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Victor King Totals Tip Sheet
drive.google.com/.../edit
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Red Sheet
MICHIGAN 49 - Minnesota 10 - (7:30) -- Line opened at Michigan minus 191/2, and is still minus 191/2. Wolverines must have felt like "being on the outside, looking in" over the first month of this season, what with HC Harbaugh's suspension resulting in nothing games vs nothing foes. Well, all of that quickly ended in last week's encounter with Nebraska, which simply served as a true opening day lamb to the slaughter, vs the 2nd-ranked Wolves. And it didn't take long, as Michigan methodically slew the Cornhusker, with 14-0 edges in the 1st & 2nd quarters, leading 45-0, before Nebraska managed to avoid the shutout, with a 74-yd TD run in the last 4:17. Was that just a 1-game fiesta for Michigan, or just the start of a magical season? Well, 18 returning starters have something to say about that, & with this one against Minnesota in the "Little Brown Jug" true dedication couldn't be a higher peak, & should do it up right.
RATING: MICHIGAN 89
Central Florida 38 - KANSAS 31 - (4:00) -- Line opened at Kansas minus 3, and is now minus 2. Just a fewyears ago, the Knights were one of the best propositions on the board, piling up an 18-6 spread record in the '17 & '18 seasons, with an accompanying 25-1 SU log. Are always a threat to regain that spread status, & surely have had their moments, with winning SU seasons pretty much a given, as their 60-19 SU run continues, with an offense that ranks 4th, 3rd, 15th, & 19th in total, rushing, passing, & scoring in the nation. And note an enviously balanced offense (260 RYpg, 304 PYpg).. Thus, a force to be reckoned with. In this one, they take on a Jayhawk squad which has had the air taken from its balloon, in last week's drubbing vs Texas, with a 400-yd deficit, along with the fact that OklahomaSt occupies the on deck position. The bounceback factor edge is difficult to firmly peg, but the Knights seem to have been in the caldron enough times for all important psyche edge. Wrong team favored.
RATING: CENTRAL FLORIDA 89
GEORGIA 24 - Kentucky 17 - (7:00) -- Line opened at Georgia minus 141/2, and is still minus 141/2. No questioning a huge bit of anxiety in bucking the national champs. Sure, the 'Dawgs may be somewhat in the same situation as Michigan (see above), in going through the motions, before the season gets into full swing. However, Georgia is going it without QB Bennett, who was its linchpin over the past few years, & has yet to cover, while the 'Cats are weekly profiteers. UK should keep this one under the spread.
RATING: KENTUCKY 88
Washington State 41 - UCLA 34 - (3:00) -- Line opened at UCLA minus 31/2, and is still minus 31/2. Well, the Pac12 is certainly going out with a bang, as multiple weekly barnburners have ruled the day, which, for the Bruins of Ucla, seems like another day at the office. However, the Uclans came from 270 RYpg in their first 3 games, to just 9 RYs in loss to Utah. The Cougars of WashingtonSt rank 5th in both total & scoring offense, with QB Ward now at 13/0 with 1,498 PYs. And Coogs are 12-2 ATS vs the Bruins. Also note that Ucla is on a 1-6 spread run. This lives up to its reputation. We'll grab the FG spot..
RATING: WASHINGTON STATE 88
Fresno State 41 - WYOMING 24 - (8:00) -- Line opened at FresnoState minus 61/2, and is now minus 51/2. It looks as if the current state of affairs hasn't done much to move the line in this one. As we wrote earlier on Pointwise: "Cowboys couldn't shake NewMexico". For all of the factors to consider, that statement may be the most influential, as the Lobos have seemingly never been difficult to escape, just what the Bulldogs have had little trouble doing. And note that Fresno did cover its last road game by 26 points.
RATING: FRESNO STATE 88
ARIZONA CARDINALS 22 - Cincinnati 17 -- Line opened at Cincinnati minus 8 and is now minus 3. Such a huge NFL line shift is rare indeed, & just about always the result of a key injury, & they don't get much more key than Joe Burrow going at half speed. No doubt the "smart" money will buck such an amateurish reaction, but is it really "smart"? Remember, this marks the Cards' 3rd hoster of the season, with upset wins over the Giants & the Cowboys (25-pt cover) coming in the first 2. Three times the charm.
