today the Irish-bred filly can make amends. She was a high class performer overseas and will be at that same level on this side of the pond.

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Saratoga Race 14: Post: 7:43 ET Grade: B
Main Ticket: 1-Keepinitreal; 12-Counter Move.
Backups: 6-Hit the Post.

Forecast: Keepinbitreal, in the frame in both of his juvenile outings last fall, shows up as a first-time Lasix user in this extended sprint for state-bred maidens and if he returns as well as he left the son of City of Light should be ready to graduate. The C. Brown barn is 23% with layoff runners so we expect this colt to be fit and ready. Counter Move is plenty quick and will take them as far as he can. The son of Spun to Run shortens up a furlong and may stick better, but in three starts so far he’s never really displayed any intention of digging down deep under pressure close home.

**Can'tPickAWinner** · 2025-06-06T06:20:24-05:00

Brian W. Spencer's Daily Picks

Santa Anita - Race #7

#9 Sun of Hill	She's got pretty honest finishing form that seems to fit well here, and she hits hard here today if she's able to get anywhere close to that good Grade III try last out.
#12 Little Hidden Port	Tough post today, but there is a little bit of appeal here on paper for the first North American start, and the price should be OK. Take a look.
#4 Sunset Glory	Yes, she is supposed to win this at a short price, but I wouldn't be totally surprised if there was a bit of rust to shake off here while returning from the Breeders' Cup layoff. Better things down the road?
Race Summary	Sunset Glory can win this at a likely short price, but I like the way Sun of Hill is going right now and think she'll be able to get the laugh on the line.

Santa Anita - Race #8

#6 Jazz Spot	Presence of the next one might keep the price somewhat playable here, and the addition of blinkers gives her some upside in the second start back. Reasonable alternative to the chalk in a bad race.
#1 Wishful Thinker	Might be overthinking it here, as anything like the two-back run would hammer this group, and I suppose you can forgive her for the route dud last out. The clear one to beat.
#3 Cote Blanc	Nothing from her at 130/1 against special weight company in the debut, but she could conceivably move forward with that race under her belt while dropping hard for the bottom here.
Race Summary	Jazz Spot might be the second choice here, and I'm hoping the addition of blinkers will keep her in the mix early today as a possible alternative to the rail runner.

Santa Anita - Race #9

#7 Bad to the Bones	Think his better recent form will be enough to handle this group after finding some better spots in those starts. Dangerous here.
#3 One of These Days	He ran a good one off the bench and now goes for the new team, and he was taking a similar drop that day to the one the top choice makes today. One of the ones.
#1 Naismith	His baseline makes him a player, but that has also been the case in several of his recent starts, and he has been stuck settling for underneath shares. Possible.
Race Summary	Bad to the Bones looks tough in here with some reliable finishing form against better, and I'd be happy to take a solid lean with him to close out the day.

**Can'tPickAWinner** · 2025-06-06T06:20:42-05:00

Frank Carulli's Daily Picks

Belmont at Saratoga - Race #2

#11 RESURGE (4-1)	Steady work tab, tries to follow in the footsteps of her dam, a $2.2 million earner.
#6 SURPRISED (6-1)	Finished between two next-out winners and two runners-up in well-bet debut.
#1 NUMBERED (8-5)	Up late for third while widest in the slop; entry-mate was $375k purchase.
Race Summary	RESURGE, part of an uncoupled entry, worked three times over the Saratoga training track to prep for her debut. Her dam, Close Hatches, was a five-time Grade 1 winner who romped in her first start. Mott trained 14 debut winners in the last two years with a $17.80 average win mutuel, but he is 1-for-22 with first-time starters at Saratoga since 2024. Bet to win and place.

Belmont at Saratoga - Race #6

#1 IRISH MAXIMA (6-1)	Steadily improving 4yo has speed and rail and a recent G-3 win at this distance.
#3 WAYS AND MEANS (8-5)	Ran 1-2 in 7F, G-1 stakes here in last 2 years, posted :48.3 bullet May 30.
#2 SCYLLA (5-2)	Multiple graded-stakes winning router had troubled trip against tigress last out
Race Summary	WAYS AND MEANS posted three triple-digit Beyers in her last five starts and returns to her favorite track in lieu of millionaire status. Four of her rivals are coming off their top speed figure and rail-sitter IRISH MAXIMA led at almost every call in winning 5 of her last 6 starts. IRISH MAXIMA went wire-to-wire for her first graded stakes victory last out, posting a faster 6F split and 7F final time than a same-day, 2X allowance for NY-bred colts and geldings. At a much bigger price, bet on her to win and place and play a 1-3 exacta box.

