UFC on Fuel 5 in Nottingham

[poopoo333]

Struve @+255 is ridiculous. Too bad I already bet him at +205.

[poopoo333]

Stefan Struve vs Stipe Miocic - 5 rounds - UFC on Fuel 5 propositions
Tue 9/4		1003 Struve/Miocic goes 5 round distance		+350
11:00PM		1004 Fight won't go 5 round distance		-530

Fight won't go distance opened @-300, WTF

[SPX]

Those odds do seem off.

[Ludo]

Fight won't go distance opened @-300, WTF

Those odds do seem off.

Probably because they have one single fight that went to decision in a combined 38 fights between them.(Struve vs Buentello)

[poopoo333]

Stipe Miocic vs Joey Beltran, breh

[Ludo]

Stipe Miocic vs Joey Beltran, breh

Sorry, 2 decisions in 38 fights. You get the point.

[poopoo333]

Stefan Struve vs Stipe Miocic - 5 rounds - UFC on Fuel 5 propositions
Sat 9/29		1003 Struve/Miocic goes 5 round distance		+400
11:00PM		1004 Fight won't go 5 round distance		-600
Sat 9/29		1005 Struve wins inside distance		+278
11:00PM		1006 Not Struve inside distance		-398
Sat 9/29		1007 Struve wins by 5 round decision		+825
11:00PM		1008 Not Struve by 5 round decision		-1725
Sat 9/29		1009 Miocic wins inside distance		-173
11:00PM		1010 Not Miocic inside distance		+133
Sat 9/29		1011 Miocic wins by 5 round decision		+674
11:00PM		1012 Not Miocic by 5 round decision		-1420
Sat 9/29		1013 Struve/Miocic draw		+8000
11:00PM		1014 Fight not a draw		-21500

[LilNubi]

Where my money is going...

Stipe (easy pick in my opinion) via KO. Stipe is a great striker, and history has shown us that Struve has a hard time holding his own against decent strikers. Stipe will stand with Struve, and knock him out.

Hardy via KO. We can't forget that Hardy was a former title contender and held his own against GSP (as in he didn't submit to a terribly vicious armbar). With that said, I think Amir still has ways to go before he has made a name for himself other than being the winner of TUF...which nowadays isn't really that spectacular.

I will NOT be putting money down on the Pickett/Jabouin fight. I won't even attempt to make a call on it either. Could really go either way and I don't suggest you put money down on it either.

Sass via submission. The king of the triangle choke with prevail in this fight against Wiman. Wiman is no chump though, so he'll put up a good fight but with that being said, the money is on Sass who will be granted a top 10 competitor after this fight.

Hathaway via decision. Not my favorite fighter, nor is this a fight I'm really looking forward to. Hathaway has proven he can be exciting, he just hasn't shown this as of late. I'm giving Hathaway the win here.

Mills via KO or submission. Mills is fast, real fast and can end a fight with a submissions just as easily as he can with a KO. Ludwig has fallen on some hard times as of late and I hope he could rebound...but this isn't that fight for that. I could see a potential release after this fight.

[Mr. IWS]

^^^^Good stuff man. Welcome to the forum!

[MMA_scientist]

Where my money is going...

Stipe (easy pick in my opinion) via KO. Stipe is a great striker, and history has shown us that Struve has a hard time holding his own against decent strikers. Stipe will stand with Struve, and knock him out.

Hardy via KO. We can't forget that Hardy was a former title contender and held his own against GSP (as in he didn't submit to a terribly vicious armbar). With that said, I think Amir still has ways to go before he has made a name for himself other than being the winner of TUF...which nowadays isn't really that spectacular.

I will NOT be putting money down on the Pickett/Jabouin fight. I won't even attempt to make a call on it either. Could really go either way and I don't suggest you put money down on it either.

Sass via submission. The king of the triangle choke with prevail in this fight against Wiman. Wiman is no chump though, so he'll put up a good fight but with that being said, the money is on Sass who will be granted a top 10 competitor after this fight.

Hathaway via decision. Not my favorite fighter, nor is this a fight I'm really looking forward to. Hathaway has proven he can be exciting, he just hasn't shown this as of late. I'm giving Hathaway the win here.

Mills via KO or submission. Mills is fast, real fast and can end a fight with a submissions just as easily as he can with a KO. Ludwig has fallen on some hard times as of late and I hope he could rebound...but this isn't that fight for that. I could see a potential release after this fight.

Agree on Miocic. He matches up favorably here.

I really don't think Hardy is very good, nor was he ever very good. He got a title shot without ever having to face one of the many better fighters in that division. I also disagree that he held his own against GSP. He got dominated, he put up like 4 seconds of offense in 25 minutes. That said, he didn't get finished, which says something about his defense on the ground, but then he got subbed by Lytle, so maybe it says more about GSP. That said, Amir is a mid level guy. This fight is going to be a kickboxing match, Amir has been dropped by less powerful guys. Power edge to Hardy for sure and leg kicks edge to Amir. Hardy should be able to win, but I would put this at pretty close to even personally. I won't bet either way, unless one of them somehow gets well into + territory, at which point I would bet either man.

Also staying awau from Pickett/Jabouin. Probably Pickett will use his wrestling and win.

Haven't seen enough of McGuire to form an opinion. Hathaway is sometimes really good and sometimes pretty average though, hard to bet on his fights.

Ludwig had a couple of good showings, but he is not very good IMO. Mills should win that, agree there.


Really looking forward to seeing Gunnar Nelson. Hopefully his hype doesn't destroy the line, but he is going to win.

Welcome.

[poopoo333]

I have a bet on Struve @+205. In hindsight I don't like it that much as I did but I am going to let it ride.

I haven't looked at this card yet, but I like Pickett to beat Jabouin. I actually plan on betting a decent amount on Pickett here.

[LilNubi]

I have a bet on Struve @+205. In hindsight I don't like it that much as I did but I am going to let it ride.

I haven't looked at this card yet, but I like Pickett to beat Jabouin. I actually plan on betting a decent amount on Pickett here.

Ballsy move, hopefully it pays off for you.

[poopoo333]

MAIN CARD (FUEL TV, 4 p.m. ET)

• Stipe Miocic vs. Stefan Struve
• Dan Hardy vs. Amir Sadollah
• Yves Jabouin vs. Brad Pickett
• Paul Sass vs. Matt Wiman
• John Hathaway vs. John Maguire
• Duane Ludwig vs. Che Mills

PRELIMINARY CARD (Facebook, 1 p.m. ET)

• Kyle Kingsbury vs. Jimi Manuwa
• Akira Corassani vs. Andy Ogle
• Brad Tavares vs. Tom Watson
• DaMarques Johnson vs. Gunnar Nelson
• Robert Peralta vs. Jason Young

[poopoo333]

This is on Saturday...let's get crackin niggaz

[SPX]

I hope I can get Hardy at a good line.