Bellator 19

[MMA_scientist]

Joe Soto vs. Diego Saraiva
Dan Hornbuckle vs. Steve Carl
Ben Askren vs. Ryan Thomas

lines will probably be out today.

Askren/Thomas is the only competitive fight. I would love to bet on Soto and Hornbuckle, but they will both be -400 or more. I will take either or both less than -400 though. They are both fighting decent opponents though, so i can't use either one for my year long parlay on favorites.

What do you guys think about Askren/Thomas II? I just rewatched the first fight on youtube. I forgot that Thomas had a deep triangle on Askren. I still feel that Askren will win. As more time passes, the more his control will be a factor.

[Mr. IWS]

Re: Bellator 19

I was with you on Askren the first time, but to be honest, I was not comfortable the weight that fight was going. Askren looks like is he ripe to get subbed, and Im laying off this time. He didnt control Thomas the way I though he would.

[MMA_scientist]

Re: Bellator 19

^^ Yeah, I am not going to bet it unless the line is a lot closer this time.

[MMA_scientist]

Re: Bellator 19



Soto and Hornbuckle cheap.

6u each @ -415 and -435

[SPX]

Re: Bellator 19

Cheap?

[MMA_scientist]

Re: Bellator 19

I thought both would be like -600


There is definite value ot Thomas too. Will probably drop .33 there

[MMA_scientist]

Re: Bellator 19

How is Askren -550? That is just retarded. He was overvalued last time @ -300... I am definately going to drop .25 onThomas @ +400... that is just silly.

[SPX]

Re: Bellator 19

Cheap was your mother on the street corner last night. Not -4XX for an MMA fighter.

[MMA_scientist]

Re: Bellator 19

done. done. And done.

SPX: your mom's an mma fighter.

Value is relative... you know that.

[SPX]

Re: Bellator 19

Yeah, it's hard for me to lay -4XX on anyone and I know it is for you, too.

[MMA_scientist]

Re: Bellator 19

Yeah, it's hard for me to lay -4XX on anyone and I know it is for you, too.

I go to -400 all the time. I don't like going over. But since I am chasing, it seems like a good idea. You should chase your losses too. Its the way to go.

[SPX]

Re: Bellator 19

You should chase your losses too. Its the way to go.

Well that's where the whole 20-unit bankroll thing came from. . .

[Thewiseman]

Re: Bellator 19

Thomas .25u to win 1u

[Ludo]

Re: Bellator 19

.25u on Thomas to win .96u
.25u on Carl to win .9u

[MMA_scientist]

Re: Bellator 19

These lines are a great example of how crazy the betting public is. If I ever start to doubt that I can beat the public, I will look at these lines.

Askren is not the biggest favorite on the card. Do people not remember that the fight was very competitive, and it was a BS stoppage? Askren wasn't controlling him vert well at all, and was close to being subbed himself... He will probably win, but -535? That is just straight up stupid.

Hornbuckle, on the other hand is fighting a guy that got a gift decision in round one, and was fighting a fighter several tiers below Hornbuckle. Carl is probably going to try to wrestle his way to a decision, which I guess is possible... But Hornbuckle has a slick ground game and very good striking. And he is huge, while Carl is small.