Boxing play question (Luke, here is your chance)

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  • Luke
    10 year vet
    • Oct 2006
    • 30060

    #31
    Re: Boxing play question (Luke, here is your chance)

    Originally posted by BillyPilgrim
    Luke,

    Here is what my resident boxing guys says:

    "Well if your interested the other bet i am laying on the weekend is Kevin Mitchell vs Katsidis. I did not recommend this originally as I gave Mitchell about 65 % chance of winning, he has continually got better and looks to have matured, but it is a close fight. I also felt i may have a slight personal attachment to this fight
    Katsidis burst onto the scene when he defeated Graham Earl, somebody whom originated from my boxing club. You can see it on Youtube, other then the second round Graham received a pretty bad beat down. Since then Katsidis as shown himself to be a very tough brawler who does not have one punch ko power, but more of a means of physically overpowering and wearing down opponents. He has also demonstrated that he can lose fights due to his sheer love of brawling. He is also a bleeder it is very rare this boy leaves the ring without a cut.
    With Mitchell he use to enjoy brawling but in his last 2 fights has demonstrated a cool boxing head that he was known for as an amateur and early in his career. He clearly outclassed Khan conquering Prescott over 12 rounds and opted not to trade punches something he would not have done 2 yrs ago. With Khan leaving warren Mitchell is one of Frank Warrens future cash cows. The fight is held at West Ham football ground (Mitchell is a west ham boy) there will be 30,000 Mitchell fans myself included. So if the fight was close on the scorecards Im pretty confident Mitchell walks away with a points win / late stoppage
    Here is a preview of the fight, the writer talks about his vulnerability during the Johanensen fight. The fact is they had a war because Mitchell wanted a war and when he decided that a war was not the best choice he got on his bike and picked his shots Johanensen did not lose to fatigue
    Currently the odds are 1.66 "


    Now. What do you have to say to that fight?

    I don't know a thing about these guys, so I am posting your thought over there too... I am going to tail most likely.

    Sorry I was thinking tomorrow was Saturday since I had the day off today and I was leaving in the morning. I will have time tomorrow to look at this fight for sure.


    As for the Khan fight the odds have went upto -600 so this is 100% a no bet for me . Its takes a 99.9% lock for me to bet odds that high. Now Khan should steamroll Paulie in this fight but I dont lay -600 on just about anything .


    I really think Wlodarczyk at -420 is worth a bet .I want to rewatch there first match one more time to make sure but I think its a good bet.I'll also check on the Mitchell fight tomorrow
    2015 MMA BETTING CHAMP


    Comment

    • Mr. IWS
      215 Hustler
      • Sep 2006
      • 99903

      #32
      Re: Boxing play question (Luke, here is your chance)

      Luke, you still betting Wloddy?
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      Comment

      • Luke
        10 year vet
        • Oct 2006
        • 30060

        #33
        Re: Boxing play question (Luke, here is your chance)

        Originally posted by IWS Zak
        Luke, you still betting Wloddy?

        More than likely .I wanted to rewatch the first fight one more time and see the weigh ins before locking it in. I've just been really busy today. I should have it figured out in the next few hours. I'll post it tonight for sure
        2015 MMA BETTING CHAMP


        Comment

        • Mr. IWS
          215 Hustler
          • Sep 2006
          • 99903

          #34
          Re: Boxing play question (Luke, here is your chance)

          What time you leaving?
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          Comment

          • Luke
            10 year vet
            • Oct 2006
            • 30060

            #35
            Re: Boxing play question (Luke, here is your chance)

            Originally posted by IWS Zak
            What time you leaving?

            plan leaves at 12pm I have to be there at 10am probably leave the house around 8am.I land in Vegas 4:30pm eastern time.

            I think we decided to get the internet this year while we are down there so I be able to post at least a little while I'm down there. I hate paying for the internet though its 15 bucks a day
            2015 MMA BETTING CHAMP


            Comment

            • Mr. IWS
              215 Hustler
              • Sep 2006
              • 99903

              #36
              Re: Boxing play question (Luke, here is your chance)

              Originally posted by Luke

              I think we decided to get the internet this year while we are down there so I be able to post at least a little while I'm down there. I hate paying for the internet though its 15 bucks a day
              Fuck that. do you really want the internet?
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              Comment

              • Luke
                10 year vet
                • Oct 2006
                • 30060

                #37
                Re: Boxing play question (Luke, here is your chance)

                Originally posted by IWS Zak
                Originally posted by Luke

                I think we decided to get the internet this year while we are down there so I be able to post at least a little while I'm down there. I hate paying for the internet though its 15 bucks a day
                Fuck that. do you really want the internet?