Belmont at Saratoga - Race #10

#1 FLATTEN THE CURVE (3-1)	Remarkable transformation in this barn overseas, makes stateside debut.
#3 LIMITED LIABILITY (2-1)	Adapting to up-close tactics, stands 7/1-3-3 at 1-1/2 miles and beyond.
#4 LA MEHANA (15-1)	Often rallies into photo-finish view and has yet to be favored in the U.S.
Race Summary	It’s almost unimaginable to think a turf marathoner could be 2-for-34 deep into his 5-year-old season, then win four races in a row – two in graded stakes company – at 1-3/4 miles and beyond. Germany invader FLATTEN THE CURVE is that horse and he gets the nod for a win and place wager in the 2-mile Belmont Gold Cup.

**Can'tPickAWinner** · 2025-06-06T06:21:43-05:00

F.A.S.T. Sheets Free Race for Century Mile
PURCHASE

Century Mile - Race 9	Exacta / Trifecta / Superfecta / Late Double
Optional Claiming $17,500 • 7 Furlongs • Dirt • Ages 3 and up • CR: 79 • Purse: $21,500 • Post: 10:15
FOR FILLIES AND MARES THREE YEARS OLD AND UPWARD WHICH HAVE NEVER WON THREE RACES OR OPTIONAL CLAIMING $17,500. THREE YEAR OLDS, 120 LBS.; OLDER, 125 LBS. NON-WINNERS OF A RACE IN 2025 ALLOWED 2 LBS. CLAIMING PRICE $17,500. ALBERTA BRED CLAIMING PRICE $22,000.

Contenders				Race Analysis
P#	Horse	Morn Line	Accept Odds	Race Type: Lone Stalker. ASAMATTEROFFACTIDO is the Lone Stalker of the race. * KEY ANGLES * ASAMATTEROFFACTIDO: Horse has run a Good Race within the last 30 days. Horse has the highest TrackMaster Power Rating. DARE TO COMPARE: Horse has run a G ood Race within the last 30 days. Horse ranks in the top three in TrackMaster Power Rating. WHO'S THAT BABY: Today is a sprint and this is the horse's third or fourth start after a layoff. Horse ranks in the top three in TrackMaster Power Rating. HOAX: Horse has a TrackMaster "+" designation or an "L" designation. Today is a sprint and this is the horse's third or fourth start after a layoff.
7	ASAMATTEROFFACTIDO	7/2	9/2
6	DARE TO COMPARE	3/1	6/1
5	WHO'S THAT BABY	5/2	7/1
1	HOAX	10/1	7/1

P#	Horse (In Running Style Order)	Post	Morn Line	Running Style	Good Class	Good Speed	Early Figure	Finish Figure	Platinum Figure
6	DARE TO COMPARE	6	3/1	Front-runner	85	82	85.4	75.2	67.7
1	HOAX	1	10/1	Front-runner	86	83	83.4	68.2	58.2
7	ASAMATTEROFFACTIDO	7	7/2	Stalker	75	86	70.6	77.8	72.8
5	WHO'S THAT BABY	5	5/2	Trailer	85	77	81.0	77.0	72.0
3	CROWN OF CAIRO	3	5/1	Trailer	82	65	45.0	62.8	51.3
2	AWESOME TAYLOR	2	8/1	Trailer	84	73	44.2	67.6	59.6
4	JODEYS LIL PAIN	4	12/1	Alternator/Non-contender	73	71	63.4	59.6	45.6
8	OOPS AND DOWNS	8	15/1	Alternator/Non-contender	78	71	62.8	63.2	53.2

**Can'tPickAWinner** · 2025-06-06T06:22:04-05:00

F.A.S.T. Sheets Free Race for Delta Downs
PURCHASE

Delta Downs - Race 5	Exacta/Trifecta (.50)/Superfecta (.10 min.)/Daily Double (Races 5-6)($1 min.) Pick 3 (Races 5-7)/Pick 5 (Races 5-9)
Claiming $7,500 • 250 Yards • Dirt • Ages 3 and up • CR: 75 • Purse: $13,000 • Post: 7:59P
QUARTER HORSE 250Y, FOR ACCREDITED LA BRED THREE YEAR OLDS AND UPWARD WHICH HAVE NEVER WON TWO RACES. THREE YEAR OLDS, 126 LBS.; OLDER, 128 LBS. CLAIMING PRICE $7,500.

