UFC 155

[edman5555]

Cain/JDS: the first one ended so fast it is hard to tell. Frankly I wouldn't feel comfortable betting either side.
Weidman over Boetsche for above reasons. I think he gets him to the ground quickly and probably taps him out.
Davis as well. Forrest doesn't hit really hard and he probably doesn't have the takedown defense to keep it standing very much. On the ground, Forrest may be able to come up with something but I doubt it.

Belcher/OkamiL I actually feel like Belcher is a good bet in this one. MAybe not a great bet but a good one. He has been looking really good lately. I think he is probably the more diverse and effective striker standing. More power and more varied strikes. Muay thai to be specific. Yushin is more of a boxer and doesn't pack a huge punch. On the ground I don't know who is better. The wrestling is hard for me to say. I haven't really seen enough of Belchers fights to say who the better wrestler is. It might be Yushin and that might be the deciding factor. If Yushin can get top control and hold Belcher down he might be able to win the fight. Close one. If Yushin wins it is because of wrestling.

[poopoo333]

Forrest doesn't hit really hard and he probably doesn't have the takedown defense to keep it standing very much.

If Tito Ortiz could hit 3 takedowns against Griffin at 148 and 3 at UFC 106, I think Phil Davis should be able to seal the deal here in this fight. Hate the -300 price, but it's parlay material (most likely with Weidman).

[AC88]

I am just going to straight up say Phil Davis at anything better than -500 is a GIFT in this fight. What is Forrest going to do from his back for 3 rounds? How can Forrest stuff Phil Davis takedowns if he couldn't even stuff the takedowns of a retiring Tito Ortiz (btw I think Forrest completely lost that fight)? A super prime Rashad had 5 rounds to stop Phil and couldn't. How could Forrest even come close to pulling off an upset finish when the last time he stopped anyone was 5 years ago and that stoppage was against Shogun which was more of a hardcore exhaustion stoppage on Shogun's part rather than the power and finishing ability of Forrest. And lastly, Lil Nog couldn't do anything from his back against Phil so what is Forrest going to be able to do? Yes, I used MMA Math and I'm going to call it that Phil Davis is a LOCK against Forrest and has value up to -500.

[AC88]

The best thing that can happen to Forrest is for him to get injured and have to pull out because I don't see how he can even win unless by DQ due to knees on the ground or punches to the back of the head.

[poopoo333]

Obviously can't call it a "lock" in my opinion, but you're right. He really does not have a clear path to victory.

[poopoo333]

Alan Belcher vs Yushin Okami - 3 rounds - UFC 155 propositions
Sat 12/29		1403 Belcher/Okami goes 3 round distance		+100
10:00PM		1404 Fight won't go 3 round distance		-140

[poopoo333]

I don't get this line. Obviously it's a mistake because the Sonnen fight is off, but "Not Forrest Griffin ITD" only -190?!?!?

Forrest Griffin vs Chael Sonnen - 3 rounds - UFC 155 propositions
Sat 12/29		1105 Griffin wins inside distance		+150
11:00PM		1106 Not Griffin inside distance		-190

[poopoo333]

I went ahead and put 2.5 units on Okami/Belcher goes distance at even money.

[SPX]

Belcher/OkamiL I actually feel like Belcher is a good bet in this one. MAybe not a great bet but a good one. He has been looking really good lately. I think he is probably the more diverse and effective striker standing. More power and more varied strikes. Muay thai to be specific. Yushin is more of a boxer and doesn't pack a huge punch. On the ground I don't know who is better. The wrestling is hard for me to say. I haven't really seen enough of Belchers fights to say who the better wrestler is. It might be Yushin and that might be the deciding factor. If Yushin can get top control and hold Belcher down he might be able to win the fight. Close one. If Yushin wins it is because of wrestling.

I think Okami's going to have a hard time getting him down and on the feet I favor Belcher. I wish I could've gotten Belcher at +140. I think he's the right play as a dog for sure.

[poopoo333]

I don't get this line. Obviously it's a mistake because the Sonnen fight is off, but "Not Forrest Griffin ITD" only -190?!?!?

Forrest Griffin vs Chael Sonnen - 3 rounds - UFC 155 propositions
Sat 12/29		1105 Griffin wins inside distance		+150
11:00PM		1106 Not Griffin inside distance		-190

Sat 12/29		1103 Griffin/Davis goes 3 round distance		+150
11:30PM		1104 Fight won't go 3 round distance		-190

They fixed it. I bet the Not Griffin ITD but they deleted it and emailed me saying they incorrectly worded the prop.

Also, this fight to go the distance at +150?!?!? I'm in.

[poopoo333]

Now have 5 units on Davis/Griffin going the distance. 2.5u at +150 and 2.5u at +115.

[poopoo333]

There goes the lock of the century.

#BREAKING: Chris Weidman out of #UFC 155. Story coming soon.

[poopoo333]

Costa Philippou vs. Tim Boetsch is the new UFC 155 fight after Chris Weidman was removed due to injury

I like Philippou at good dog odds for sure

[Luke]

There goes the lock of the century.

jesus fuck

[poopoo333]

jesus fuck

We were going to pay for graduate school with the Weidman winnings.