UFC 141 Bets Thread

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  • Ludo
    Senior Member
    • Jan 2010
    • 4931

    UFC 141 Bets Thread

    2011 MMA/Boxing Bets Tracker

    What will be tracked?

    Straight bets
    -Fights that are posted like this:
    -Tim Sylvia risking 100 units to win 1 unit
    -Seth Petrizezli risking .6 units to win 1 unit
    -Andy Wang risking 2 units to win 1.6 units

    Props (will be tallied as straight bets)
    -Edgar by TKO risking 1u to win 7.5u

    -Parlays will be tracked seperately.

    -We will have a seperate results thread for Boxing and MMA
    2013: +8.24u(increased unit size on 5/19)
    Favorites: 20-6 + 6.13u
    Underdogs: 10-19 -2.51u
    Ludo's Locks Parlay Project: +1.4u

    2012: +20.311u
  • Ludo
    Senior Member
    • Jan 2010
    • 4931

    #2
    .5u to win 1.1u on Diaz

    1u to win 1.3u Parlay on Fitch/Gustafsson/Hyun Kim
    1u to win 1.036u Parlay on Castillo/Cerrone
    2013: +8.24u(increased unit size on 5/19)
    Favorites: 20-6 + 6.13u
    Underdogs: 10-19 -2.51u
    Ludo's Locks Parlay Project: +1.4u

    2012: +20.311u

    Comment

    • Luke
      10 year vet
      • Oct 2006
      • 30060

      #3
      Assuming you want Cerrone to win so why not just bet him straight?
      2015 MMA BETTING CHAMP


      Comment

      • poopoo333
        MMA *********
        • Jan 2010
        • 18302

        #4
        3u to win 8.4u on Nate Diaz
        3u to win 3.45u on Brock Lesnar

        5u to win 8.85u on Alexander Gustafsson/Ross Pearson/Not Hendricks by sub/Not Cerrone by sub/Overeem vs Brock doesn't start round 4

        Comment

        • Ludo
          Senior Member
          • Jan 2010
          • 4931

          #5
          Originally posted by Luke
          Assuming you want Cerrone to win so why not just bet him straight?
          I don't like his line straight, I think it's off at -280 which is why I put a small straight on Diaz to begin with. I think Cerrone will win but I'm not paying Anderson Silva money on him over Diaz.
          2013: +8.24u(increased unit size on 5/19)
          Favorites: 20-6 + 6.13u
          Underdogs: 10-19 -2.51u
          Ludo's Locks Parlay Project: +1.4u

          2012: +20.311u

          Comment

          • MMA_scientist
            Senior Member
            • Nov 2009
            • 9857

            #6
            6u to win 2.04u "Not Cerrone/Hendricks/Gusstaffson by sub"

            Lesnar 2u to win 2.4u

            Diaz .5u to win 1.12u

            (2011 Parlay: Not Hendricks by sub)
            2012: +19.33
            2012 Parlay project: +16.5u

            Comment

            • Vandelay
              Senior Member
              • Nov 2010
              • 1934

              #7
              How'd you get over 100 dollars on that magic prop parlay? 5d is limiting me to 100 dollars.

              Comment

              • MMA_scientist
                Senior Member
                • Nov 2009
                • 9857

                #8
                I have about $1600 on it. I placed it last week though... sometimes 5d gives me trouble, but for whatever reason, just bet an odd amount, like $399 and it lets me do it or sometime I just have to keep betting $100 over and over. But this time, it didn't give me any trouble. I originally included "not Hettes by sub" but hedged out of that with a bet on Hettes by sub, which is why I have so much on it (because I am on both sides of the Hettes sub).
                2012: +19.33
                2012 Parlay project: +16.5u

                Comment

                • Vandelay
                  Senior Member
                  • Nov 2010
                  • 1934

                  #9
                  I guess it cant go over the lowest amt. So i did not cerrone by sub at -395, not overeem at -1400, and not hendricks at like -1700. I cant bet anything over 395. So it ended up being 395 to win like 166.

                  Comment

                  • MMA_scientist
                    Senior Member
                    • Nov 2009
                    • 9857

                    #10
                    yeah, it is weird. I thought they capped my bets earlier this year because I couldn't bet over $100. But I think it is just a glitch in their system.
                    2012: +19.33
                    2012 Parlay project: +16.5u

                    Comment

                    • BIGDAY
                      Member
                      • Dec 2011
                      • 66

                      #11
                      I jumped on Cerrone. I think his style matches up perfect with Diaz. Diaz at +200 or better is real nice one would think right... Diaz struggles with agressive/relentless wrestlers imo. I am 100% confident that Cerrone can get this fight to the ground if stand up isn't going well for him. Only way Diaz's hand is raised imo is by catching Cerrone with a nice sub. Was hoping that the books have the odds closer to EV but I have this fight capped at -350 for Cerrone so I played it strait.

                      Currently have 3 Units on Cerrone at -250.

                      Comment

                      • SPX
                        Senior Member
                        • Aug 2009
                        • 23875

                        #12
                        Why so much faith in Cerrone's wrestling? I think he's a CAPABLE wrestler, but not a GOOD wrestler, and not the type of fighter to give Diaz too much trouble in that department.
                        I heart cock

                        Comment

                        • BIGDAY
                          Member
                          • Dec 2011
                          • 66

                          #13
                          Originally posted by SPX
                          Why so much faith in Cerrone's wrestling? I think he's a CAPABLE wrestler, but not a GOOD wrestler, and not the type of fighter to give Diaz too much trouble in that department.
                          I looked more at Diaz's takedown defense. Diaz is so confident on his back, that sometimes I wonder if he even attempts to defend the takedowns. I also believe that Cerrone's camp has a number on Diaz...

                          Comment

                          • Ludo
                            Senior Member
                            • Jan 2010
                            • 4931

                            #14
                            Originally posted by BIGDAY
                            I looked more at Diaz's takedown defense. Diaz is so confident on his back, that sometimes I wonder if he even attempts to defend the takedowns. I also believe that Cerrone's camp has a number on Diaz...
                            Not according to Melvin Guillard, but I see what your saying about the takedowns. Cerrone is a pretty capable submission guy himself. It's fair to say he should have plenty of experience fending off subs.
                            2013: +8.24u(increased unit size on 5/19)
                            Favorites: 20-6 + 6.13u
                            Underdogs: 10-19 -2.51u
                            Ludo's Locks Parlay Project: +1.4u

                            2012: +20.311u

                            Comment

                            • Luke
                              10 year vet
                              • Oct 2006
                              • 30060

                              #15
                              Originally posted by Ludo
                              I don't like his line straight, I think it's off at -280 which is why I put a small straight on Diaz to begin with. I think Cerrone will win but I'm not paying Anderson Silva money on him over Diaz.
                              Got ya. Didn't realize you bet Diaz first
                              2015 MMA BETTING CHAMP


                              Comment

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