UFC on FX 3, June 8th

[MMA_scientist]

Rocha impressed me against Ellenberger.

I can't remember what his striking was like, though. Anyone remember?

Wild. He landed a head kick on Ellenberger sort of... typical brazilian grappler style, just buck wild with all power shots.

http://ironforgesiron.com/2011/02/ufc-126-silva-vs-belfort-teh-gifs/

[MMA_scientist]

I have absolutely no confidence in any fight on this card. I like Brenneman at his odds I guess. But most likely he is going to het blasted out standing... his gameplan is too obvious at this point. Get on top, wait for the bell. Nothing at all even resembles something I want to bet here. Both the wrestlers that I would normally be looking at (Brenneman and Pierce) are facing guys with a lot of hype and I don't want to touch those bets...

[edman5555]

Brenneman for sure. He is going to fuck that pretty boy Brazilian right in his fucking ass for 15 minutes, and when that bell rings, Brenneman is going to pull out and give Silva a California Cookie.

erick silva is a black belt in bjj and a black belt in judo. Brennamen is probably going to have to take him down for 3 rounds to win the fight...That could be dangerous territory for him.

[edman5555]

Charlie can definetly win that but I don't consider it gaurunteed.

[poopoo333]

If Brenneman isn't finished within 3 minutes, he will win.

[mike]

PP, i know u bet Papazian. He looks pretty solid. How is Dustin Page's striking ? I cant find any relevent fights of him to get an idea of how he would match up against Pap.

[poopoo333]

I think pap is the overall better striker...pague has longer reach but doesnt really use it. I think the majority of the fight will be standing and think pap should excel there. Kind of worried he will hang back a bit like hee did at times against easton...could cost him rounds. Dont think pap will be at a disadvantage on the ground.


However...in hindsight i should have just went small on pap and big on martinez -140 or salas +160 instead.


Ps typing on phone is annoying

[mike]

it looks like Pap has faster and smoother hands, and a good chin. I dont know enough about Pague, so im just gonna put them all in a wild 10 dollars 8 fights parlay for fun.
Pap, Martinez, Benoist, Grice, Pierson, Windland, Pyle, and Brennaman. 10 bucks to win 2.2k lol. who would u say gonna screw up my parlay ?

[poopoo333]

Beonoist, pierson, wineland, pyle

[Svino]

There are a fair number of wrestler / striker matchups on this card, where the fight hinges on the question, "Will X be able to get the takedown or not?" These fights are often some of the most profitable to bet live. An early takedown landing (or getting shrugged off effortlessly) can result on there briefly being a lot of value on one guy or the other.

[poopoo333]

Fucking Charlie Brenneman, he gave that shit away. Brb turtling up after getting stuffed once and not even trying to defend anything

[poopoo333]

Man I got buried tonight. Oh well.

[SPX]

Yeah, I am not impressed with Brenneman's performance.

A lot of the guys I was thinking of betting but didn't--Pierce, Wineland, Roberts, Pyle--won and Brenneman, who I did bet, just said fuck it.

[poopoo333]

Yeah, Brenneman did what I thought he would, got stuffed once and turtled up/looked like he just gave up or just froze. I will still bet any high paced wrestler/grinder to beat Silva @+odds.

[poopoo333]

Also, Jorgensen is a moron.