WEC 46: Varner vs Henderson

[SPX]

Re: WEC 46: Varner vs Henderson

Its now -225 at matchbook and you can get 450 down on it

I still don't understand how matchbook works. I looked at that site and just got confused.

[Luke]

Re: WEC 46: Varner vs Henderson

Its now -225 at matchbook and you can get 450 down on it

I still don't understand how matchbook works. I looked at that site and just got confused.

matchbook works two ways .One you just look at the odds and bet whats up just like at a regular sportsbook.They take a 1% commission on the bets .So say you bet 450 to win 200 on faber they would take a 4 dollar commission. They dont take the commission from the 450 they take it from the 200.They always take the commission from the smaller side of the bet .So say you took a +200 dog 100 to win 200 they would take the commission from the 100 not the 200.

the second way it works is you can put your own odds up and hope someone takes your bet.

Lets do the Faber fight for example .The odds are -225 for Faber for 450 right now. That means someone wants Assuncao at +225 200 to win 450 .He put up Assuncao at +225 200 to win 450 and it shows up as Faber -225 for 450.

Someone has to bet faber at -225 for 450 for the other guy to have a bet.It could be one guy that bets the full 450 or 100 different people betting 4.50 each,it doesnt matter. Now when you put the odds up they take no commission from your bet. Its confusing putting up odds and bets so most of the time I just bet whats already up.
If you use it this way its just like any other sportsbook

[SPX]

Re: WEC 46: Varner vs Henderson

I see (sort of). I'll give it another look when I get home.

[Luke]

Re: WEC 46: Varner vs Henderson

I see (sort of). I'll give it another look when I get home.

It is very confusing .It took me a while to figure it out

I played around on it for a couple weeks before I ever deposited so I could figure it out.They have a step by step guide on how to play on the front page that explains it better than I can

[SPX]

Re: WEC 46: Varner vs Henderson

So the -250 for Faber . . . is that something you can bet on like a regular book or the crazy shit?

[Luke]

Re: WEC 46: Varner vs Henderson

So the -250 for Faber . . . is that something you can bet on like a regular book or the crazy shit?

you can bet Faber -225 right now for up to 450 on matchbook .no crazy shit just place the bet and roll just like any other book

[SPX]

Re: WEC 46: Varner vs Henderson

Maybe I'll look into that when I get home. Not sure that I have the case to open another account, but I like those odds for the Cali Kid. And besides, you can never have too many SB accounts.

[SPX]

Re: WEC 46: Varner vs Henderson

Here are some more thoughts:

Varner VS Henderson

Tough, tough fight to call. In the end, I gotta give the edge to Varner and I'm basing this mostly on the fact that, in my opinion, his performance against Cerrone was better overall. He never did find himself in the kind of trouble that Henderson did and, even though he was starting to lose ground in the last two rounds, he wasn't getting schooled the way Henderson was. Henderson seems to get in trouble in his fights. Shane Roller had him rocked before the TKO and Cerrone had him all kinds of bad positions. With that said, Henderson's an impressive fighter. He seems impossible to sub. Cerrone had him in some of the nastiest shit I've ever seen and he got out of it.

I think this fight will come down to who has the better wrestling. Both are pretty good. Again, going back to their fights with Cerrone, both used their wrestling to get Cerrone down and take the lead . . . neither wanted to stay on the feet. And again, I think that overall Varner's performance against this common opponent was more impressive.

Personally, I like Henderson at +200 or better or Varner at -150 or better. Anything in between I'm not interested in. Too many variables here.


Faber VS Assuncao

I think Faber wins this one. His speed, experience, and dynamism should be too much for Assuncao. Both guys have pretty complete skillsets. They can handle themselves on the feet or on the ground. But in the end I think the most dominant champ in WEC history will take this one. I mean shit, did you see what Urijah did to Brown . . . without hands? He at least kept the fight competitive when he was supposed to crumble. There's not much more to say about this one. Both guys are skilled, but I think Urijah will be one step ahead.

I intend to take Faber up to -300, so I'm hoping his line doesn't open all retarded.


Brown VS Morrison

Hmm. . .

Question: Can you imagine Brock Lesnar losing the HW title and then in his very next fight he takes on someone making his UFC debut? Well that's basically what's happening here. Brown lost the title to Aldo and here he is scheduled to fight someone who is 12-6 and making his WEC debut.

You can't find a whole lot of footage on Morrison if you go looking, but you can find some. From what I can tell:

*he's a good wrestler with good slams
*he's submission prone
*he loses when he fights someone I've heard of (i.e. Jim Miller and Micah Miller)
*he struggles with guys who are taller than him (and possibly also guys who are good wrestlers?) --> see his fight with Micah Miller

You never know in MMA, but I think Brown's going to own this guy. He will be able to nullify his wrestling and (possibly) exploit his submission weakness.

Brown might be good up to . . . hell, I don't know. Due to what seems to be the increased unpredictability of WEC fights, I think I'd take him up to -300. Maybe even -350. But I wouldn't be surprised if in the real world he's good all the way to -500.

[The HOFF]

Re: WEC 46: Varner vs Henderson

For some reason I think that ring rust will affect Varner a lot more than it will Faber.

[SPX]

Re: WEC 46: Varner vs Henderson

Odds are up!

And most of them are the fucking lulz.

-675 for Faber? -875 for Brown?

I did take Varner for 1u at -115.

[zY|]

Re: WEC 46: Varner vs Henderson

LOL indeed.

However, what do you think about Assuncao at +475?

[Luke]

Re: WEC 46: Varner vs Henderson

Odds are up!

And most of them are the fucking lulz.

-675 for Faber? -875 for Brown?

I did take Varner for 1u at -115.

Still -275 at matchbook should I hammer everything thats up and then hedge on the other side?

[zY|]

Re: WEC 46: Varner vs Henderson

Odds are up!

And most of them are the fucking lulz.

-675 for Faber? -875 for Brown?

I did take Varner for 1u at -115.

Still -275 at matchbook should I hammer everything thats up or then hedge on the other side?

I don't see why not. That's a huge fucking arb.

[SPX]

Re: WEC 46: Varner vs Henderson

LOL indeed.

However, what do you think about Assuncao at +475?

I don't know, man. I don't necessarily think it's a BAD bet . . . I just really don't think he's gonna win. At those odds though I could see throwing .25u on it.

[Luke]

Re: WEC 46: Varner vs Henderson

Hope these are the true odds -675 and +480 because I just bet 400 on Faber at -275 and -278 hopefully when the odds come out I can get the other side at +450 and make a profit without caring who wins