5 dimes
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Risk To Win Status Wager 110294629-1 2/23/12 2:14pm $516.11 $55.36 Pending 4 Team Parlay Pending 2/25/12 11:59pm Props Fighting 1128 Any other result -7900* vs Bader wins by submission Pending 2/25/12 11:59pm Props Fighting 1228 Any other result -2630* vs Hunt wins by submission Pending 2/25/12 11:30pm Props Fighting 1328 Any other result -4925* vs Akiyama wins by submission Pending 2/25/12 11:00pm Props Fighting 1432 Any other result -3085* vs Boetsch wins by submission
I was doing the math wrong. I was thinking you were getting -500, but it is actually -932. Just got confused. I think I am going to do Shields and Okami both. Really don't see either guy getting subbed. I might cheat a little and only do half the bankroll.
Hunt is not going to sub Kongo either.
I'm going to be so happy if I can get this to $1400. Apart of me will want to keep going though, and another part would want to cash out a grand
Assuming I do not crash and burn this weekend, the next bet for this parlay will be "Not Alves by submission"
Don't puss out. You will be pretty lucky if y ou can get it to $1400.... That is 350% ROI. My original goal was to get 100% on mine, just double it over a year.
I have been more aggressive here in the last few events... so if we can keep the pace up that we have now, 25% so far, we are going to double our money 4.16 times in 2012. You should be at about $1600 by year's end based on these two months. If you keep it going into 2013, you will be $6666 by years end.
6 more months and you would be maxing out at 5d on prop bets... so you would have to be content to play for $1000 on each bet.
Yeah, this bet for this event is kind of risky since it's a parlay..but I am trying to be more aggressive as well since it is less money. I wish I was doing this last year, when "Not Cerrone by sub" was -395 against Diaz
Don't worry, bargains will come along. The only thing that bothers me is that I know I am going to get wiped out at some point and for now, I am just rolling the dice hoping to build up a stack a year at a time. Eventually, I want to have several parlay units. So if I get wiped out, I just pick right up there again.
Bored in class so I am looking for upcoming UFC/Strikeforce cards and potential parlay bets:
Not Alves or Kampmann by sub -UFC on FX 2
Not Marunde, Daley, Noons by sub -Strikeforce: Tate vs Rousey ...the only "lock" there should be Marunde
Not Stann or Sakara by sub-UFC on Fuel TV 2 ...Probably won't even touch this though
Not Che Mills/Rashad Evans by sub-UFC 145
Not Koscheck/Belcher by sub-UFC on Fox 3
Not Igor Pokrajac by sub-UFC on Fuel 3
Not Barboza by sub-UFC 146
Not Vitor Belfort/Wanderlei Silva by sub-UFC 147
That is until June. Any disagreements? Additions?
$1000 is the max win on a prop bet (or so I have been told). I bet $1500, but only win $100 or so.
I don't know, never tried to win that much on a prop bet. From what I heard about 5d, and this may all be bullshit, they will not let you play if you start taking that much money from them. We'll see.
^^$1000 every week or two... is what it would be in that scenario. Just from what I have read about 5D, they aren't going to allow that. But people lie on the internet some times I think, so who knows.
I believe Hioki and Shields qualify for the lock section. Also like Not boetsch and Edgar.
So i have not bart, akiyama, boetsch, and edgar involved in my original 15 man, $500 rolling parlay. So if these hit, I'll have only 2 spots left to complete the parlay.
Started another $500 parlay with 20 spots. 6 of them filled with not Akiyama, edgar, hunt, boetsch, bart, and bader by sub.
Fuck it. I am doing it.
"$1872 to win $187 on "Not Akiyama to sub Shields/Not Boetch to sub Okami/Not Bart to sub Hioki"
Worried about Hioki, but his line is pretty soft.