Ludo's Locks 2013

[SPX]

I think when the odds are that high the best play is just to pass. It's like, is one unit really worth risking ~20% of your bankroll?

[MMA_scientist]

Yeah, I get that from a bankroll management position. But I think he a has a management system in place (though I can't tell what it is from this thread, something involving sets though), so I don't see any issue here. It is going to work.

[Ludo]

Yeah, I get that from a bankroll management position. But I think he a has a management system in place (though I can't tell what it is from this thread, something involving sets though), so I don't see any issue here. It is going to work.

The way the project works is that I start off with 2.5u and play it either until it busts or until it clears 5u on profit, at which point I reset the project with the initial capital and more or less pocket the earnings. I figure I can do this 2-3 times in a year or so. I figure 5 to 1 favorites aren't really worth betting with a normal bankroll most of the time, but with a smaller bankroll in this format I feel I can make something out of them in the long run.

I came up with this idea when I saw what you guys were doing with those locks parlays involving mostly submission props coupled with the contest Svino had last year with each bet to only win a unit. The object is to help manage swings by providing a more stable(in theory) way to make a profit.

[edman5555]

I wouldn't be suprised to see chael do alright in this one. I would be shocked if he won though.

[MMA_scientist]

The way the project works is that I start off with 2.5u and play it either until it busts or until it clears 5u on profit, at which point I reset the project with the initial capital and more or less pocket the earnings. I figure I can do this 2-3 times in a year or so. I figure 5 to 1 favorites aren't really worth betting with a normal bankroll most of the time, but with a smaller bankroll in this format I feel I can make something out of them in the long run.

I came up with this idea when I saw what you guys were doing with those locks parlays involving mostly submission props coupled with the contest Svino had last year with each bet to only win a unit. The object is to help manage swings by providing a more stable(in theory) way to make a profit.

I see. I think that you will definitely win more than you lose, though you will inevitably lose some. I think it will definitely work.

[SPX]

I came up with this idea when I saw what you guys were doing with those locks parlays involving mostly submission props . . .

Whatever happened to that? Seems like I haven't seen a magic parlay in quite in a while. . .

[MMA_scientist]

Whatever happened to that? Seems like I haven't seen a magic parlay in quite in a while. . .

I am still doing them, I actually had a pretty big one on the last card. I just haven't been posting them. I also still have the 2012 parlay going, but it seemed like I was just posting it for no reason, so I stopped.

[SPX]

Scientist, why are you refusing to participate in the forum?

[Ludo]

I see. I think that you will definitely win more than you lose, though you will inevitably lose some. I think it will definitely work.

I figred I'd eventually bust(like I did last year on Rich Franklin) and thats why it only rolls to 5u profit before I reset it.

[MMA_scientist]

I figred I'd eventually bust(like I did last year on Rich Franklin) and thats why it only rolls to 5u profit before I reset it.

Sure, it is essentially a positive betting progression. Win X in a row and take it down. System bettors have been using that forever. As long as you have an edge, it will work. If you don't, it won't work. You are "an advantage player" so to speak, so it will work- there is no controversy here.

[MMA_scientist]

Scientist, why are you refusing to participate in the forum?

Bol, I'm not. I just don't have that much to add.

[SPX]

Bol, I'm not. I just don't have that much to add.

Well if you don't post all your bets how do you expect the tracker to be accurate?

[MMA_scientist]

Well if you don't post all your bets how do you expect the tracker to be accurate?

I don't. I haven't posted any bets in the tracker in a while. I figured I don't really track it or care to, so why should anyone else care.

[SPX]

I like to know how everyone's doing.

[MMA_scientist]

Oh, well I don't really consider myself active. I will start posting my plays again just for you.