Contenders				Race Analysis
P#	Horse	Morn Line	Accept Odds	Race Type: Not Applicable (Quarter Horse). * KEY ANGLES * SYLVI CAN TOO: Horse has a TrackMaster "+" designation or an "L" designation. SHEZA TRAIN BABY: Jockey/Trainer combination return on investment is at least +20. TTT LOBITA: Horse ranks i n the top three in TrackMaster Power Rating. THE COONASH CARTEL: Horse has a TrackMaster "+" designation or an "L" designation. ONE SWIFT ROGUE: Horse has the highest average Equibase Class Rating at the distance/surface.
8	SYLVI CAN TOO	2/1	9/2
6	SHEZA TRAIN BABY	12/1	7/1
7	TTT LOBITA	10/1	8/1
3	THE COONASH CARTEL	6/1	9/1
4	ONE SWIFT ROGUE	15/1	9/1

P#	Horse (In Running Style Order)	Post	Morn Line	Running Style	Good Class	Good Speed	Early Figure	Finish Figure	Platinum Figure
1	MAKINIT	1	9/2	Fast	70	63	2.8	0.0	0.0
2	RAIL RUNNER	2	8/1	Slow	62	65	9.5	0.0	0.0
3	THE COONASH CARTEL	3	6/1	Average	73	66	4.9	0.0	0.0
4	ONE SWIFT ROGUE	4	15/1	Average	71	68	3.7	0.0	0.0
5	OH MY FORTUNES	5	3/1	Average	69	67	5.1	0.0	0.0
6	SHEZA TRAIN BABY	6	12/1	Average	78	69	0.0	0.0	0.0
7	TTT LOBITA	7	10/1	Average	73	70	0.0	0.0	0.0
8	SYLVI CAN TOO	8	2/1	Average	80	76	4.4	0.0	0.0

**Can'tPickAWinner** · 2025-06-06T06:22:26-05:00

Handicapped by The Turf Club Analysts

PURCHASE

Santa Anita - Race #8 - Post: 4:48pm - Maiden Claiming - 6.0 furlongs on the Dirt. Purse: $13,500 Class Rating: 60

Rating:

#8 REBELEXIS (ML=10/1)
#4 SMOOVE OVER (ML=8/1)
#2 LUCKY NEA (ML=12/1)

REBELEXIS - Faced tougher last time around the track at Santa Anita. Based on class figures, this is a weaker group, so I will put this horse on my list of contenders in this race. I think that the addition of blinkers today will keep her mind on the race at hand. SMOOVE OVER - Personally, I wouldn't worry about where she finished in her last race (fourth). Should rebound right here in this race, with some pretty good odds. Here is an appropriate handicapping angle that I've used many times before. Play a filly (like this one) getting Lasix for the second time. LUCKY NEA - This filly is in excellent form right now. Ended up third last out and comes back soon. Chavez comes to ride again after getting to know the filly in the last contest. I usually like playing sprinters who are 3-4 races into a return to racing.

Vulnerable Contenders: #1 WISHFUL WINKER (ML=4/5), #6 JAZZ SPOT (ML=9/2),

WISHFUL WINKER - Really had to give me much more last time around the track. Never made much of an impact. JAZZ SPOT - The fifth place finish in the last race coming after the long breather is certainly not a positive indication. This runner hasn't been coming close at the finish line recently.

STRAIGHT WAGERS:	Bet on #8 REBELEXIS to win if you can get at least 5/2 odds
EXACTA WAGERS:	8 with [2,4]
TRIFECTA WAGERS:	Box [2,4,8] Total Cost: $6
SUPERFECTA WAGERS:	None

**Can'tPickAWinner** · 2025-06-06T06:22:41-05:00

Handicapped by The Walker Group at Saratoga

PURCHASE
Always check program numbers.
Odds shown are morning line odds.