                Yeah I really do want the internet I like to keep caught up on everything in here and through out sports .Plus my emails and other things .But 95 bucks for 7 days of internet is fucking crazy. We decided though since our 130 a night room is free we can afford the internet this time.

                I didnt tell you they gave us the 7 days of 130 night hotel for free did I?


                Anyway I'm passing on the W?odarczyk fight . The odds are up to -500 on 5dimes and I cant find the weigh ins.

                I'm going to try to cap the Kevin Mitchell fight later and its only around -150 .
                2015 MMA BETTING CHAMP


                Comment

                • Mr. IWS
                  215 Hustler
                  • Sep 2006
                  • 99903

                  #38
                  Re: Boxing play question (Luke, here is your chance)

                  No play for me then.
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                  Comment

                  • Luke
                    10 year vet
                    • Oct 2006
                    • 30060

                    #39
                    Re: Boxing play question (Luke, here is your chance)

                    Originally posted by BillyPilgrim
                    Luke,

                    Here is what my resident boxing guys says:

                    "Well if your interested the other bet i am laying on the weekend is Kevin Mitchell vs Katsidis. I did not recommend this originally as I gave Mitchell about 65 % chance of winning, he has continually got better and looks to have matured, but it is a close fight. I also felt i may have a slight personal attachment to this fight
                    Katsidis burst onto the scene when he defeated Graham Earl, somebody whom originated from my boxing club. You can see it on Youtube, other then the second round Graham received a pretty bad beat down. Since then Katsidis as shown himself to be a very tough brawler who does not have one punch ko power, but more of a means of physically overpowering and wearing down opponents. He has also demonstrated that he can lose fights due to his sheer love of brawling. He is also a bleeder it is very rare this boy leaves the ring without a cut.
                    With Mitchell he use to enjoy brawling but in his last 2 fights has demonstrated a cool boxing head that he was known for as an amateur and early in his career. He clearly outclassed Khan conquering Prescott over 12 rounds and opted not to trade punches something he would not have done 2 yrs ago. With Khan leaving warren Mitchell is one of Frank Warrens future cash cows. The fight is held at West Ham football ground (Mitchell is a west ham boy) there will be 30,000 Mitchell fans myself included. So if the fight was close on the scorecards Im pretty confident Mitchell walks away with a points win / late stoppage
                    Here is a preview of the fight, the writer talks about his vulnerability during the Johanensen fight. The fact is they had a war because Mitchell wanted a war and when he decided that a war was not the best choice he got on his bike and picked his shots Johanensen did not lose to fatigue
                    Currently the odds are 1.66 "


                    Now. What do you have to say to that fight?

                    I don't know a thing about these guys, so I am posting your thought over there too... I am going to tail most likely.

                    I just got done capping this fight and I agree with most of this .I dont think its going to be as close as this guy does nor do I think Mitchell will stop Kasidis. I think Mitchell wins a clear decision in the fight something like 116-112 or 117-111.This is in the UK every close round will go to Mitchell
                    2015 MMA BETTING CHAMP


                    Comment

                    • MMA_scientist
                      Senior Member
                      • Nov 2009
                      • 9857

                      #40
                      Re: Boxing play question (Luke, here is your chance)

                      Originally posted by Luke

                      I just got done capping this fight and I agree with most of this .I dont think its going to be as close as this guy does nor do I think Mitchell will stop Kasidis. I think Mitchell wins a clear decision in the fight something like 116-112 or 117-111.This is in the UK every close round will go to Mitchell
                      So, are you going to make this play?
                      2012: +19.33
                      2012 Parlay project: +16.5u

                      Comment

                      • MMA_scientist
                        Senior Member
                        • Nov 2009
                        • 9857

                        #41
                        Re: Boxing play question (Luke, here is your chance)

                        Nevermind, saw your thread.
                        2012: +19.33
                        2012 Parlay project: +16.5u

                        Comment

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