UFC 115 discussion/odds

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  • MMA_scientist
    Senior Member
    • Nov 2009
    • 9857

    #706
    Re: UFC 115 discussion/odds

    Vitor has been controlled several times by wrestlers BTW

    David Terrell schooled a few wrestlers and also got controlled by Evan Tanner.
    2012: +19.33
    2012 Parlay project: +16.5u

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    • SPX
      Senior Member
      • Aug 2009
      • 23875

      #707
      Re: UFC 115 discussion/odds

      Originally posted by MMA_scientist
      Active World class guys. . .
      Renzo
      Didn't you say that Renzo was NOT world class?
      I heart cock

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      • MMA_scientist
        Senior Member
        • Nov 2009
        • 9857

        #708
        Re: UFC 115 discussion/odds

        ^^ I did, but then Luke pointed out that he was an ADCC champ, which I did not know. I always though of him as the "MMA Gracie"
        2012: +19.33
        2012 Parlay project: +16.5u

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        • Svino
          Senior Member
          • Mar 2010
          • 3873

          #709
          Re: UFC 115 discussion/odds

          Originally posted by MMA_scientist
          Originally posted by Svino
          As I see the BJJ / Wrestling debate:

          1) It happens all the time that a better wrestler controls and beats up a better BJJ guy on the ground.

          2) It's also pretty clear that if that gap in submission skill is big enough, wrestler-dude might be looking at a pretty quick sub, making going to the ground at all a bad idea.

          3) The catch then is figure out how big a gap is too big.
          I think this is the common conception... but still 10 minds have only come up with 2 fights from the 90's where world class grapplers were beaten by wrestlers. Sak beat Renzo and Royler. If it is as common as you say, I would love to hear some examples.
          What I said was common (and I do mean common) was for a wrestler to control and beat up a better BJJ guy, not necessarily a "world class" one. Mo and Rashad might not be able to control Braulio or Roger, but they did fine with Silva and Mousasi.

          I am not being a wise ass... I genuinely cannot think of any examples. Hughes/Serra was the best example I could come up with.
          I agree with most of what you're saying, I just think you're drawing a pretty small circle. I don't know who the "hundreds of others" would be in your list, but much of the list you gave is composed of heavyweights (who apparently don't count) and guys who barely stuck their toe into MMA. Of the guys that remain, many are so weak in the standup that a wrestler has no reason to even try the ground game and just sprawls and brawls them to death. Vitor is an exception, but he actually has had some problems with wrestlers on the ground. You've got fights like Okami - Lister, where Okami preferred to stand up, but he wasn't exactly sweating bullets on the mat either.

          I think we do have a difference when it comes to how much respect we accord pure BJJ credentials if they aren't quickly validated in MMA performance. I'm far from convinced that Gonzaga and Werdum are more dangerous on the ground than Mir and Big Nog. I love Vitor, but I have to admit that he has never looked like a high-level submission threat in MMA. Galvao deserved to win his last fight, but compared to a "random" black belt, he didn't look super-impressive, and I wouldn't be shocked if, Hughes, GSP, or even Koscheck could beat him up on the ground. Of course, they would likely just take the safe route and stay standing, so we'd never find out.

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          • MMA_scientist
            Senior Member
            • Nov 2009
            • 9857

            #710
            Re: UFC 115 discussion/odds

            Originally posted by Svino
            I love Vitor, but I have to admit that he has never looked like a high-level submission threat in MMA. Galvao deserved to win his last fight, but compared to a "random" black belt, he didn't look super-impressive, and I wouldn't be shocked if, Hughes, GSP, or even Koscheck could beat him up on the ground. Of course, they would likely just take the safe route and stay standing, so we'd never find out.
            I agree that it is "common" to see a guy with more bjj get beat by a wrestler. But then again, you are generally talking about a high level wrestler/athlete against a "random" bjj fighter. If you think about something like Warren vs. the Random brown belt he fought a few months ago... Warren won. He was in pretty deep trouble a couple times, but he controlled the fight on the ground and basically nullified the guys offense. But you are are comparing one of the very best wrestlers in the world to a guy who is probably slightly more experienced and athletic than I am.

