Strikeforce: Rockhold vs Kennedy

[SPX]

I put enough on him to win a unit. That's as big as I'm going because there are a lot of uncertainties here.

Woodley to me always looks like he's about to lose before he wins. Even a lot of his UD wins looked like if his opponents had had another couple of rounds then they probably could've stolen it.

Marquardt is a serious veteran with good striking, underrated wrestling and a long history of submission fighting. Woodley hasn't fought anyone at his level yet.

[mike]

maybe u guys should wait til the weigh in or wait to use the live betting on the marquart fight. its much better to see how marquart look in the first round since we have no idea what kind of fight he shows up

[poopoo333]

^^I agree... I think Marquardt will look fine though. He made weight when he got busted for testosterone. He was 170 and there was a video on it..his cut went great. I think Woodley by decision would be the play if you are going to play Woodley. Very tough fight to call though...although the way I like to pick my bets based on style match ups...Woodley is probably going to be my play.

[Ludo]

I'm not touching Marquardt until I see him fight at least once at 170. He was a giant middleweight as it was, how exactly he got to 170 is a mystery to Me really. Woodley doesn't have the kind of wrestling that typically fucked Marquardt up in the past, but we haven't seen him cut down this far yet and fight. For all we know he might have a terrible cut and gas after the first few minutes.

[SPX]

maybe u guys should wait til the weigh in or wait to use the live betting on the marquart fight. its much better to see how marquart look in the first round since we have no idea what kind of fight he shows up

That's an option, but it's always a risky play. If Marquardt comes out and dominates the first round then his line is going to go through the roof.

[SPX]

I'm not touching Marquardt until I see him fight at least once at 170. He was a giant middleweight as it was, how exactly he got to 170 is a mystery to Me really.

He was noticeably smaller for the Dan Miller fight so I think he was already starting to cut down even then. At first I was also questioning how he was going to get to 170, but during that fight I realized he was just going to let some muscle atrophy.

Woodley doesn't have the kind of wrestling that typically fucked Marquardt up in the past. . .

Those are my thoughts, too. Woodley's no Sonnen.

For all we know he might have a terrible cut and gas after the first few minutes.

That's my primary concern.

[poopoo333]

Oh another thing...when does MarChokeArdt win in big fights?

I honestly think he is a bit overrated (still top 10) since he did that Mortal Kombat combination on Wilson Gouevia. His best wins are against K1 Maia and Jerry's Kids Palhares.

The problem with this fight is we do not know how Marquardt will do against a good wrestler at WW. Against Sonnen @ MW...he died..but Sonnen is good at what he does and is big/explosive/strong/relentless. Okami was just big and was able to get top control and steal close rounds.


Fuck it.

Flip a coin.

[SPX]

We're just going to have to wait and see.

I have Showtime now though, so I will finally get to watch Strikeforce in all its HD glory.

[poopoo333]

I actually think Rockhold/Kennedy goes distance @ +180 is a good deal.

Went ahead and bet it...but there is a $100 limit. Why does 5d limit somewhat new prop bets to $100 when they are + odds, but let players lay thousands of dollars on the favorite side?

[poopoo333]

..after I typed that it allowed me to add more. Sweet.

[poopoo333]

I have a pretty large bet on Rockhold/Kennedy goes the distance @+180. It is +125 now. I don't think Kennedy can finish this fight..he isn't going to sub Rockhold, especially if Jacare didn't. Will Rockhold stop Kennedy? Kennedy's only stoppage loss was his pro debut where he lost on a cut. Rockhold was stopped with punches in his 2nd pro fight.

[edman5555]

I don't know PP. 5 rounds is a long time to go...

[poopoo333]

What do you guys think about Larkin vs Lawler? Will Lawler be a crowd pleaser and strike? Or will he go for the takedown?

[SPX]

I think that fight could go either way.

On paper, I think it favors Lawler. But he did get outstruck by Babalu, who should've never won a kickboxing bout.

[poopoo333]

Line guesses on Jardine/Gracie? Larkin/Lawler? Masivdal/Wilcox?

I will go ahead and say -190 Gracie +150 Jardine, -120 -120 Larkin/Lawler, -120 Masivdal -110 Wilcox