UFC on FX 2, March 3rd

[SPX]

McGee looked pretty good against Yang, but Jensen was able to take a round off of him and was winning that fight before he gassed. Maybe McGee can use his grappling to get the fight down and get a sub. I mean, it certainly wouldn't shock me. But if Philippou blasts him then I could see him getting a TKO in the first.

McGee at dog odds would be okay, but now that Phillipou is a dog I think he's the play. The fight could go either way, though. I don't feel strongly about it.

[edman5555]

Yasuhiro Urushitani's line looks insane, his record doesn't look that bad either..Maybe taking him with +3.5 points might be a good idea. What is everyones opinion of Kampmann/Alves. I have to think Alves is better on the feet..Kampmann was getting beat by Diego at the end..he also got ko'd by daley and Marqy marq. Granted they are both good and quite a bit larger. I bet Kampmann could come out with some solid offensive wrestling and give thiago some problems..

[poopoo333]

I think Phillipou should be around -150.

[Luke]

I think Phillipou should be around -150.

Isnt that what he opened at?

[edman5555]

Maybe I am guilty of wishful thinking..it sounds like it. That said, Mcgee is a fav now.

[poopoo333]

Isnt that what he opened at?

Just looked..-170

[poopoo333]

[MMA_scientist]

Does Siler have a path to victory here?

[edman5555]

I am looking at Andrew Craig right now. He looks ok. Eric Schambari outwrestled him pretty well but got dropped standing twice. He had his hands down real low the entire fight(eric schamberi)

[edman5555]

I think Noke is going to be a good bet. Craigs only offense seems to be his striking. I think Noke will have him beat there..He does look like he can hit hard though. Craig is a purple belt in bjj. He started training bjj at 19. Graduated college, began training in MMA. He is now 26 years old. 6 and 0

[poopoo333]

Every fight on the undercard is favored to not go the distance:

Aaron Rosa vs James Te Heuna - 3 rounds - UFC on FX 2 propositions
Sat 3/3		1403 Rosa/Te Huna goes 3 round distance		+220
8:30PM		1404 Fight won't go 3 round distance		-300
Nick Penner vs Anthony Perosh - 3 rounds - UFC on FX 2 propositions
Sat 3/3		1503 Perosh/Penner goes 3 round distance		+180
8:00PM		1504 Fight won't go 3 round distance		-260
Steven Siler vs Cole Miller - 3 rounds - UFC on FX 2 propositions
Sat 3/3		1603 Siler/Miller goes 3 round distance		+200
7:30PM		1604 Fight won't go 3 round distance		-280
Andrew Craig vs Kyle Noke - 3 rounds - UFC on FX 2 propositions
Sat 3/3		1703 Craig/Noke goes 3 round distance		+160
7:00PM		1704 Fight won't go 3 round distance		-210
Jake Hecht vs TJ Waldburger - 3 rounds - UFC on FX 2 propositions
Sat 3/3		1803 Hecht/Waldburger goes 3 round distance		+145
6:30PM		1804 Fight won't go 3 round distance		-185
Mackens Semerzier vs Daniel Pineda - 3 rounds - UFC on FX 2 propositions
Sat 3/3		1903 Semerzier/Pineda goes 3 round distance		+170
6:00PM		1904 Fight won't go 3 round distance		-230

[Mr. IWS]

I saw Alves is up to 197, 3 hours after the weigh ins. Im actually thinking about getting on him now.

[trotterz]

The more I look at it, the more I like Mccall at those odds.

Mighty mouse was beat by Brad Pickett (2 years ago) and arguably lost his fight to Miguel Torres. His wrestling saved him in there, but his wrestling won't save him agains't Mccall. On the other hand, Mccall has been beating everyone in front of him other than Cruz who is simply on another level.
Other than Cruz, his only other defeat is when he got caught in a guillotine by valencia. it's not as if he would have been outpointed by valencia for 3 rounds (while johnson couldn't win one single round against Pickett).

The comparison is not really accurate since we are comparing deferent opponents, but if you take a look at it,
here is Jonshon's previous opponents

Lose cruz
Win Torres( IMO lost that fight)
Win Yamamoto ( who is 1-5 in his last 7 fights)
Win Page ( who is 2-3 in his last 5 fights)
Win Pace ( who is 1-3 in his last 4 fights)
Lose Pickett

I am not saying that Mccall has been facing better competition, I just think that Johnson is beeing overvalued. Probably because that Mccall is not well known by casual fighters


Other than that,
What are your thoughts on Waldburger/Hecht

[poopoo333]

Also, Page was beating BJ handily before the choke.

I like Waldburger, he is awesome to watch. But I am not sure if he will be able to get Hecht down, or how his striking matches up

[SPX]

If I remember correctly, I don't think Page was winning that fight even before DJ got the sub.