Nope. Wht name does he post under?
2014 Off Topic Thread
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Yeah, this could definitely make a difference. But controlling for another factor like that, while doable, is kinda tricky. Also, you'd have to make certain assumptions about how the two factors interact, like that lawyers and judges can be modeled with a single parameter for persuasiveness/leniency and they make a linear contribution to the probability of success. It could be super hard to model if there are quirks about specific lawyers matching up better or worse with different judges (like if one lawyer was primarily a jiu-jitsu guy, but one judge has really good take-down defense).I understand your rationale Svino but only if you are stricly looking to know if a lawyer is better than the other ones. I would still take into consideration the amount of Cases won in front of each judges .... simply for the reporting purposes. It is totally possible that the lawyer with the 54% rate won 95% of his cases in front of judge 1 but but only won 10% of his cases in front of judge #2.Comment
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I actually do love it. I love playing with numbers and it is actualy my full tme job to do analysis and reports all day. and I am making out $82,000/year doign it so numbers are good to meThanks a ton. That actually helps a lot.
trotterz, you of course right, but it is more depth than I want to go into right now, that's why I asked to assume the same number of cases for each judge. The reality is slightly more complicated, but I can figure it out from here...
Thanks again guys, youre the best... I am really jealous of people that can do math. It makes me mad, because I feel like I should be able to do something like that and after you express the problem appropriately, the answer becomes clear to me. But I just can't order my thoughts in mathematically, even though I often imagine I am an expert logician (I even taught formal logic classes at a University). I realize how limited I am in this way when the problem is expressed correctly and see how obvious it should have been to me.Comment
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2013: +8.24u(increased unit size on 5/19)
Favorites: 20-6 + 6.13u
Underdogs: 10-19 -2.51u
Ludo's Locks Parlay Project: +1.4u
2012: +20.311uComment
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Just use one of the travel sites (travelocity, expedia, priceline). But Budget or Alamo is usually the cheapest.2012: +19.33
2012 Parlay project: +16.5uComment


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