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I guess if I knew Harris was going to use his wrestling and isn't going to be all tentative and shit, I would want to bet him. But it really does not matter, because Sportsbook is the only book with the lines for the preliminary fights.
I saw a picture of Torres after weigh ins eating dinner with a bunch of Mexicans, and I didn't see any Tri Star guys (mainly Zahabi) so I went to see if he is still there... I found this:
After spending six months out of the year traveling to different gyms, Torres said he's now rooted to his longtime home in Hammond, Ind., where he owns a successful MMA gym. He plans to fly in sparring partners from the famed Tristar Gym and Jaco Hybrid Training Center, where he's spent much mat time, but he said he wants to be closer to his 5-year-old daughter.
That might be a good thing against a guy like Moraes. When he was with Zahabi, he was very tentative/methodical and it honestly didn't look right for him. From what I have seen from Moraes, Torres being tentative on the feet and trying to out technique a guy like Moraes might not be a good thing. Moraes looks pretty sharp on the feet, is aggressive, and has some power. However, if Torres can get this to the mat, he will be at a big advantage in my opinion. If Torres hangs back, there is a good shot he gets blitzed and ends up on the wrong side of a TKO.
Overall, I think Torres will have a slight edge on the feet technically, but Moraes has a legit shot at getting the upset there. However, Torres is at big advantage on the mat, and if he can work from the top, he should probably get the submission win. I am not sure if Torres can get him to the mat with his takedowns, but Moraes throws lots of kicks, as well as flashy spinning kicks that Torres might be able to get a hold of and wrap him up.
I think Torres wins, but I don't want to take him at -270 in this spot. Lots of question marks surrounding him, and I have been burned in the past taking an ex UFC fighter in a smaller organization.
"I'm going to stand with this guy," Torres on Thursday told MMAjunkie.com Radio (www.mmajunkie.com/radio). "I'm going to fight smart. I just can't run and try the takedown. He knows I'm going to try to bring the fight to the ground. But for sure, I'm going to stand with him and engage him standing.
"(I'm going to be) a lot smarter than my last fight. I'm not going to bring out the old, crazy Miguel Torres. I've trained with him before, so I know where he's dangerous. So I've just got to avoid those things and be make him be impatient and press forward. Then he makes mistakes that way."
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