UFC on Fuel 4

[SPX]

I like RDA, but not as any kind of sizable fave. I'd actually like to get him as a dog.

Dillashaw should win, I'd imagine. Assuncao too, probably.

[poopoo333]

Is Tamura the guy who raped that Shanghai Knight at UFC 144?

I think RDA is going to have the grappling advantage, but Njokuani showed improvements against Danny Castillo IRC..it was a split decision but I honestly didn't pay attention to the fight, I need to watch it. RDA shouldn't be totally outclassed on the feet against Njokuani, and I think Njokuani's tendency to throw lots of kicks can be dangerous against RDA as it will allow him more opportunities to get the fight to the ground.

If Carmont/Vemola gets to round 2, it will definitely be all Carmont. I said the same thing about Massenzio in his fight with Vemola, and it was looking that way, but Massenzio is fucking retarded and sucks.


Right now I have a little over 3u on Weidman @-125

[SPX]

Is Tamura the guy who raped that Shanghai Knight at UFC 144?

Yep.

I think RDA is going to have the grappling advantage, but Njokuani showed improvements against Danny Castillo IRC..it was a split decision but I honestly didn't pay attention to the fight, I need to watch it. RDA shouldn't be totally outclassed on the feet against Njokuani, and I think Njokuani's tendency to throw lots of kicks can be dangerous against RDA as it will allow him more opportunities to get the fight to the ground.

I didn't see that fight, but it seems I remember Jordan Breen saying the decision should've gone to Njokuani. I definitely think RDA can win--maybe even should win--but I don't feel confident enough in him to take him as anything but a dog.

Probably a no-play for me.

Right now I have a little over 3u on Weidman @-125

I'll either be taking Munoz as a bigger dog than he is now or staying away from this one, too.

[poopoo333]

Kind of regret going that big on Weidman but I think I will let it ride. Munoz's TDD isn't too great imo and he slows down a bit. Weidman had poor cardio against Maia, but he cut 30 lbs on short notice for that fight. I don't think Weidman gassed against Sakara.

[edman5555]

I got munoz in this one..I think his wrestling should be decent enough to stop weidman. The difference maker IMO is Munoz's power. Then again, Maia basically outstruck Munoz and Weidman basically outstruck Maia. So maybe I am wrong. Weidman can always lock on a choke or something too. I am still convinced Maia was sick for the fight btw. Tough call. If Munoz hits +150 I would take him.

[poopoo333]

Even if Maia was sick for the fight, I believe Weidman would have won. I think this will be Weidman's official coming out party and people will begin to talk about him as a title contender.

[poopoo333]

These guys are going to win; POOPOO333'S UFC ON FUEL 4 LOCKS:

[poopoo333]

So I lost big on UFC 148...I need to clean up on this card as well as Strikeforce.

[edman5555]

Sorry PP. Good luck. We are going to kill it this next week.

[edman5555]

I think Chris Cariaso looks good. His opponent is pretty inexperienced and won most of his fights against cans using his BJJ. Cariaso is a brown belt in BJJ, they are both brown belts.

[Vandelay]

Dillashaw, Te huna, and Caraiso will probably have the highest lines.

Dill -350, Te Huna -400, Caraiso, -300

[poopoo333]

I would take a stab on Beltran if Te Huna had a steep line like that. Would love to get Carmont under -200. Dillashaw will have a steep line unfortunately...hoping it does not open at -400

[edman5555]

Why do you feel so good about Dillishaw? He is still a bit of a rookie. Lee is pretty good.

[poopoo333]

Horrible match up for Lee...TJ Dillashaw is a powerhouse wrestler and has good top control. Lee is a striker and does not have the best T3D or bottom game at all. Cariaso was able to take him down, control him, and get into dominant positions without much difficulty in round 2 and 3 of their fight.

[edman5555]

I see what your saying. I guess if Cariaso can take him down, Dillashaw should be able to. I just worry Lee could pull off a submission. Dillashaw will probably have to ride out a top control decision giving Lee plenty of time to pull off a sub. Lee is a black belt in BJJ that just tapped out Yamamoto.