UFC FIGHT NIGHT Sat. Jan. 4 Saffiedine vs. Lim

[edman5555]

Above is true. Best thing you can do is sit back and observe. Then cherry pick.

[edman5555]

pretty much this. I used to scour every card for betting opportunities, but it isn't worth the effort to me any more since I don't like watching MMA all that much anymore.

Also, it is nickel and dime stuff for the most part. How big are you going to go on a guy that all you have to go on is some grainy cell phone footage against a scrub.

2 or 3 years ago, I don't think you could find a better MMA betting forum anywhere. But a lot of just sort lost interest or found other ways to make money (like svino, only live betting) or the props, or whatever.

JimGunn, most of us here have been there and back with research and the math and all of that. Go back and read some of the old threads, you will see pretty much the same guys posting now, making pretty intricate breakdowns. You might see a guy with a hot hand for a while, but most of them burn out quickly never to be heard from again. Come back in 2 years, and most of the guys here will still be in the game. Except me, because I quit.

Yeah your right about that. We were all working hard together back then. That brought out the best in us.

[MMA_scientist]

Yeah your right about that. We were all working hard together back then. That brought out the best in us.

Then I made as much in 2012 without any research, and realized what I know now. Research is great, but it really only convinces you of what you already thought. And going crazy on research has a way of getting you into bets you have no business making... trying to find value on what is a coin flip.
I really agree with luke now, hammer the lines that are obviously wrong and leave the rest alone. Poopoo has been doing that too, going bananas on bad lines.

[poopoo333]

I really agree with luke now, hammer the lines that are obviously wrong and leave the rest alone. Poopoo has been doing that too, going bananas on bad lines.

Yeah...sometimes I lose a lot but if you get 4 out of 9 of these right...chances are you are ahead. I'm always too lazy to post my bets lately from my phone because I am not home much with my schedule but I'll try and post everything in the tracker for now on. The only person that knows all of my bets is Luke because we do lots of sexting..

I mean texting.

[poopoo333]

[poopoo333]

I haven't completely looked at this fight yet but Tarec at a line this low is very odd. He has a better gas tank and should be able to dictate where this fight takes place.

[poopoo333]

As I post that it goes from -140 to -170. Gay.

[JimGunn]

I think Tarec is a good fighter but I was pretty impressed by Lim's highlight reel. I saw Hyun Gyu Lim at +130 and jumped on it for $200 and also the under 2 1/2 at +120 for another $100. This guy is HUGE and all of his last seven fights have ended by KO, TKO and one by submission, and almost all of them in round one and all under the half way mark of round two. Tarec hasn't fought in nearly a year so may have some ring rust. And he has to fly all the way to Asia and deal with the time change and the adrenaline dump from the pressure of making his UFC debut. If Lim stays away from Tarec's kicks and makes it a brawl I think he gets a quick stoppage. If it goes the distance- which I doubt- and it's close maybe Asian judges will favor Lim anyway.

[edman5555]

The judges might not be asian.

[Luke]

Lotta black people for an Asian card


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[zY|]

Hacist

[edman5555]

Then I made as much in 2012 without any research, and realized what I know now. Research is great, but it really only convinces you of what you already thought. And going crazy on research has a way of getting you into bets you have no business making... trying to find value on what is a coin flip.
I really agree with luke now, hammer the lines that are obviously wrong and leave the rest alone. Poopoo has been doing that too, going bananas on bad lines.

That strikes a chord with me. I can remember many times that I have spent a huge amount of time researching unknowns and making educated guesses on how it would turn out. I made money plenty of times but lost money plenty of times. In the end I guess I came to the conclusion that my time is better spent working on known commodities. Spending the same amount of time breaking down fighters we are all familiar with is much more effective in my opinion. Its a much better starting position. I think watching some tape is a good idea too. That can be covered with just watching the fights to begin with though.

To sum up. Just watch all the fights. Talk a little bit and place bets. I think debating is still a valid tactic to use. You never know when your wrong and there are always people on the internet willing to point that out.

[Mr. IWS]

Lotta black people for an Asian card


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A lot of Wesley Snipes lookin ninjas on there.

[poopoo333]

I'm gonna look at Chope/Hollaway and Soriano/Kawajiri..that's it.

I'm going to bet Tarec as well...waiting on line to get better though.

[Vandelay]

PP, I feel like you should have some inside knowledge on the majority of these fighters as they are your brethren. Quit dicking around and share the good stuff with the rest of us. I fully intend to tail your picks alone just because of this fact.