UFC on FOX 5

[edman5555]

I like jorgensen and siver. Why do you say swick has a huge ground advantage poopoo?

[Svino]

Phan +225 is nice but from what I am seeing around the boards is that Siver is going to run right through him. Hopefully this pushes Phan's line to a better price.

I think I'm with "the boards" on that one.

[SPX]

Am I crazy for LOVING Swick at -140? He has a huge grappling edge here.

I favor Swick, but I'd really like to see him fight a few more times before having an opinion on his current abilities. DJ beat him in round 1.

[SPX]

Phan +225 is nice but from what I am seeing around the boards is that Siver is going to run right through him. Hopefully this pushes Phan's line to a better price.

I think Siver is probably getting a little overvalued here, but I do think that he'll win.

If the UFC wants to get Phan a W then they need to give him some competition that doesn't include former champs, guys who have been one fight away from a title shot, and grappling wunderkinds.

Yves Edwards +190.

10 units. Come at me bro.

I don't think it's a lock for Stephens, but that's risky.

Are you that confident in Edwards or are you just gambling?

[poopoo333]

Yeah, Swick pre almost dying 50x in 2 years should be -500 to Matt Brown. I just think he has a considerable takedown and submission edge in this fight.

And I went big on Edwards because I believe this fight should be close to even and +190 is insane imo

[SPX]

Okay, well you're in-depth analysis has convinced me. I just took Swick at -130.

[MMA_scientist]

I think Swick has every advantage in that fight... but Brown is sometimes surprising. Anyway, I think I will take Swick too.

I like Siver in that fight a lot... but damn if he isn't -300 already. That might be a little high, maybe I will throw it in a parlay.

How is Assuncao's standup? That should be closer than the line indicates IMO, might throw a value bet on Assuncao.

[SPX]

Assuncao's standup is solid, but nothing revolutionary. He was able to hang with Faber on the feet and win the first round of their fight.

[poopoo333]

Alexander Gustafsson vs Mauricio Rua - 3 rounds - UFC on Fox 5 propositions
Sat 12/8		1103 Gustafsson/Rua goes 3 round distance		-145
9:30PM		1104 Fight won't go 3 round distance		+115
Sat 12/8		1105 Gustafsson wins inside distance		+304
9:30PM		1106 Not Gustafsson inside distance		-394
Sat 12/8		1107 Gustafsson wins by 3 round decision		+110
9:30PM		1108 Not Gustafsson by 3 round decision		-140
Sat 12/8		1109 Rua wins inside distance		+320
9:30PM		1110 Not Rua inside distance		-425
Sat 12/8		1111 Rua wins by 3 round decision		+575
9:30PM		1112 Not Rua by 3 round decision		-985
Sat 12/8		1113 Gustafsson/Rua draw		+7500
9:30PM		1114 Fight not a draw		-20000
Sat 12/8		1115 Gustafsson wins in round 1		+550
9:30PM		1116 Any other result		-1050
Sat 12/8		1117 Gustafsson wins in round 2		+750
9:00PM		1118 Any other result		-1580
Sat 12/8		1119 Gustafsson wins in round 3		+1500
9:00PM		1120 Any other result		-4500
Sat 12/8		1121 Rua wins in round 1		+575
9:00PM		1122 Any other result		-1125
Sat 12/8		1123 Rua wins in round 2		+800
9:00PM		1124 Any other result		-1700
Sat 12/8		1125 Rua wins in round 3		+1500
9:00PM		1126 Any other result		-4500
Sat 12/8		1127 Gustafsson wins by submission		+885
9:00PM		1128 Any other result		-1815
Sat 12/8		1129 Gustafsson wins by TKO/KO		+425
9:00PM		1130 Any other result		-675
Sat 12/8		1131 Rua wins by submission		+945
9:00PM		1132 Any other result		-1935
Sat 12/8		1133 Rua wins by TKO/KO		+440
9:00PM		1134 Any other result		-720
Sat 12/8		1135 Gustafsson/Rua starts round 3		-185
9:00PM		1136 Fight won't start round 3		+155
Sat 12/8		1137 Gustafsson/Rua starts round 2		-410
9:00PM		1138 Fight won't start round 2		+315

[SPX]

I have doubts about this card's worth in terms of betting.

