Mike Browns odds up -345
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Mike Browns odds up -345
Once the lines come up on 5dimes, I will be taking Faber for 0.5 unit. Cerrone/Henderson is WAY too much of a toss up. I don't think Henderson is good as everybody thinks he is though.
Aldo up to -300 on bookmaker .This is just stupid now.No way I'm betting this
Mike Brown is -700. I missed it. May have jumped the gun on Aldo. Bet 9.6u to win 3u.
Cerrone definitely has a chance this time around. He has to try and stay off his back a little more and he can win this fight.
Wow, Brown's odds go through the roof!
Just took Gamburyan for .25u @ +500.
Brown is great, but he should not be -700 in this fight.
I have no idea how Manny can win though. He does the same things Brown does but not as good.Quote:
Originally Posted by SPX
I think Brown's stand up is obviously much better, but in terms of grappling it's pretty even. Manny is a fucking judo bad ass and he's also really solid and strong physically.Quote:
Originally Posted by zY|
Obviously I like Brown in this fight, but not to the tune of -700.
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Originally Posted by SPX
sorry you missed -345 you only had 20 minutes from the time I posted it until they skyrocketed
It's all good. I probably would not have taken him at -345 either. I think I'd want -300 or better in this one.Quote:
Originally Posted by Luke
i would have took Brown at -350.
I just reluctantly took Manny G. for .1u to win .5u. There is value there, but he is losing.
Well if it's just .1u, I wouldn't worry too much about it after all the crazy shit I've seen you do in the past.Quote:
Originally Posted by Thewiseman
Ha Ha, what crazy shit? Give me an example. i know i do, just want to hear what you think is crazy. Besides parlays.Quote:
Originally Posted by SPX
Ha ha. . .Quote:
Originally Posted by Thewiseman
Well the parlays are a huge part of it, especially when you have like 5 parlays with 15 guys in them all and you're risking .02u to win 20u.
Also there's that time you bet like a thousand units on Couture to win five or some shit like that. I mean, obviously you were on the right side of the bet even at that line, but anything can happen.
What percentage of your total bankroll is one unit for you? Also, I have to wonder if you're playing with $1 units. Because usually when I see guys making plays with a ton of units then either their bankroll is something like 500 units large or they're playing with units that translate into very small actual dollar amounts.
I use $50 units and I have a bankroll of about $4000, just a little over. Yeah, if im confident I will bet big. Like on Pat Barry vs Cro Cop comin up.
Quote:
Originally Posted by Thewiseman
Crazy=Quote:
thewiseman-Nog in rd 3, Bader in rd 1, silva in rd 1, Sotiropoulos by dec, cro cop .03u to win 82.86u Same as above except no prop on nog. +Tehuna, Dollaway, Foster, and Bonnar .03u to win 399.46u
::handshake::
just my opinion ::handshake::
Com'on, that shits just for fun!! I have hit those before, and you feel like a beast when you do, and really dont notice when you lose. I know they are -EV, but screw it.
LOL, Luke.
Somehow that one by passed by notice. I had no idea such insanity was occurring around here!
Quote:
Originally Posted by SPX
::lmao:: I first saw that 100 man parlay .03 unit to win 100,000 and was like :WHAT ::shocked::
I had to copy and paste it for future conversations
Watch, I will hit one of those crazy suckers in the next few months, and make many units.
Quote:
Originally Posted by Thewiseman
You asked what you considered crazy
I love those "wiseman specials!"Quote:
Originally Posted by Thewiseman
Going to wait until Faber is +275. He is being undervalued imo.
2u to win 4.4u on Faber
2u to win 1.7u on Cerrone
Thats it so far, when the other lines out I might bet a few
I hope you win them both.Quote:
Originally Posted by LudoCain
Why so confident on Faber, though?
Donald Cerrone -105.. I thought he won the 1st fight so i believe theres nice value here as he was over 30O favorite the last timw out. Henderson is very tough but i dont think i the 1st fight he ever had cerrone in danger. Cerrone has the better standup and is very good off is back. Hopefully he will be able to stuff a takedown or 2 but im assuming at some point or 2 he will be on his back looking for submissons.. Good luck to those on the "cowboy"
Because if anyone in the division is savvy enough to beat Aldo, it's Faber. He's very hard to knock out(had he not been going for a flying spinning back elbow when he got caught by that right hook in the first brown fight I don't think it would have knocked him down). His footwork is excellent, his striking is fast enough and unorthodox enough to win this fight. I think Faber feels like circumstance has kept him from getting his belt back and I think he's hungrier than ever this time around.
Cerrone lost a razor thin decision. I think he realizes where he went wrong since then and has worked on his takedown defenses. If he can stuff more takedowns than he did last time and control this thing like he did last time around in the 4th and 5th rounds, he'll have no problem winning this fight. He had no problem locking up submissions from the bottom the last time around. It was something like 2 chokes and a couple armbars he locked up pretty good. It's just that Henderson seems to be un-submittable so far.
I hope you're right, but it sounds more like you should be doing a .5u to 1u play as opposed to a 2u play.Quote:
Originally Posted by LudoCain
I'm on tilt.
Quote:
Originally Posted by LudoCain
Is there anyone thats not on tilt around here?
Nobody who bet on BJ Penn.
Not me, but we'll see after this weekend.Quote:
Originally Posted by Luke
I am literally $7 away from emerging into a level of profitability since I started betting.
I could go into shell shock also if Hendo loses .I'm up 6.6 units for the year and have 6 on Hendo
EDIT: "New" level of profitability that is.
I have about 1.8u in my 5dimes account that I'm considering dropping on him just to try to jack up the funds on that account.Quote:
Originally Posted by Luke
Did I tell you they won't take my credit card anymore?
Total bullshit.
Quote:
Originally Posted by LudoCain
hahaha
Quote:
Originally Posted by SPX
I funded my 5dimes with western union and some doing an interbook transfer from matchbook.I hate sending money western union to Pablo Escabar in guantanamo bay.The cashier always looks at me like I'm a terrorist
Haha, the guy behind me at Publix was staring me down when I was sending money to Peru.Quote:
Originally Posted by Luke
Strikeforce is over. WEC next week.
I am going to look closely at Aldo/Faber. I think Faber has value. Aldo may be a little overrated imo.