UFC 116 discussion/matchups

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  • MMA_scientist
    Senior Member
    • Nov 2009
    • 9857

    #676
    Re: UFC 116 discussion/matchups

    +1.06u

    I am redefining my strategy. Going back to my old "no gambling" ways... only betting + fighters where I feel they will actually win, and also no bets over -250.

    I feel like I have my mojo back from the extended break-even streak I have been on. I just need to be more selct about my bets.


    Cain will beat Brock.

    Fedor would wreck Brock in the first 20 seconds.
    2012: +19.33
    2012 Parlay project: +16.5u

    Comment

    • Luke
      10 year vet
      • Oct 2006
      • 30060

      #677
      Re: UFC 116 discussion/matchups

      I missed every fight except for Romero -Seth and Lesnar-Carwin .Were the Bonnar-Soszynski and Leben-Akiyama fights that good?

      Any other fights that were really good also?
      2015 MMA BETTING CHAMP


      Comment

      • MMA_scientist
        Senior Member
        • Nov 2009
        • 9857

        #678
        Re: UFC 116 discussion/matchups

        Originally posted by Luke
        Lesnar earned the "Submission of the Night" bonus
        Each got 75k
        gay. Lytles submission > Lesnar's by far.

        Give it the guy that gets $400k... and has a run of the mill sub... wrong.
        2012: +19.33
        2012 Parlay project: +16.5u

        Comment

        • MMA_scientist
          Senior Member
          • Nov 2009
          • 9857

          #679
          Re: UFC 116 discussion/matchups

          Originally posted by Luke
          I missed every fight except for Romero -Seth and Lesnar-Carwin was the Bonnar-Soszynski and Leben-Akiyama fights that good?

          Any other fights that were really good also?
          The Leben fight was good. The Bonnar fight was not my cup of tea. IMO the FOTN was Lytle/Brown.
          2012: +19.33
          2012 Parlay project: +16.5u

          Comment

          • Svino
            Senior Member
            • Mar 2010
            • 3873

            #680
            Re: UFC 116 discussion/matchups

            My conclusions, after a 2nd viewing:

            1) Carwin with energy > Lesnar.

            2) Carwin gasses sooner, especially when he wastes more energy than he should.

            Comment

            • Svino
              Senior Member
              • Mar 2010
              • 3873

              #681
              Re: UFC 116 discussion/matchups

              I thought Leben's sub deserved SotN, because it was not only a come-from-behind sub, but was landed on a good judoka.

              Comment

              • MMA_scientist
                Senior Member
                • Nov 2009
                • 9857

                #682
                Re: UFC 116 discussion/matchups

                Originally posted by Svino
                My conclusions, after a 2nd viewing:

                1) Carwin with energy > Lesnar.

                2) Carwin gasses sooner, especially when he wastes more energy than he should.
                clearly Carwin lost because he blew his wad. He was totally gassed. I would take Carwin in a rematch at even odds.

                I think Cain will beat Brock and I will bet on it @ + odds
                2012: +19.33
                2012 Parlay project: +16.5u

                Comment

                • Luke
                  10 year vet
                  • Oct 2006
                  • 30060

                  #683
                  Re: UFC 116 discussion/matchups

                  Originally posted by MMA_scientist
                  +1.06u

                  I am redefining my strategy. Going back to my old "no gambling" ways... only betting + fighters where I feel they will actually win, and also no bets over -250.

                  I feel like I have my mojo back from the extended break-even streak I have been on. I just need to be more selct about my bets.


                  Cain will beat Brock.

                  Fedor would wreck Brock in the first 20 seconds.

                  Cain's like 6'0" and 240 pounds he's going to look like a midget beside Lesnar
                  2015 MMA BETTING CHAMP


                  Comment

                  • Svino
                    Senior Member
                    • Mar 2010
                    • 3873

                    #684
                    Re: UFC 116 discussion/matchups

                    I really doubt Brock outwrestles Cain consistently. Brock would probably have to win on his feet, and I'm not sure he can do that either.

                    Comment

                    • AC88
                      Senior Member
                      • Mar 2010
                      • 463

                      #685
                      Re: UFC 116 discussion/matchups

                      Well

                      1) Streams are gay as fuck. I was so distraught with all the streams I was watching I decided to go play basketball with some friends for almost 2 hours instead.

                      2) Horrible night. Lost way too much. Requested a payout before I blow anymore money trying to pick upsets.

                      3) I cannot believe that on a countdown show from the past, Carwin's trainers said that the 5th round was his best round. A lightweight with a full gas tank would have finished him in that 2nd round.

                      Comment

                      • edman5555
                        Senior Member
                        • Apr 2010
                        • 6628

                        #686
                        Re: UFC 116 discussion/matchups

                        How do you see Cain beating Brock?
                        1 unit = 300 $

                        Comment

                        • AC88
                          Senior Member
                          • Mar 2010
                          • 463

                          #687
                          Re: UFC 116 discussion/matchups

                          Originally posted by edman5555
                          How do you see Cain beating Brock?
                          Well what do you think would happen in Cain vs Brock?

                          Comment

                          • sbjj
                            Senior Member
                            • May 2010
                            • 1418

                            #688
                            Re: UFC 116 discussion/matchups

                            4 for 4 ,+ 6 units

                            The fights were awesome. Thank you Leben, Grove, and Madsen.

                            Comment

                            • AC88
                              Senior Member
                              • Mar 2010
                              • 463

                              #689
                              Re: UFC 116 discussion/matchups

                              Originally posted by sbjj
                              4 for 4 ,+ 6 units

                              The fights were awesome. Thank you Leben, Grove, and Madsen.
                              You really seem to be good at calling fights. Can you break down how you selected those 3?

                              Comment

                              • sbjj
                                Senior Member
                                • May 2010
                                • 1418

                                #690
                                Re: UFC 116 discussion/matchups

                                I thought Grove should have been favored from the start. leben was sort of a value play, but I thought the lay off would effect Sexy, and it did(I think he wins if he does not gas), but then again, he seemed to gas against belcher. Madsen should have been an even bigger bet after i finally watched a few of Karlos's fights. the guy is as crude as shit.

                                As for picking fights right, keep in mind that I recently lost 9 units on Paulo. I would have bet even more tonight, but that bet is still in my mind. I was just so damn wrong on that fight. it played out so differently than I imagined in my head.

                                Comment

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