Race 6 - Stakes - 7.0f on the Dirt. Purse: $300000 Class Rating: 108

BED O' ROSES S. - GRADE 2 FOR FILLIES AND MARES FOUR YEARS OLD AND UPWARD. LASIX NOT ALLOWED WITHIN 48 HOURS OF POST TIME PURSUANT TO HISA RULE 4212. BY SUBSCRIPTION OF $300 EACH WHICH SHOULD ACCOMPANY THE NOMINATION. $1,500 TO PASS THE ENTRY BOX AND AN ADDITIONAL $1,500 TO START. FOR HORSES NOT ORIGINALLY NOMINATED, A SUPPLEMENTAL PAYMENT OF $1,500 IN ADDITION TO THE ENTRY AND

RECOMMENDED CHOICES
	# 4 JODY'S PRIDE 9/2
# 3 WAYS AND MEANS 6/5
# 1 IRISH MAXIMA 6/1

JODY'S PRIDE looks to be a respectable contender. With one of the best jock in terms of dividends at the window, don't count this filly out. WAYS AND MEANS - In this field, this one is at the top in earnings per start in dirt sprint races. The Equibase Speed Figure of 108 from her latest contest looks very strong in here. IRISH MAXIMA - Will almost certainly go to the front end and should never look back. Is worth taking a close look at and may be a bet - strong Equibase Speed Figures (106 average) at today's distance and surface as of late.

**Can'tPickAWinner** · 2025-06-06T06:23:02-05:00

Handicapped by The Walker Group at Camarero Race Track

PURCHASE
Always check program numbers.
Odds shown are morning line odds.

Race 7 - Claiming - 7.0f on the Dirt. Purse: $6000 Class Rating: 38

FOR NATIVE FOUR YEAR OLDS AND UPWARD WHICH HAVE NOT WON A RACE SINCE OCTOBER 6 AND WHICH HAVE STARTED FOR A CLAIMING PRICE OF $8,000 OR LESS. WEIGHT, 120 LBS. NON-WINNERS OF A RACE SINCE MAY 6 ALLOWED 2 LBS. A RACE SINCE APRIL 6 ALLOWED 3 LBS. 4# A DEBTS ALLOWED 4 LBS. CLAIMING PRICE $4,000.

RECOMMENDED CHOICES
	# 9 EL KID CASAS 3/1
# 7 JURAMENTO 9/2
# 3 NUBE NEGRA 10/1

EL KID CASAS looks to be a strong contender. Looks formidable to be up near the front end at the first call. Likely to see a solid effort with the class drop. JURAMENTO - Have to look at solely on class, with some of the most favorable class figs of this group.

**Can'tPickAWinner** · 2025-06-06T06:23:32-05:00

Handicapped by The Turf Club Analysts

PURCHASE

Laurel - Race #3 - Post: 1:10pm - SO - 8.0 furlongs on the Turf. Purse: $24,000 Class Rating: 90

Rating:

#16 VANZZY (ML=10/1)
#9 COACHES MEETING (ML=9/2)
#5 FUN LOVIN CRIMINAL (ML=5/1)

VANZZY - This is a classic 'Lone Front-runner' scenario. If Sanchez gets him out of the gate cleanly it'll likely be smooth sailing. This jock and conditioner's animals have been generating a favorable ROI. Taking a trip down the class scale; has the form to make his presence felt. Last two Equibase speed figures (91, 91) were solid. Anything close to that in this race and this one may win easily. Have to make this gelding a win candidate; he comes off a solid outing on May 21st. COACHES MEETING - This gelding has been training well, and the recent bullet work says he's primed for a big race today. FUN LOVIN CRIMINAL - Ran last out against tougher competition at Pimlico. The move down in class ranks should suit him well. Sub-par performance last race out at Pimlico was due to the off-going (he finished fifth). Expect better today on a fast track.

Vulnerable Contenders: #10 JOE (ML=5/2), #11 B DETERMINED (ML=3/1), #7 FORREST CITY (ML=7/2),

JOE - This probable favorite hasn't visited the track in awhile. No workouts since last race. 5/2 is too low of a value to take on most any racer that has run poorly in back to back outings. Can't really back the chalk when he has multiple failures as the chalk. B DETERMINED - This gelding probably needs a more preferred pace configuration to make his late rush. FORREST CITY - Not much value on this horse at the likely odds of 7/2.

STRAIGHT WAGERS:	Put your money on #16 VANZZY on the nose if you can get odds of 3/1 or more
EXACTA WAGERS:	Box [5,9,16]
TRIFECTA WAGERS:	Box [5,9,16] Total Cost: $6
SUPERFECTA WAGERS:	[5,9,16] with [5,9,16] with [5,7,8,9,16] with [5,7,8,9,16] Total Cost: $36