UFC 112

[Thewiseman]

Re: UFC 112

I like Story to -250. I think he is going to win with his top control. Stand up may to to osipczak, but Story should be able to keep him grounded.

[MMA_scientist]

Re: UFC 112

I have:
3U on GEORGI KARAKHANYAN for tomorrow

2U on Dos Anjos
5U on Veach
Enough U's on Penn to win 5U haha

Jay, you have 35units on Penn?

If you are going to go wild, you should have just bet everything on him.

[MMA_scientist]

Re: UFC 112

What's everyone think about Story/Osipczak?

I see it pretty much like you do. But Nick is a lot like your view of Saunders for the last fight. From the time we saw him in his frist fight on TUF until now, he is 10x improved. He has a great build for 170, and I think he could give Story some problems. Story will probably ground him, but I don't know that he will finish him... so this gives Nick time to work something out. Story has 1 path to victory- GNP. Nick has shown pretty good defensive skills off his back. And with his length he can control posture better, which should make the GNP less effective.

But @ -165 I don't think he is a bad bet. For me, the line is just about right.

[poopoo333]

Re: UFC 112

Final Plays (unless BJ gets down to -600 range)

5 units on Veach @-265
5 units on Hughes @-440
1 unit on Dos Anjos @+150
0.5 unit on Maia @+460


I was pissed about getting Veach @-265. Bookmaker opened him at -160...and my book (5 dimes) didn't have the lines up all night last night so he opened high.

[Thewiseman]

Re: UFC 112

Final Plays (unless BJ gets down to -600 range)

5 units on Veach @-265
5 units on Hughes @-440
1 unit on Dos Anjos @+150
0.5 unit on Maia @+460


I was pissed about getting Veach @-265. Bookmaker opened him at -160...and my book (5 dimes) didn't have the lines up all night last night so he opened high.

Bookmaker is essential IMO, for that reason. I have dimes and Bookmaker.

[Thewiseman]

Re: UFC 112

Added some parlays
Veach
Blackburn
Story
Taylor
Davis
Dos Anjos by dec
Grove
Hughes by dec
Edgar by dec
Silva inside the distance
.02u to win 36.8u

Same parlay except instead of Edgar Penn/Edgar over 3.5 rds
.02u to win 7.68u

Veach
Story
Taylor
Davis
Dos Anjos by dec
Hughes by dec
Penn/Edgar over
.04u to win 3u

Veach
Story
Hughes by dec
Penn/Edgar over
Silva ITD
.1u to win 1.4u

[Mr. IWS]

Re: UFC 112

I wont get my lines until tommorow, but Ill be on BJ and Anderson.

[southbaysurf]

Re: UFC 112

Where did you get Veach as a dog?

Vegas. He actually opened +170 but I couldn't get there till yesterday.
The Faber/Aldo line is +180/-220
Taylor was -160

[SPX]

Re: UFC 112

The Faber/Aldo line is +180/-220

Faber's a +180 dog?

[southbaysurf]

Re: UFC 112

Si senor.

[poopoo333]

Re: UFC 112

Penn's line just got worse, so I doubt I will be making a play on him at all.

[Ipickdeeznuts2win]

Re: UFC 112

I have:
3U on GEORGI KARAKHANYAN for tomorrow

2U on Dos Anjos
5U on Veach
Enough U's on Penn to win 5U haha

Jay, you have 35units on Penn?

If you are going to go wild, you should have just bet everything on him.

Haha I was tempted to, but I needed to leave something in there to build off in case the unthinkable happens.

I did put a little cash back in the Bodog so I could play with parlays.
Spider, Penn, and Davis parlay - 4U to win 1.66U
Spider, Penn, Davis, and Veach - 2U to win 2U

I am excited to hear that Spider could possibly make 170lbs!! I think he wants that fight with GSP, but GSP and Dana don't want it. I think they are scared that GSP will be beaten and his stock will lower. Personally I think GSP would take it, and I would bet that as well, especially if it were at 170lbs

[Thewiseman]

Re: UFC 112

Lots of action
I have two parlays closing this event.
GSP(win), Okami(win)
GSP(win), Palhares(win), Okami(win), Florian(win). Both have Hughes and Silva left. One is 2u to win 3.5u and the other is 4u to win 5.25u.

Hughes by decision .5u to win 1.3u. So I have 6.5u at risk with Hughes.
Silva 13.6u to win 3u. So if Hughes wins, it will be 19.6u to win 11.75u
Edgar by decision .5u to win 5.5u
Edgar/Penn goes the distance 1u to win 2.5u
Edgar/Penn over 3.5 rds. 1u to win 1u
Dos Anjos 1u to win 1.5u
Dos Anjos by decision .25u to win 1u
Grove .5u to win .72u
Veach 2u to win 1u
Story 1.9u to win 1u
Al Turk .38u to win 1u
I have no idea about the Al Turk/Madsen fight, I just Know Madsen should not be that much of a favorite.

Silva quickest TKO/KO of the night .2u to win 1u

[Thewiseman]

Re: UFC 112

Does anyone else here like the Penn/Edgar to go over 3.5 rounds?

[Ipickdeeznuts2win]

Re: UFC 112

Does anyone else here like the Penn/Edgar to go over 3.5 rounds?

Seems like Penn's norm as of late is to basically dominate and finish it in the 4th or 5th. It matters what Edgars game plan is. I think Diego lasted so long because he spent alot of time holding Penn kind of like Kenflo did. It is kind of a toss up to me but I would lean towards over the 3.5 mark.