            So I think if you look at your "average" wrestler vs. your average bjj guy, it would play out the same. Basically equivalent training time and athleticism, I favor bjj a lot.

            The reason I chose world class guys, is because those are the kind of wrestlers you see in mma. You don't see a lot of high school wrestlers dominating mma. You see collegiate champions and olympians.

            As for Galvao versus a wrestler, he fought Jason High on the ground for a round... High narrowly avoided the submission, but was schooled pretty hard. He (wrongly) lost a split decision, but he was not even close to being nullified by a D1 wrestler on the ground.
            2012: +19.33
            2012 Parlay project: +16.5u

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            • MMA_scientist
              Senior Member
              • Nov 2009
              • 9857

              #711
              Re: UFC 115 discussion/odds

              Oh and as to Vitor, I don't really consider him world class. But he did get 3rd in Absolutes ADCC in 2000. He didn't even place in his own weightclass though.

              Personally, I think he just got a lucky draw, fighting other points grapplers. He went 3-1 and won all his matches on points.

              So yeah, I don't really consider him a world class grappler. He certainly wouldn't do well in today's ADCC. He wouldn't even win the qualifiers IMO. But he got an invite and won some matches... so I was just trying to cast a wider net.

              It doesn't matter, really.
              2012: +19.33
              2012 Parlay project: +16.5u

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              • sbjj
                Senior Member
                • May 2010
                • 1418

                #712
                Re: UFC 115 discussion/odds

                You have to keep in mind that being a world class wrestler also means you have the ability to dictate where the fight goes in most instances. That is why you see some Very good grapplers lose stand up wise to wrestlers.

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                • Luke
                  10 year vet
                  • Oct 2006
                  • 30060

                  #713
                  Re: UFC 115 discussion/odds

                  Originally posted by MMA_scientist

                  To be fair, wrestling is also different at HW. It is like watching a different sport. Anyone that has ever wrestled or done bjj can tell you that it is different for the big boys. I think it is a combination of weight to strenght ratio and the huge weightclass. All I know is that in wrestling, the HWs pummel a lot more and they rarely shoot. They even have modified HW takedowns. Instead of the ankle pick, you do the knee pick. You do a "fatboy double leg" by not shooting all the way to a knee. Basically, once you get underneath, you are screwed.

                  Its the same way in bjj. Whoever gets the takedow usually wins. HW's can't triangle each other, because the legar aren't as long when compared to the girth (of the leg and the other guy's back). It is just a lot different, and you don't see very many submissions from the HW's. It's a lot harder to sweep a 300 pounder too. Basically, you can't get them off of you. So at heavyweight, the takedown means a lot more. In submission grappling, you can guard pull and no points are scored.

                  Since I know that Brock could not pass Werdum's guard, I am almost 100% positive that Werdum would beat him on advantages or evetually sweep him. In MMA, Brock would plant him on his back and probably drop short punches and elbows until the clock wound down and most likely beat him.

                  So I do think HW wrestlers can control HW bjj guys...

                  honestly I was just giving you shit MMAscientist until you gave me a better answer than BJJ guys are just better. I have no horse in the race since I dont do BJJ and dont wrestle so really I dont care. I like that you gave a good answer finally ,nice job man
                  2015 MMA BETTING CHAMP


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                  • MMA_scientist
                    Senior Member
                    • Nov 2009
                    • 9857

                    #714
                    Re: UFC 115 discussion/odds

                    Originally posted by Luke
                    honestly I was just giving you shit MMAscientist until you gave me a better answer than BJJ guys are just better. I have no horse in the race since I dont do BJJ and dont wrestle so really I dont care. I like that you gave a good answer finally ,nice job man

                    YES!

                    I finally have your approval. Thank god.



                    Also, you owe me a DVD of American Ninja 2.
                    2012: +19.33
                    2012 Parlay project: +16.5u

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                    • zY|
                      Senior Member
                      • Sep 2009
                      • 8385

                      #715
                      Re: UFC 115 discussion/odds

                      I think 'BJJ_scientist' would be more accurate.
                      Triple-six killers in this motherfucker runnin shit

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