I really like Pearson at +odd for this fight. Pearson's tdd is good enough to keep it standing and i think he will. (why should he go to the ground with Sot?). Now I believe his stand up is a level above Sot. He lost to Cole Miller (got caught there), the Barboza fight was really close, it could have gone either way and just got KOed by Swanson. Both Barboza and Swanson are much better strikers than Sot. They are alot faster with more power. Sot's boxing is pretty average to me. He has long reach. that's it. Sot could somehow take this fight to the ground and sub Pearson but unlike that's gonna happen with Sot's average td ability. I think Pearson takes this. The only thing i worry about on betting alot on Pearson is this fight is gonna be in Australia and there's a chance Sot will get a hometown decision.
UFC on FX 6
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Bet it. It's funny how a max bet (very low for a max bet imo) moves the line from +313 to +264. The lines stay stable for so long and then one $100 bet and it gets brought down a lot. It just shows how much people don't actually play these props.Comment
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Let's not forget how quickly Marquardt finished Paul Harris. I can see a similar situation against Lombard where he just gets trucked because he's got the mental capacity of a nine year old.2013: +8.24u(increased unit size on 5/19)
Favorites: 20-6 + 6.13u
Underdogs: 10-19 -2.51u
Ludo's Locks Parlay Project: +1.4u
2012: +20.311uComment
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They're both good examples since Marquardt wasn't the only guy to ever catch Palhares going full retard out there. Remember that shit with Dan Miller where he thought he knocked Dan out and ran up to sit on top of the cage for 45 seconds while the ref is trying to tell him the fight's not over?2013: +8.24u(increased unit size on 5/19)
Favorites: 20-6 + 6.13u
Underdogs: 10-19 -2.51u
Ludo's Locks Parlay Project: +1.4u
2012: +20.311uComment
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Do yourself a favor and watch it because Palhares almost got knocked the fuck out right after coming down.2013: +8.24u(increased unit size on 5/19)
Favorites: 20-6 + 6.13u
Underdogs: 10-19 -2.51u
Ludo's Locks Parlay Project: +1.4u
2012: +20.311uComment

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