UFC 118 Penn-Edgar 2 Toney-Couture

[Ludo]

Re: UFC 118 Penn-Edgar 2 Toney-Couture

Final plays:

1u to win 1.725u on Miranda
1.45u to win 1u on Florian
2u to win 1u on Diaz
2.5u to win 2.65u on Lentz
.5u to win 1.1u on Salter

[poopoo333]

Re: UFC 118 Penn-Edgar 2 Toney-Couture










Mike Pierce looks fat for somebody that just made a weight cut to 170.

[poopoo333]

Re: UFC 118 Penn-Edgar 2 Toney-Couture

You can get Randy Couture wins in round 1 @-175.

[Svino]

Re: UFC 118 Penn-Edgar 2 Toney-Couture

OK, UFC 118 plays:

Couture: 3U
Winner: 3U
Maynard: 2.5U
Miranda: 2U
Salter: 2U

(And if I had to pick a side of the line on other fights, I'd probably go with Penn, Davis, Reudiger, Alves.)

[zY|]

Re: UFC 118 Penn-Edgar 2 Toney-Couture

What do you guys think about Penn wins inside distance at +125?

I think he'll be looking to finish, and if goes to the cards it could be another tossup.

[MMA_scientist]

Re: UFC 118 Penn-Edgar 2 Toney-Couture

^^ I really think Penn will finish, but I don't like that bet.

I pit Penn at about 60% and then probably a 70% he finishes if he wins. So that is an overall 42% he finishes. So I would need a little better line.

[MMA_scientist]

Re: UFC 118 Penn-Edgar 2 Toney-Couture

OK, UFC 118 plays:

Couture: 3U
Winner: 3U
Maynard: 2.5U
Miranda: 2U
Salter: 2U

(And if I had to pick a side of the line on other fights, I'd probably go with Penn, Davis, Reudiger, Alves.)

Thanks... it's about time you posted your plays for all the world to see. How do you define your unit? What about Osipszac/Soto?

[Mr. IWS]

Re: UFC 118 Penn-Edgar 2 Toney-Couture

I'm tempted to bet the house on Couture now. It's pretty clear Toney just talked himself into a payday and never had any intentions whatsoever of taking this the least bit seriously. He's going to get taken down and tap out at the least bit of trouble. He's already won all he cares about.

Feeling you on that.

Im locked in 1 unit each, Randy and Penn.

[MMA_scientist]

Re: UFC 118 Penn-Edgar 2 Toney-Couture

If I didn't already have almost 9u on Randy for the parlay, I would be tempted. As it is, I am not very nervous. I just wish I would have done a round 1 prop.

I just hope Randy doesn't over think it. He needs to just charge out and shoot a double. He is not fighting a trained grappler, he doesn't need to set it up. Just shoot.

[Mr. IWS]

Re: UFC 118 Penn-Edgar 2 Toney-Couture

Thanks... it's about time you posted your plays for all the world to see. How do you define your unit? What about Osipszac/Soto?

IIRC, he won like 20+ units last UFC.

[Mr. IWS]

Re: UFC 118 Penn-Edgar 2 Toney-Couture

I just hope Randy doesn't over think it. He needs to just charge out and shoot a double. He is not fighting a trained grappler, he doesn't need to set it up. Just shoot.

I think if there is a guy that we can trust to execute the obvious path of victory, its gotta be Randy right? We hope anyway.

[MMA_scientist]

Re: UFC 118 Penn-Edgar 2 Toney-Couture

I think if there is a guy that we can trust to execute the obvious path of victory, its gotta be Randy right? We hope anyway.

Well, he only wins 1.6 times for every loss. He sometimes has shitty gameplans IMO. But then again, he has been fighting really good guys that are a lot harder to gameplan than Toney.

[MMA_scientist]

Re: UFC 118 Penn-Edgar 2 Toney-Couture

Just read the "pro's pick" on Toney/Couture. Hilarious.

This fight is over in under 2 minutes.

[MMA_scientist]

Re: UFC 118 Penn-Edgar 2 Toney-Couture

FTR:

Maia is going to win by submission in the 2nd. The more I think about this fight, the less I think Miranda has for Maia.

[edman5555]

Re: UFC 118 Penn-Edgar 2 Toney-Couture

John Salter is now a bjj brown belt and he beat Roan carniero in a grappling match. Apparently that is a big deal, he is a BB pan american champ. I'm feeling much more confident about this guy.