There's no such thing as a perfect line. . .

[SPX]

Anyone agree with this?

It's something I've been thinking about lately. To say that a line is perfect means that the oddsmakers called a fight PERFECTLY.

If there's no such thing as perfect line, that means that all lines hold value. This is a principle that I've kept in mind while betting on 108. That's why I have so many bets on this card.

[zY|]

Re: There's no such thing as a perfect line. . .

If that's true then logic would dictate that a corollary to said maxim is that you would be unable to set a perfect line yourself, ergo any value you perceive may or may not actually exist, no?

[Luke]

Re: There's no such thing as a perfect line. . .

In terms of betting a fight a perfect line in the eyes of a linesmaker would be a line with exactly 50/50 action so they can jut take the juice.

In terms of sports there are plenty of perfect lines ,anytime a game is a push.


Now are there perfct lines in MMA from the point of a bettor? No

No matter which fight and which line you are looking at theres value in one side or the other you just have to figure out which side that is

[SPX]

Re: There's no such thing as a perfect line. . .

Well somewhere, out there in the universe, a perfect line exists.

I mean, there is such a thing as the EXACT percentages by which any two fighters will when the fight given their exact physical and mental state on fight night.

The question is, can you set the perfect line?

[SPX]

Re: There's no such thing as a perfect line. . .

Now are there perfct lines in MMA from the point of a bettor? No

No matter which fight and which line you are looking at theres value in one side or the other you just have to figure out which side that is

Exactly.

So I suppose it comes down to how skilled YOU are individually.

But in a very real sense, every line has value on one side or the other.

[zY|]

Re: There's no such thing as a perfect line. . .

Well another thing is that the line can never be perfect due to the vig.

[SPX]

Re: There's no such thing as a perfect line. . .

Well another thing is that the line can never be perfect due to the vig.

Well even then, theoretically a perfect line could be set.

[zY|]

Re: There's no such thing as a perfect line. . .

Now are there perfct lines in MMA from the point of a bettor? No

No matter which fight and which line you are looking at theres value in one side or the other you just have to figure out which side that is

Exactly.

So I suppose it comes down to how skilled YOU are individually.

But in a very real sense, every line has value on one side or the other.

True but my point was if the oddsmakers are unable to set a perfect line, what makes you think you can?

[SPX]

Re: There's no such thing as a perfect line. . .

True but my point was if the oddsmakers are unable to set a perfect line, what makes you think you can?

Oh, well 'cause I'm just awesome like that. . .

No, I kid. But seriously, I'm not saying I can, but theoretically it's possible. And in reality, since humans are flawed, every line is flawed.

[zY|]

Re: There's no such thing as a perfect line. . .

Well if you abide by the theory that there is no such thing as a perfect line, then there is no such thing as a perfect line. You can't have it both ways.

Trying to find minute value in seemingly wellset lines seems like an exercise in futility.

[SPX]

Re: There's no such thing as a perfect line. . .

Well if you abide by the theory that there is no such thing as a perfect line, then there is no such thing as a perfect line. You can't have it both ways.

Trying to find minute value in seemingly wellset lines seems like an exercise in futility.

Don't be negative.

[zY|]

Re: There's no such thing as a perfect line. . .

Negative? Or merely frugal?

Yeah I flipped the script on you there. Now who's glass is half full, bitch?

[Luke]

Re: There's no such thing as a perfect line. . .

Well somewhere, out there in the universe, a perfect line exists.

I mean, there is such a thing as the EXACT percentages by which any two fighters will when the fight given their exact physical and mental state on fight night.

The question is, can you set the perfect line?

possibly .If you knew every aspect of both fighters and gave each of those aspects a numerica value and then fed it through a simulator around 10,000 times you could find the exact amount of times fighter A would beat fighter B and then could put those numbers to a line

[Luke]

Re: There's no such thing as a perfect line. . .

True but my point was if the oddsmakers are unable to set a perfect line, what makes you think you can?

Odds makers arent trying to set a perfect line ,they are trying to set a lin where half the public will be on one side and half will bet the other so they cn pick up the vig

[Luke]

Re: There's no such thing as a perfect line. . .

Well another thing is that the line can never be perfect due to the vig.

theres no vig at matchbook most lines are only one cent off

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