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Re: Bellator 16 odds
Jared Hess isn't that the guy who directed Napoleon Dynamite?Triple-six killers in this motherfucker runnin shit -
Re: Bellator 16 odds
Indeed. Yes it is.Originally posted by IWS Zak
The fight I was wanting to bet wasd Baker, but he came in massively favored, I didn't think he would get that much love.
I don't know, I am going to have to research now. I looked at Hess a little. His only loss is to the Bellator champ, Hector Lombard... judo stud. Hess was a DI AA wrestler at Central Oklahoma. McGivern was the IFL champ for a while... I need to look at McGivern a little.2012: +19.33
2012 Parlay project: +16.5uComment
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Re: Bellator 16 odds
no doubt. I will be on Conrad if he is a manageable fav. Next week's card is pretty good.Originally posted by IWS Zak
I have looked at these fights:
I have ruled out Majors/Schmlenko too. As much as it pains me to say it, I think Major has value. Schmlenk is a muy thai striker, he never initiates a clinch though. Major is a kickboxer with no power. But he does have reach and speed. I think there is a good chance he can outpoint Schmelnko.
Hess/McGivern could be close as well. McGivern has lost to guys that can out position him. Hess was an AA at central OK, but McGivern wrestled at Iowa and has faced much better competition to this point, and has better wins. One thing about this fight, McGivern has been out over 2 years, and has a real life and job outside fo MMA. McGivern was the IFL champ for a minute though, so he does have his moments.
Schambari/Zachrich is possible. Schambari is a grappler, with athleticism. His only loss is to Bryan Baker, who is a beast, and it was a split decision. Zachrich was on TUF a while back. He is also 9-1, but here's a little nugget: Of his 10 fights, only 2 of his opponents have winning records (with the majority being 0-2 or 1-2). The winning records are 7-5 and 6-5 with one being the guy that beat him. Spoon fed can smasher. That said, Zachrich is pretty accomplished grappler in his own right, and trains with Gurgel and Franklin. This is going to be a grapplefest. I think Zacrich is probably a beter pure grappler, but I doubt he can handle the athleticism of Schambari.2012: +19.33
2012 Parlay project: +16.5uComment
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Re: Bellator 16 odds
Originally posted by IWS Zak
I dont know shit about ANY of these guys2015 MMA BETTING CHAMP
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Re: Bellator 16 odds
I think the dogs all have value, but not convinced enough to bet any of them. McGivern/Hess will be competive (if the same McGivern from 2 years ago shows up). Schmelenko/Major is a kickboxing match, I really don't bet on straight striking matches. I like Shambari the best of anyone, but that is reflected in the line. I don't know that I like him that much.
It is looking like I am going to go Schambari or sit out. Probably sit out.2012: +19.33
2012 Parlay project: +16.5uComment
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Re: Bellator 16 odds
Decided to go with the dogs for value and fun.
.45u on Major @ +222
.35u on McGivern @ +280
.26 on Zachrich @ +375
I think there is a pretty good shot one of these guys comes through. It is not going to be a big night for me, win or lose, but it gives me something to do, and I do think I will win.2012: +19.33
2012 Parlay project: +16.5uComment
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Re: Bellator 16 odds
Wow. We think alike again the 2nd week again in the row. I was going to put a fractional amount on every single underdog tonight...I haven't done it yet though. The only one I really think will pull through is Major though.Originally posted by MMA_scientistComment
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Re: Bellator 16 odds
0.5u on Major @+225
That is all.Comment
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Re: Bellator 16 odds
^^^
yeah, I don't really feel good about it... It doesn't really follow my philosophy either. I do not feel that any of the dogs are 50% to win. I am just sort of doing it for fun. I agree that Major has the best chance, though it is far from a certainty. I wouldn't be surprised at all if McGivern won either... but its a gamble because he has not fought in over 2 years. I wouldn't be suprised if he just got beat down either. Basically, I have no idea what will happen in any of these fights. Nor would I normally care, which is why I bet on them. Now I care and can watch it.2012: +19.33
2012 Parlay project: +16.5uComment
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Re: Bellator 16 odds
.5u on Major to win 1.1u2013: +8.24u(increased unit size on 5/19)
Favorites: 20-6 + 6.13u
Underdogs: 10-19 -2.51u
Ludo's Locks Parlay Project: +1.4u
2012: +20.311uComment
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Re: Bellator 16 odds
Took all the dogs,
Mcgivern .17u to win .5u
Major .22u to win .5u
Zachrich .13u to win .5u
Loeffler .08u to win .5uComment
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