UFC on FOX 8: INJURED

[poopoo333]

• Welterweight bout: Jake Ellenberger vs. Rory MacDonald^[3]
• Lightweight bout: Melvin Guillard vs. Mac Danzig^[4]

[poopoo333]

Tarec Saffiedine vs. Robbie Lawler, Danny Castillo vs. Bobby Green added to UFC on Fox 8

[SPX]

Surely Guillard gets his mojo back here. . .

And if Danzig loses, is it Cut City?

[poopoo333]

I think when Guillard loses, it is cut city.

Saffiedine should beat Lawler easy. Great TDD, solid in the clinch, and a better technical striker...he just has to avoid the big shot.

Ellenberger/Macdonald is interesting...has MacDonald fought a wrestler yet?

[poopoo333]

MAIN CARD (FOX, 8 p.m. ET)

• Demetrious Johnson vs. John Moraga - for UFC flyweight title
• Jake Ellenberger vs. Rory MacDonald
• Robbie Lawler vs. Siyar Bahadurzada
• Jessica Andrade vs. Liz Carmouche

PRELIMINARY CARD (FX, 5 p.m. ET)

• Michael Chiesa vs. Jorge Masvidal
• Danny Castillo vs. Bobby Green
• Mac Danzig vs. Melvin Guillard
• Matt Mitrione vs. Brendan Schaub
• Yves Edwards vs. Spencer Fisher
• Germaine de Randamie vs. Julie Kedzie

PRELIMINARY CARD (Facebook, 3:30 p.m. ET)

• Ed Herman vs. Trevor Smith
• Aaron Riley vs. Justin Salas
• John Albert vs. Yaotzin Meza

[edman5555]

Im thinking maybe castillo over green, edwards over fisher and dj over moraga.

[edman5555]

Massival will probably beat cheisa but im not sure if i am underrating cheisas wrestling. Most of those fights are too close to call.

[poopoo333]

I'll be betting Moraga and Moraga + the points if it's reasonable. He has very solid wrestling and decent striking, I think both guys will be spending some time on their backs in this fight.

[edman5555]

Really? I read his play by plays against cariaso and cariaso seemed to be doing pretty well against him. I know its a different matchup but cariaso hasnt really been that successful in the ufc.

[poopoo333]

I kind of like Castillo over Green too, although I got burned betting against him with Volkmann. However..Volkmann gassed horribly in that fight which was a big part of his loss. I don't think Castillo will do that. I wouldn't lay big juice on Castillo but I like him to win for sure.

Edwards/Fisher will be a good fight and most likely pretty close. I'd bet either guy at decent + numbers and would bet the decision prop at -250 or better for sure.

I lean Schaub over Mitrione despite the glass jaw issue. I think if he clinches up with Meathead and gets a takedown or two he can tire him out and make it an ugly fight. I don't see Mitrione winning any other way than by (T)KO so there is a possible hedge there too.

I love Robbie Lawler @ -125 against Siyar. He has the wrestling advantage, cardio advantage, and the striking should be a wash. Both guys pack big power and Lawler has a chin on him..not sure how Siyar's chin is.

Based on Guillard's situation I like Danzig at such a close line.

I am guessing MacDonald will beat Ellenberger but I couldn't really take anything from the Penn fight. Penn was an undersized human punching bag that literally gassed out in less than 3 minutes of the fight. I am curious to see how MacDonald does against a compact wrestler with big power.

As for the rest...I gotta do my "research"

[edman5555]

I like your picking lawler. They seem like two brawlers but lawler is a beast. He took everything Melvin manhoef had and ko'ed him. I gotta give him the edge in a brawl. Siyar was also seriously out grappler by Dong. I like Robbie in this one.

[trotterz]

I like your picking lawler. They seem like two brawlers but lawler is a beast. He took everything Melvin manhoef had and ko'ed him. I gotta give him the edge in a brawl. Siyar was also seriously out grappler by Dong. I like Robbie in this one.

Lawler got outstrike by babalu

[edman5555]

Yeah i know. I was thinking about that. Lorenz larkin outstruck him as well iirc. He doesnt do well against technical strikers. Im not sure how technical siyar is though. Its also a lower weight class. That could aid robbie unless of course he gasses.

[trotterz]

Yeah i know. I was thinking about that. Lorenz larkin outstruck him as well iirc. He doesnt do well against technical strikers. Im not sure how technical siyar is though. Its also a lower weight class. That could aid robbie unless of course he gasses.

Yeah larkinz did oustrike him but larkinz is a really solid striker. Babalu is not

[poopoo333]

That Babalu fight was fucking weird. Lawler didn't do shit IIRC