[poopoo333]

BJ Penn vs Rory MacDonald - 3 rounds - UFC on Fox 5 propositions
Sat 12/8		1203 Penn/MacDonald goes 3 round distance		-125
8:30PM		1204 Fight won't go 3 round distance		-105
Sat 12/8		1205 Penn wins inside distance		+472
8:30PM		1206 Not Penn inside distance		-729
Sat 12/8		1207 Penn wins by 3 round decision		+541
8:30PM		1208 Not Penn by 3 round decision		-901
Sat 12/8		1209 MacDonald wins inside distance		+175
8:30PM		1210 Not MacDonald inside distance		-225
Sat 12/8		1211 MacDonald wins by 3 round decision		+139
8:30PM		1212 Not MacDonald by 3 round decision		-169
Sat 12/8		1213 Penn/MacDonald draw		+7000
8:30PM		1214 Fight not a draw		-18500
Sat 12/8		1215 Penn wins in round 1		+950
8:30PM		1216 Any other result		-1950
Sat 12/8		1217 Penn wins in round 2		+1125
8:30PM		1218 Any other result		-2375
Sat 12/8		1219 Penn wins in round 3		+2000
8:30PM		1220 Any other result		-6000
Sat 12/8		1221 MacDonald wins in round 1		+425
8:30PM		1222 Any other result		-675
Sat 12/8		1223 MacDonald wins in round 2		+525
8:30PM		1224 Any other result		-975
Sat 12/8		1225 MacDonald wins in round 3		+1000
8:30PM		1226 Any other result		-2000
Sat 12/8		1227 Penn wins by submission		+785
8:30PM		1228 Any other result		-1645
Sat 12/8		1229 Penn wins by TKO/KO		+922
8:30PM		1230 Any other result		-1872
Sat 12/8		1231 MacDonald wins by submission		+925
8:30PM		1232 Any other result		-1875
Sat 12/8		1233 MacDonald wins by TKO/KO		+235
8:30PM		1234 Any other result		-315
Sat 12/8		1235 Penn/MacDonald starts round 3		-171
8:30PM		1236 Fight won't start round 3		+141
Sat 12/8		1237 Penn/MacDonald starts round 2		-403
8:30PM		1238 Fight won't start round 2		+312
Matt Brown vs Mike Swick - 3 rounds - UFC on Fox 5 propositions
Sat 12/8		1303 Brown/Swick goes 3 round distance		+145
8:00PM		1304 Fight won't go 3 round distance		-185
Jeremy Stephens vs Yves Edwards - 3 rounds - UFC on Fox 5 propositions
Sat 12/8		1403 Stephens/Edwards goes 3 round distance		-175
7:30PM		1404 Fight won't go 3 round distance		+135
Raphael Assuncao vs Mike Easton - 3 rounds - UFC on Fox 5 propositions
Sat 12/8		1503 Easton/Assuncao goes 3 round distance		-185
7:00PM		1504 Fight won't go 3 round distance		+145
Joe Proctor vs Ramsey Nijem - 3 rounds - UFC on Fox 5 propositions
Sat 12/8		1603 Proctor/Nijem goes 3 round distance		-165
6:30PM		1604 Fight won't go 3 round distance		+125
Henry Martinez vs Daron Cruickshank - 3 rounds - UFC on Fox 5 propositions
Sat 12/8		1703 Martinez/Cruickshank goes 3 round distan		-195
6:00PM		1704 Fight won't go 3 round distance		+155
Abel Trujillo vs Tim Means - 3 rounds - UFC on Fox 5 propositions
Sat 12/8		1803 Trujillo/Means goes 3 round distance		-180
5:30PM		1804 Fight won't go 3 round distance		+140
Nam Phan vs Dennis Siver - 3 rounds - UFC on Fox 5 propositions
Sat 12/8		1903 Phan/Siver goes 3 round distance		-215
5:00PM		1904 Fight won't go 3 round distance		+165

[SPX]

I just watched the "UFC Road to the Octagon" on this shit.

Anyone else watch that show? It's basically like a cross between the old Countdown shows and the Primetime shows.

[Vandelay]

If I had any money online anymore id throw it all on not gustaf and not rory by sub

[Ludo]

I remember Assuncao getting dropped by punches twice in his fight with Faber, and then being knocked the fuck out. Not sure I remember him taking the first round, though.

[SPX]

Getting knocked out? More like choked out. . .