UFC 163

[Luke]

Machida is -275 at a Euro book

[edman5555]

Nice. It will probably be like -400 here. Hopefully not. I can't imagine that nobody else realizes Machida is a nightmare matchup for him.

[Luke]

Aldo is -800 and Maia is -275 at the euro books

[MMA_scientist]

Damn, I always bet Maia, but I will definitely take Koscheck at that line.

[edman5555]

Aldo is -800 and Maia is -275 at the euro books

What books? I want to go and look at them.

[poopoo333]

[poopoo333]

MAIN CARD (Pay-per-view, 10 p.m. ET)

• Champ Jose Aldo vs. Chan Sung Jung - for featherweight title
• Phil Davis vs. Lyoto Machida
• Josh Koscheck vs. Demian Maia
• Cezar Ferreira vs. Clint Hester
• John Lineker vs. Phil Harris

PRELIMINARY CARD (FX, 8 p.m. ET)

• Vinny Magalhaes vs. Anthony Perosh
• Sheila Gaff vs. Amanda Nunes
• Neil Magny vs. Sergio Moraes
• Thales Leites vs. Tom Watson

PRELIMINARY CARD (Facebook, 6 p.m. ET)

• Josh Clopton vs. Rani Yahya
• Ian McCall vs. Iliarde Santos
• Viscardi Andrade vs. Bristol Marunde
• Robert Drysdale vs. Ednaldo Oliveira

[poopoo333]

I bet on Davis @+300.

[Mr. IWS]

I bet on Davis @+300.

You killin me! lol Is this purely value or you think he will win? Imma be on Lachida myself.

[MMA_scientist]

Im definitely taking Davis at that line.

Im trying to find a way to not bet Koscheck here. Why is Maia going to beat him?

[poopoo333]

You killin me! lol Is this purely value or you think he will win? Imma be on Lachida myself.

Both. I obviously favor Machida but +300 is nuts imo. Davis is only getting better and I feel that Machida has already hit his peak and may not even be there anymore. I hate how this fight is in Brazil based on the recent trends of America (besides Nik Lentz) getting fucked up in Brazil.

Im definitely taking Davis at that line.

Im trying to find a way to not bet Koscheck here. Why is Maia going to beat him?

Can he do what he did to Fitch to Koscheck? Maia didn't give Fitch any room to strike, he might be able to do the same to Koscheck. Also, Koscheck is definitely one of those fighters that is just fighting for the money now in my opinion. He isn't with AKA and just went ahead and opened his own gym. He seems to have made his money and I have this feeling he just isn't into it anymore. Combine that with traveling to Brazil and the cards are stacked against him.

HOWEVER, he might have a "fire lit under his ass" now because if he loses I am pretty sure he is going to get cut.

[MMA_scientist]

I think Koscheck is a much stronger wrestler than Fitch, only a couple guys (GSP, Hendricks) can even think about taking Koscheck down. The difference with Maia is that he will go for the finish whereas Hendricks and GSP aren't just going to jump up on your back standing. What that means for this fight, I don't know, but I have my doubts that Maia can take Kos down or even outclinch him. I could see Maia just chasing him around the cage for 15 minutes while Koscheck tries to avoid the clinch and land his ridiculous haymakers.

I don't know, I have always thought that Koscheck was the 2nd best WW after GSP, just a lot dumber.

[Mr. IWS]

Im definitely taking Davis at that line.

Im trying to find a way to not bet Koscheck here. Why is Maia going to beat him?

Im thinking along the same lines as poopoo, I think Maia is gonna smother him similar to the Fitch fight. I really like Maia lately and Kos looks like he is going through the motions anymore.

[edman5555]

Maia might be able to out kickbox him..

[edman5555]

Im very confident in Aldo in this one but his line has gone to shit. Machida should win as well but his line is equally shitty and I am a little worried that Phil can take him down. I like Vinny to beat Perosh but I worry that Perosh might be able to win with wrestling. Though I think Perosh should be at a speed disadvantage which should make it hard for him to land takedowns.