RATING: ARIZONA 88
NEAR CHOICES
(Rated 87):CFB Wake Forest, Maryland, Texas A&M
(Rated 87 NFL: Miami, New Orleans, & Green Bay
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NCAAF Week 6/NFL Week 5 Newsletters
Brad Powers:https://drive.google.com/file/d/18yo...Hj9B-cw4v/view
Pointwise:https://drive.google.com/file/d/1QEj...nipV4uDvj/view
Winning Points:https://drive.google.com/file/d/1a8h...4uU_PL2vt/view
Power Sweep:https://drive.google.com/file/d/1LLB...CqyU1w01k/view
Victor King's Totals Tipsheet: https://drive.google.com/file/d/15g2...9mn9MG71p/edit
Sports Reporter: https://drive.google.com/file/d/1-JL...tmuxhFrxK/view
Power Plays: https://drive.google.com/file/d/1d9Q...W5WvtFE99/view
Red Sheet (analysis above):
CFB
89* MICHIGAN
89* CENTRAL FLORIDA
88* KENTUCKY
88* WASHINGTON STATE
88* FRESNO STATE
NFL
88* ARIZONA
NEAR CHOICES
(Rated 87):CFB Wake Forest, Maryland, Texas A&M
(Rated 87 NFL: Miami, New Orleans, & Green Bay
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Thank you to everyone for their support this week for the newsletters!
I appreciate the assistance on posting them when I couldn't
$$$GOOD LUCK!$$$ ::luck::::clover::::handshake::::moneybag::
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Newsletter Tracking (through 10/09/2023) from longtime poster Mendozaline
The records here will reflect the lines listed in the newsletters at the time the plays were published. This is for the rated plays, the high-ranking plays, and any type of play worth tracking. There’s no reason to keep track of every bottom-tier or “recommended” play; it’s not worth the work.
Sometimes the newsletters will cheat a little by claiming a different common or later line if it turns a loss into a push or otherwise boosts their record. I’ll usually be able to note what happened to explain the discrepancy.
I’ll also highlight particularly good or bad weekends or short-term runs. I will not include picks from newsletter issues that we don’t get in time.
Some of these will be great follows, some will be great fades, but some won’t show a significant pattern either way.
This week I'll start color-coding the especially hot and cold newsletter plays. Rough week for most of the newsletters.
Gridiron Gold Sheet (first week we've gotten this one)
NCAA (2-6-0)
NFL (2-2-0)
Bondi Bulletin (first week of this one this season)
2* NCAA (1-0-0)
1* NCAA (0-3-0)
2* NFL (1-0-0)
1* NFL (2-0-0)
CKO
11* (0-0-0)
10* (0-0-0)
Marc Lawrence Playbook NCAA
5* (4-2-0)
4* (5-1-0)
3* (3-3-0)
Upset pick (2-4-0)
Betcha Didn’t Know (4-3-1)
Awesome Angle (2-4-0)
Incredible Stat (5-1-0)
Marc Lawrence Playbook NFL
5* (2-3-0)
4* (2-3-0)
3* (4-1-0)
Pointwise NCAA (2-6-0 overall for the 2nd week in a row)
1* (8-4-0)
2* (2-3-1)
3* (2-4-0)
4* (6-6-0)
5* (5-7-0)
Pointwise NFL
3* (3-2-0)
4* (6-4-0)
5* (7-3-0)
Power Sweep NCAA (this was their 3rd 0-5 week this season)
4* (2-4-0)
3* (3-9-0)
2* (4-8-0)
Dog POW (1-4-1)
Tech POW (2-2-0)
Revenge POW (4-1-0)
Situational POW (2-3-0)
Series POW (3-1-0)
Power Sweep NFL
4* (2-3-0)
3* (0-5-0)
2* (3-2-0)
4* Pro Angle (0-6-0)
3* o/u (3-2-0)
Power Plays NCAA
4.5* (6-11-0)
4* (13-15-0)
Power Plays NFL
4* (3-2-0)
Red Sheet (1-5 overall for the 2nd-straight week)
90* (0-0-0)
89* (4-6-0)
88* (3-12-0)
88* NFL (1-4-0)
Sports Reporter
NCAA Best Bets (7-10-1) (0-3 for the 2nd-straight week)
NFL Best Bets (7-3-0)
Winning Points NCAA
4* (3-3-0)
3* (1-5-0)
Winning Points NFL
4* (3-2-0)
3* (3-2-0)
King’s Totals Tipsheet
3* (2-1-0)
2* (9-3-0)
Team Total (3-7-0)
Gold Sheet Key Releases (2-8-1 overall this week)
NCAA (19-20-1)
NFL (16-10-0)
Power’s Picks NCAA
3* (0-0-0)
2* (0-0-0)
1* (0-0-0)
Power’s Picks NFL
3* (0-0-0)
2* (0-0-0)
1* (0-0-0)
Inside the Press Box NCAA
Phil’s Best Bets (12-18-2)
Computer Best Bets (8-19-1)
Inside the Press Box NFL
Phil’s Best Bets (4-6-0)
Computer Best Bets (0-0-0)
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