TUF 18 Finale

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  • edman5555
    Senior Member
    • Apr 2010
    • 6628

    #46
    You can bet the favorite and the underdog with points.
    1 unit = 300 $

    Comment

    • SPX
      Senior Member
      • Aug 2009
      • 23875

      #47
      Originally posted by Luke
      They can't both win the fight. Either you like Mighty Mouse or Benavidez
      Value bro. It's called value.
      I heart cock

      Comment

      • poopoo333
        MMA *********
        • Jan 2010
        • 18302

        #48
        I'll be betting DJ. At any odds.

        Comment

        • Luke
          10 year vet
          • Oct 2006
          • 30060

          #49
          Originally posted by SPX
          Value bro. It's called value.
          Value is another word for "I like losing money."
          2015 MMA BETTING CHAMP


          Comment

          • SPX
            Senior Member
            • Aug 2009
            • 23875

            #50
            Originally posted by Luke
            Value is another word for "I like losing money."
            Well it's like this:

            I favor DJ to win. At even odds, I would bet him. Because I favor him. But Benavidez has been looking great lately and it wouldn't shock me at all if he pulled it out. So if I could get a good enough return on my money, he'd be worth the bet I think.
            I heart cock

            Comment

            • SPX
              Senior Member
              • Aug 2009
              • 23875

              #51
              Originally posted by poopoo333
              I'll be betting DJ. At any odds.
              -1000
              I heart cock

              Comment

              • Luke
                10 year vet
                • Oct 2006
                • 30060

                #52
                Value is completely overrated in combat sports. Most of the time you could set up two fighters to fight ten times and the same guy will win all ten times. There is value in other sports, though. If the Jags are getting 50 points against the Broncos or UTEP is getting 80 against Bama, there's value. That's because teams rarely ever win by 50 in the NFL or 80 in college. If you set up Cain vs Rothwell Cain will win 100 out of 100 times unless there's a one in a million freak accident, so even if you were getting Rothwell at +5000 there's no value .
                2015 MMA BETTING CHAMP


                Comment

                • Mr. IWS
                  215 Hustler
                  • Sep 2006
                  • 98699

                  #53
                  Originally posted by Luke
                  Value is completely overrated in combat sports. Most of the time you could set up two fighters to fight ten times and the same guy will win all ten times. There is value in other sports, though. If the Jags are getting 50 points against the Broncos or UTEP is getting 80 against Bama, there's value. That's because teams rarely ever win by 50 in the NFL or 80 in college. If you set up Cain vs Rothwell Cain will win 100 out of 100 times unless there's a one in a million freak accident, so even if you were getting Rothwell at +5000 there's no value .
                  But what if I was on the ride side betting Rothwell?
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                  Comment

                  • Luke
                    10 year vet
                    • Oct 2006
                    • 30060

                    #54
                    Originally posted by Mr. IWS
                    But what if I was on the ride side betting Rothwell?

                    BOL!!!!









                    reported
                    2015 MMA BETTING CHAMP


                    Comment

                    • SPX
                      Senior Member
                      • Aug 2009
                      • 23875

                      #55
                      Originally posted by Luke
                      Value is completely overrated in combat sports. Most of the time you could set up two fighters to fight ten times and the same guy will win all ten times. There is value in other sports, though. If the Jags are getting 50 points against the Broncos or UTEP is getting 80 against Bama, there's value. That's because teams rarely ever win by 50 in the NFL or 80 in college. If you set up Cain vs Rothwell Cain will win 100 out of 100 times unless there's a one in a million freak accident, so even if you were getting Rothwell at +5000 there's no value .
                      Yeah, but not every fight is that lopsided. If you could get +220 on a fighter and you think he has a 50% chance of winning, you wouldn't bet it or say there's value there?
                      I heart cock

                      Comment

                      • Luke
                        10 year vet
                        • Oct 2006
                        • 30060

                        #56
                        Originally posted by SPX
                        Yeah, but not every fight is that lopsided. If you could get +220 on a fighter and you think he has a 50% chance of winning, you wouldn't bet it or say there's value there?
                        Nope. I don't bet a fighter unless I expect him to win
                        2015 MMA BETTING CHAMP


                        Comment

                        • poopoo333
                          MMA *********
                          • Jan 2010
                          • 18302

                          #57
                          I agree with Luke. Which sucks, because he should kill himself

                          Comment

                          • Luke
                            10 year vet
                            • Oct 2006
                            • 30060

                            #58
                            Originally posted by poopoo333
                            I agree with Luke. Which sucks, because he should kill himself

                            That's an awful thing to say to someone who won you 500 dollars on Monday.
                            2015 MMA BETTING CHAMP


                            Comment

                            • SPX
                              Senior Member
                              • Aug 2009
                              • 23875

                              #59
                              Originally posted by Luke
                              Nope. I don't bet a fighter unless I expect him to win
                              Well I have to think you're leaving money on the table then.
                              I heart cock

                              Comment

                              • edman5555
                                Senior Member
                                • Apr 2010
                                • 6628

                                #60
                                Some people take the approach of betting for value but i think there is too much variance in it.
                                1 unit = 300 $

                                Comment

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