Strikceforce CBS April 17th fights /discussion

[Ludo]

Re: Strikceforce CBS April 17th fights /discussion

Very. Once I can get to the lines(since I don't have a bookmaker account), I'll be on Aoki.

[High5]

Re: Strikceforce CBS April 17th fights /discussion

So far I've got

Hendo -355 5u
Mousasi -240 3u
Aoki +115 2u

Glad I have an account with BM.

[Luke]

Re: Strikceforce CBS April 17th fights /discussion

Matchbook has Henderson up at -300 with over 5000 avaiable to bet I just took Henderson -300 for 2 units

6 units to win 2

[Svino]

Re: Strikceforce CBS April 17th fights /discussion

I am surprised that Aoki isn't favored, but I can't say right now that I feel the odds are wrong either.

In terms of both style and overall skill, I like Hendo over Shields. Shields might have a cardio advantage that could come into play if the fight goes to the 4th and 5th rounds.

[Ludo]

Re: Strikceforce CBS April 17th fights /discussion

Hendo had no problem going 5 rounds with Rampage, I don't think Cardio will be a huge factor for Shields, especially when the grappling advantage on the whole goes to Hendo. His clinch is worlds better than Shields', his top game could neutralize Shields on the ground if he can manage to get there. He also has the size and striking advantage by far. Hendo has a small chance of losing this fight, but it's nothing we haven't seen him handle before.

[MMA_scientist]

Re: Strikceforce CBS April 17th fights /discussion

^^ I disagree. Hendo gassed in that fight. He won the first round, and then gassed. He was on bottom of half guard for much of the fight. If he gasses like that against Shields, I think he will get beat.

I don't like any of these lines.

Hendo should win by KO, but I am not taking him @ -400.
Mousasi/Lawal cannot be predicted by anyone with any accuracy.
I mildly like Melendez, but was hoping to get him as a dog. I might make a small play on Gil.

[poopoo333]

Re: Strikceforce CBS April 17th fights /discussion

This card sucks for betting. I will probably stay away....but what fun is that?

[Mr. IWS]

Re: Strikceforce CBS April 17th fights /discussion

Ill be on Hendo, Mo, and Gil.

[zY|]

Re: Strikceforce CBS April 17th fights /discussion

Don't like any of these. Hendo has been taken down by worse wrestlers.

[MMA_scientist]

Re: Strikceforce CBS April 17th fights /discussion

Don't like any of these. Hendo has been taken down by worse wrestlers.

Agreed. I think there might be some value to Shields. Hendo is getting older too... When there is such an obvious gameplan, it rarely plays out the way we think it will. That said, even if Shields gets him down, it will probably take a few rounds to do anything to Hendo. He is not a submission machine, more of a top control type.

[SPX]

Re: Strikceforce CBS April 17th fights /discussion

I'm with Luke and LudoCain: Surprised Aoki is the dog. I personally am a big Gil fan and was hoping to bet him in this fight, but I won't do it with him as the favorite. As it is, 1u on Aoki at +130.

Also got 3u on Mousasi at -275. I could be wrong, but I think he will win this fight as decisively as he's won any other against tough competition. My only real concern is that Mo could outwrestle Mousasi, but hopefully this one stays standing.

[zY|]

Re: Strikceforce CBS April 17th fights /discussion

^^i don't expect it to stay standing. Once Mo gets tagged a few times he'll revert to wrestling.

[SPX]

Re: Strikceforce CBS April 17th fights /discussion

^^i don't expect it to stay standing. Once Mo gets tagged a few times he'll revert to wrestling.

Maybe so. I'm a little nervous about it. I might hedge out of the bet before the fight, but usually once I place a bet I just roll with it for better or worse.

[MMA_scientist]

Re: Strikceforce CBS April 17th fights /discussion

IMO, there is no real way to know what Mo brings to the table. Mousasi should win the striking, but it is Mo's submission defense and gas tank that will make the difference in this fight. Mousasi has submitted some tough guys... I would THINK Mousasi would win anywhere the fight happens. But I am not willing to bet it, having never seen Mo fight a real threat.

[SPX]

Re: Strikceforce CBS April 17th fights /discussion

IMO, there is no real way to know what Mo brings to the table. Mousasi should win the striking, but it is Mo's submission defense and gas tank that will make the difference in this fight. Mousasi has submitted some tough guys... I would THINK Mousasi would win anywhere the fight happens. But I am not willing to bet it, having never seen Mo fight a real threat.

I agree that there are a lot of questions.

Still, Mousasi has fought in the US and Japan, he's the champion, he's 28-2-1 with wins over Kang, Manhoef and Jacare, and . . . he's fighting a guy with 6 fights whose biggest win is Mike Whitehead.