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I havent been doing that well. I am starting to get in the right mood/frame of mind. I've been shooting from the hip for a while here and its been costing me. I am going to try and go back to my old style of picking favorites. I am thinking about all the things I did in 2011 that made me successful and hopefully I will be able to implement those methods now and win. I deviated from them for a while. I won some bets and lost some others. All in all I think I haven't done so bad betting dogs with value and I do think there is value to that approach. I just need to tone it down. I went 3u on Gesius Cavalvante over a guy whom I have not seen against top competition. That was stupid. Putting 8u on Overeem was dumb. I have made a few mistakes that have cost me dearly. I guess I just need to tighten my game up.
I havent been doing that well. I am starting to get in the right mood/frame of mind. I've been shooting from the hip for a while here and its been costing me. I am going to try and go back to my old style of picking favorites. I am thinking about all the things I did in 2011 that made me successful and hopefully I will be able to implement those methods now and win. I deviated from them for a while. I won some bets and lost some others. All in all I think I haven't done so bad betting dogs with value and I do think there is value to that approach. I just need to tone it down. I went 3u on Gesius Cavalvante over a guy whom I have not seen against top competition. That was stupid. Putting 8u on Overeem was dumb. I have made a few mistakes that have cost me dearly. I guess I just need to tighten my game up.
I think a proper approach involves both dogs and faves. I can't remember what the exact stats were but I'm pretty sure I remember Svino posting something that said on average there's usually about a 70/30 split between dogs and faves. If dogs are winning 30% of fights on average, then that's definitely something to exploit. But you can't forget that faves still win the majority of the time.
And I know this is obvious, but most important factor in making money is, quite simply, accuracy. The more bets you win the more money you make. It doesn't matter how much "value" there was in a line if the guy you bet doesn't win and vice versa.
I havent been doing that well. I am starting to get in the right mood/frame of mind. I've been shooting from the hip for a while here and its been costing me. I am going to try and go back to my old style of picking favorites. I am thinking about all the things I did in 2011 that made me successful and hopefully I will be able to implement those methods now and win. I deviated from them for a while. I won some bets and lost some others. All in all I think I haven't done so bad betting dogs with value and I do think there is value to that approach. I just need to tone it down. I went 3u on Gesius Cavalvante over a guy whom I have not seen against top competition. That was stupid. Putting 8u on Overeem was dumb. I have made a few mistakes that have cost me dearly. I guess I just need to tighten my game up.
I dont think the Reem bet was stupid. He got cocky in the 3rd and got caught . My problem is I just dont have the time to look at things anymore. I'm usually gone from 6:30 in the morning till 8 at night , then I have HW to do.
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