Strikeforce Challengers 8

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  • MMA_scientist
    Senior Member
    • Nov 2009
    • 9857

    Strikeforce Challengers 8

    This Friday, hopefully lines will be out today.

    Matchups:
    Matt Lindland vs. Kevin Casey
    Tyron Woodley vs. Nathan Coy
    Roger Bowling vs. Bobby Voelker
    Tarec Saffiedine vs. Nate Moore
    Bryan Travers vs. Pat Healy


    Lindland could be worth a bet if he opens low because he has looked terrible. Coy has already beaten 3 very good wrestlers in Jesse Taylor, Rick Story, and Mike Pierce. But Woodley is a beast. I suspect he will be like -300 or so though.
    2012: +19.33
    2012 Parlay project: +16.5u
  • Mr. IWS
    215 Hustler
    • Sep 2006
    • 98662

    #2
    Re: Strikeforce Challengers 8

    If the line is reasonable, Ill be all over Woodly, but he will probably be like -500 and up.
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    Comment

    • ManBoobKilla
      Senior Member
      • May 2010
      • 185

      #3
      Re: Strikeforce Challengers 8

      what about kevin casey? I think he is a good under dog bet. He could surprise a lot of people here

      Comment

      • MMA_scientist
        Senior Member
        • Nov 2009
        • 9857

        #4
        Re: Strikeforce Challengers 8

        All I know about Casey is that he is a bjj brown belt under Rickson... but he is 3-1. Lindland has been submission prone, but I would need to see more of his game. Lindland is not going to just go out and give up his arm. He has fought plenty of bjj fighters and not been subbed. Unless Casey is a big dog, I probably won't bet it.
        2012: +19.33
        2012 Parlay project: +16.5u

        Comment

        • ManBoobKilla
          Senior Member
          • May 2010
          • 185

          #5
          Re: Strikeforce Challengers 8

          Originally posted by MMA_scientist
          All I know about Casey is that he is a bjj brown belt under Rickson... but he is 3-1. Lindland has been submission prone, but I would need to see more of his game. Lindland is not going to just go out and give up his arm. He has fought plenty of bjj fighters and not been subbed. Unless Casey is a big dog, I probably won't bet it.
          I think I will make a play on casey. Rickson brown belt means legit black belt usually. The only problem I see is him getting lindland to the ground. Maybe we will see lindland take casey down like he did Jacare lol

          Comment

          • MMA_scientist
            Senior Member
            • Nov 2009
            • 9857

            #6
            Re: Strikeforce Challengers 8

            Lindland's standup is nothing to write home about. His gameplan is probably going to be to clinch and do some dirty boxing.
            2012: +19.33
            2012 Parlay project: +16.5u

            Comment

            • ManBoobKilla
              Senior Member
              • May 2010
              • 185

              #7
              Re: Strikeforce Challengers 8

              Originally posted by MMA_scientist
              Lindland's standup is nothing to write home about. His gameplan is probably going to be to clinch and do some dirty boxing.
              Maybe Casey can pull guard from the clinch or something

              Comment

              • Ludo
                Senior Member
                • Jan 2010
                • 4931

                #8
                Re: Strikeforce Challengers 8

                I wouldn't call Lindland submission prone really. He's only been submitted three times in his entire career by Jacare, Fedor(who outweighs him by about 30-40lbs), and Murilo Bustamante. Those are pretty credible grapplers to say the least. I don't see Lindland getting submitted unless he really leaves something out there. I can see Lindland controlling the pace and bullying this guy around with double underhooks against the cage, Lindland from top control is a scary thing though. Assuming the line isn't crazy on Lindland I'll probably be on him.
                2013: +8.24u(increased unit size on 5/19)
                Favorites: 20-6 + 6.13u
                Underdogs: 10-19 -2.51u
                Ludo's Locks Parlay Project: +1.4u

                2012: +20.311u

                Comment

                • JAB
                  Junior Member
                  • May 2010
                  • 9

                  #9
                  Re: Strikeforce Challengers 8

                  Don't write Nate Coy off too much. If he is a big dawg there is value there. He has trained/sparred with woodley numerous times and from what he told me he wasn't too impressed.

                  Comment

                  • MMA_scientist
                    Senior Member
                    • Nov 2009
                    • 9857

                    #10
                    Re: Strikeforce Challengers 8

                    Originally posted by JAB
                    Don't write Nate Coy off too much. If he is a big dawg there is value there. He has trained/sparred with woodley numerous times and from what he told me he wasn't too impressed.
                    I suspect he will be about -400. I wouldn't bet the fight either way. Like I said, Casey has already beaten 3 very good wrestlers. Woodley's path to victory isn through the striking, IMO.
                    2012: +19.33
                    2012 Parlay project: +16.5u

                    Comment

                    • JAB
                      Junior Member
                      • May 2010
                      • 9

                      #11
                      Re: Strikeforce Challengers 8

                      Nate is just as good of wrestler IMO. What people fail to realize is Coy was NCAA all-american. Lost to Koscheck for 3/4 at 174lbs.

                      Comment

                      • Ludo
                        Senior Member
                        • Jan 2010
                        • 4931

                        #12
                        Re: Strikeforce Challengers 8



                        Yeah I don't think I'll be on Lindland now.
                        2013: +8.24u(increased unit size on 5/19)
                        Favorites: 20-6 + 6.13u
                        Underdogs: 10-19 -2.51u
                        Ludo's Locks Parlay Project: +1.4u

                        2012: +20.311u

                        Comment

                        • Ludo
                          Senior Member
                          • Jan 2010
                          • 4931

                          #13
                          Re: Strikeforce Challengers 8

                          .7u to win 2.2u on Coy. I meant to only do half that but 5Dimes gave me an error message and then when I redid it from scratch it counted it twice. Bastards.
                          2013: +8.24u(increased unit size on 5/19)
                          Favorites: 20-6 + 6.13u
                          Underdogs: 10-19 -2.51u
                          Ludo's Locks Parlay Project: +1.4u

                          2012: +20.311u

                          Comment

                          • ManBoobKilla
                            Senior Member
                            • May 2010
                            • 185

                            #14
                            Re: Strikeforce Challengers 8

                            .5 u on Casey at +350 and .25u on Coy and Casey parlay

                            Comment

                            • MMA_scientist
                              Senior Member
                              • Nov 2009
                              • 9857

                              #15
                              Re: Strikeforce Challengers 8

                              Originally posted by JAB
                              Nate is just as good of wrestler IMO. What people fail to realize is Coy was NCAA all-american. Lost to Koscheck for 3/4 at 174lbs.
                              Didn't know that... like I said though, should come down to striking, which is why I am not betting. But it sound like there is some value to Coy
                              2012: +19.33
                              2012 Parlay project: +16.5u

                              Comment

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