WEC 48

[Ludo]

Re: WEC 48

It's cool, could be big time money in this one.

[SPX]

Re: WEC 48

Wow, lines are up indeed!

I went ahead and dropped .5u on Faber at +205 and 1.01u on Cerrone at -105.

What's everyone thinking on the Cerrone fight? I think he takes it as long as he doesn't let Bendo outwrestle him again.

[zY|]

Re: WEC 48

What's everyone thinking on the Cerrone fight? I think he takes it as long as he doesn't let Bendo outwrestle him again.

LOL well yeah. That's a pretty big if though right? I'm leaning towards Cerrone as well though.

I'm on Aldo.

[SPX]

Re: WEC 48

LOL well yeah. That's a pretty big if though right? I'm leaning towards Cerrone as well though.

I'm on Aldo.

Well the thing is that Bendo was only able to do that in the first couple of rounds, then Cerrone started to take control of the fight. Will we see a replay of that? Maybe. I think one thing is probably for sure though is that Cerrone's not going to get let Bendo sub him like Varner did.

[Luke]

Re: WEC 48

Wow, lines are up indeed!

I went ahead and dropped .5u on Faber at +205 and 1.01u on Cerrone at -105.

What's everyone thinking on the Cerrone fight? I think he takes it as long as he doesn't let Bendo outwrestle him again.

Do you actually think Faber is going to win or is this a man crush bet?

[SPX]

Re: WEC 48

Do you actually think Faber is going to win or is this a man crush bet?

I'd say a combo man-crush bet and value bet. Yes, I'm a fan, but I also think that Aldo's price is way high considering all the variables, so it's a Faber or nothing situation. At +205, I don't mind risking half a unit.

I think Faber has tools to win and matches up better than Brown did stylistically.

[Luke]

Re: WEC 48

I agree the line is too high but I think Aldo wins.I was really hoping for -150,its approaching -260 now and at that high I wont be betting it I dont think

[zY|]

Re: WEC 48

LOL well yeah. That's a pretty big if though right? I'm leaning towards Cerrone as well though.

I'm on Aldo.

Well the thing is that Bendo was only able to do that in the first couple of rounds, then Cerrone started to take control of the fight. Will we see a replay of that? Maybe. I think one thing is probably for sure though is that Cerrone's not going to get let Bendo sub him like Varner did.

My problem is Cerrone fights with no sense of urgency. He goes and dicks around out there forever. Like in his fight with 9mm he damn near lost the fight because he had 2 poins deducted and was just out there fucking off. I'm not convinced that when he turns it on he won't already be 2 rounds down.

That said, he's got the tools to win, and he arguably DID win the first fight imo. I may take him for a little.

[zY|]

Re: WEC 48

Do you actually think Faber is going to win or is this a man crush bet?

I'd say a combo man-crush bet and value bet. Yes, I'm a fan, but I also think that Aldo's price is way high considering all the variables, so it's a Faber or nothing situation. At +205, I don't mind risking half a unit.

I think Faber has tools to win and matches up better than Brown did stylistically.

How can you see him winning?

[SPX]

Re: WEC 48

How can you see him winning?

Either somehow stay a step ahead of Aldo and win a decision or possibly sub him. I know Aldo supposedly has this awesome ground game, but who expected Faber to sub Assuncao? I'm not at all sure about any of this . . . I'm just guessing.

By the way, for what it's worth, Pulver gave me the impression today that he thinks Aldo will win. I asked him if that was his prediction and he said "I ain't predicting shit" but that Faber usually wins by playing the speed game and that's not going to work against Aldo.

[Luke]

Re: WEC 48

Mike Browns odds up -345

[poopoo333]

Re: WEC 48

Once the lines come up on 5dimes, I will be taking Faber for 0.5 unit. Cerrone/Henderson is WAY too much of a toss up. I don't think Henderson is good as everybody thinks he is though.

[Luke]

Re: WEC 48

Aldo up to -300 on bookmaker .This is just stupid now.No way I'm betting this

[Thewiseman]

Re: WEC 48

Mike Brown is -700. I missed it. May have jumped the gun on Aldo. Bet 9.6u to win 3u.

[Ludo]

Re: WEC 48

Cerrone definitely has a chance this time around. He has to try and stay off his back a little more and he can win this fight.