Shine Fights 3

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  • MMA_scientist
    Senior Member
    • Nov 2009
    • 9857

    #1

    Shine Fights 3

    May 15, 2010

    Din Thomas vs. Ricardo Mayorga
    Murilo “Ninja” Rua vs. Travis Galbraith
    Nick Thompson vs. Eduardo Pamplona
    Braulio Estima vs. Rick Hawn
    Alexandre Ferreira vs. Jamal Patterson
    Luiz Azeredo vs. Charles “Krazy Horse” Bennett
    Luciano Azevedo vs. Zac George

    I assume we will get lines on Thomas/Mayorga, Ninja/Galbraith, Thompson/Pamplona, and Braulio/Hawn

    I am really looking forward to the debut of Braulio, but I probably won't bet it because Hawn is a beast. I think Din will win easily. Haven't looked at the others.

    Thoughts?
    2012: +19.33
    2012 Parlay project: +16.5u
  • Luke
    10 year vet
    • Oct 2006
    • 30060

    #2
    Re: Shine Fights 3

    Din Thomas should have no problem winning .Last I seen Mayorga was way out of shape for this fight.
    2015 MMA BETTING CHAMP


    Comment

    • Mr. IWS
      215 Hustler
      • Sep 2006
      • 99891

      #3
      Re: Shine Fights 3

      Mayorga probably wont even be on weight for this one.
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      Comment

      • Luke
        10 year vet
        • Oct 2006
        • 30060

        #4
        Re: Shine Fights 3

        Originally posted by IWS Zak
        Mayorga probably wont even be on weight for this one.

        What weight they fighting at?
        2015 MMA BETTING CHAMP


        Comment

        • poopoo333
          MMA *********
          • Jan 2010
          • 18302

          #5
          Re: Shine Fights 3

          Originally posted by Luke
          Originally posted by IWS Zak
          Mayorga probably wont even be on weight for this one.

          What weight they fighting at?
          I think 160.

          Comment

          • Luke
            10 year vet
            • Oct 2006
            • 30060

            #6
            Re: Shine Fights 3

            Originally posted by poopoo333
            Originally posted by Luke
            Originally posted by IWS Zak
            Mayorga probably wont even be on weight for this one.

            What weight they fighting at?
            I think 160.


            Mayorga was way big than that a month ago
            2015 MMA BETTING CHAMP


            Comment

            • poopoo333
              MMA *********
              • Jan 2010
              • 18302

              #7
              Re: Shine Fights 3

              Comment

              • Luke
                10 year vet
                • Oct 2006
                • 30060

                #8
                Re: Shine Fights 3

                Originally posted by poopoo333

                thanks Poopoo .About what I figured Din Thomas would be.Too high for me though
                2015 MMA BETTING CHAMP


                Comment

                • poopoo333
                  MMA *********
                  • Jan 2010
                  • 18302

                  #9
                  Re: Shine Fights 3

                  I am thinking about taking a "bet the dogs" strategy for this card. Except for Mayorga. He will lose.

                  Comment

                  • MMA_scientist
                    Senior Member
                    • Nov 2009
                    • 9857

                    #10
                    Re: Shine Fights 3

                    The 3 competitive fights on this card could all go to the dogs.

                    I wanted to bet on Braulio, but Hawn is a beast. He could keep it standing and win for sure. Major fan of Braulio, I have had the pleasure of getting triangled by him. But Hawn has value. A lot of bjj studs lose their first match. Jacare lost his, Marcelo. Hawn is a legit threat and could end up being a force in his own right. He is an olympic judoka and he has power in his hands. Of course Braulio is the the reigning absolute ADCC champion. So he is the best no-gi grappler in the world. But his hands probably suck. And he is not a strong guy. He wins with technique and timing. I can't imagine he is going to be able to sling Hawn to the mat if Hawn doesn't go there on his own. Hawn has value for sure (as much as it hurts to say it, I think Braulio bit off too much in his fist fight. Take a warm up fight. Geez.)

                    Patterson can beat Ferreira by doing the same thing. They are both grapplers, Ferreira being better. But Patterson can also stand. Patterson was an AA high school wrestler, so I think he should be able to keep it upright. He has value.

                    Thompson should win, but Pamplona is no slouch. Goat has a tendency to stand when he shouldn't. He has some very impressive wins (Alvarez, Neer) but also soe bad losses. He has 50 fights. I think Goat will win a top control special. But Pamplona could totally KO him.

                    The otehr fights are blowouts, and rightfully so.
                    2012: +19.33
                    2012 Parlay project: +16.5u

                    Comment

                    • poopoo333
                      MMA *********
                      • Jan 2010
                      • 18302

                      #11
                      Re: Shine Fights 3

                      0.25u on every underdog Scientist just mentioned.

                      Comment

                      • MMA_scientist
                        Senior Member
                        • Nov 2009
                        • 9857

                        #12
                        Re: Shine Fights 3

                        Good luck on everything but Hawn. If he tries to follow Braulio to the ground, though to finish him off, he will regret it. Braulio has a style that you can't ground and pound him either, he is a master of controlling posture and then modifying his subs to get them while the guy is broken down. Hawn will have to do all the work on his feet.

                        If he is smart, he can win. But if he tries to prove something by grappling, he will regret it. Braulio is good everywhere, but his guard is just wrong.
                        2012: +19.33
                        2012 Parlay project: +16.5u

                        Comment

                        • Ludo
                          Senior Member
                          • Jan 2010
                          • 4931

                          #13
                          Re: Shine Fights 3

                          .5u to win 2u on Krazy Horse.
                          2013: +8.24u(increased unit size on 5/19)
                          Favorites: 20-6 + 6.13u
                          Underdogs: 10-19 -2.51u
                          Ludo's Locks Parlay Project: +1.4u

                          2012: +20.311u

                          Comment

                          • poopoo333
                            MMA *********
                            • Jan 2010
                            • 18302

                            #14
                            Re: Shine Fights 3

                            Thomas/Mayorga fight is off.

                            Comment

                            • zY|
                              Senior Member
                              • Sep 2009
                              • 8385

                              #15
                              Re: Shine Fights 3

                              Did Don King pay him off?
                              Triple-six killers in this motherfucker runnin shit

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