UFC 123 - Machida/Rampage

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  • SPX
    Senior Member
    • Aug 2009
    • 23875

    #16
    Re: UFC 123 - Machida/Rampage-Bones/Forrest

    Originally posted by sbjj
    As it pertains to Jones, yes, I think Vlad was a tougher matchup. Forrest might beat Vlad if they fought. But Vlad at least brought a tool to the table that I thought might give Jones trouble. Jones will be faster(way) and stronger than Forrest. And he is not near as durable as Vlad IMO.
    What do you think Jones is good up to? And what do you think the line will open at?

    I might take him up to -250. He's probably worth more, but Forrest has a way of pulling upsets and I'm always hesitant to bet against that.

    BTW, it's time you got a suitable avatar. The little area with your name and shit is a barren, avatarless wasteland. Preferably it will have something to do with a ninja. It's kind of a rule for new guys.
    I heart cock

    Comment

    • MMA_scientist
      Senior Member
      • Nov 2009
      • 9857

      #17
      Re: UFC 123 - Machida/Rampage-Bones/Forrest

      I think Vera would give a very good fight to and maybe beat Forrest. I really throught Vera was going to beat Jones. I am done betting against Jones. I am still not betting on him though.

      I don't think Rampage is done at all. IMO, he lost his first fight in 5 years against Rashad. He beat Forrest IMO. Ke has some recent KO's... he only looked bad against Forrest and Jardine. Rashad is good, no shame in that loss. But even then, Rashad wanted nothing to do with striking with him. I see it pretty much like Zy, Machida leg kicks him him and leaps in for the occasional punch, but wins a boring decision. I doubt he wants to bang with Rampage like he did with Rashad. If Machida gets into an exchange like that with Rampage, I think Rampage will turn his lights off.
      2012: +19.33
      2012 Parlay project: +16.5u

      Comment

      • sbjj
        Senior Member
        • May 2010
        • 1418

        #18
        Re: UFC 123 - Machida/Rampage-Bones/Forrest

        Lets break down Rampages last 5 years. Lackluster performance against Dong Sik Yoon. Split decision with Lindland(some think he lost), lackluster win on eastman. Quick KO of Chuck(was it that spectacular looking back now). Close decision over Dan, and a close lose to Forrest. Quick KO of Wand, and then two horrible performances against Jardine(unbelievable when you think about this) and rashad. So he has looked good three times. He stopped 3 fighters(all have questionable beards) out of 10 or so. And failed to stop a few guys that the old(or younger) Jackson would have stopped.

        And yet he is not at least somewhat washed up? i mean we can do the whole subjective argument about this. But for Gods sake, I think everyone can see he has slowed down.

        I just do not see him all of a sudden turning it back on for this fight, especially when IMO he has lost his fire.

        I also believe that the shot that dropped Machida in the second shogun fight was a temple shot that might have dropped anyone. Can Rampage land it, of course he can. Hell, Hughes landed a money shot on Ricardo, but i am not willing to bet on it.

        Comment

        • Mr. IWS
          215 Hustler
          • Sep 2006
          • 98673

          #19
          Re: UFC 123 - Machida/Rampage-Bones/Forrest

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          • zY|
            Senior Member
            • Sep 2009
            • 8385

            #20
            Re: UFC 123 - Machida/Rampage-Bones/Forrest

            That's Rashad.
            Triple-six killers in this motherfucker runnin shit

            Comment

            • Mr. IWS
              215 Hustler
              • Sep 2006
              • 98673

              #21
              Re: UFC 123 - Machida/Rampage-Bones/Forrest

              Originally posted by zY|
              That's Rashad.
              They all look alike to me.
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              Comment

              • Thewiseman
                Senior Member
                • Feb 2010
                • 510

                #22
                Re: UFC 123 - Machida/Rampage-Bones/Forrest

                Bones is good all the way up to whatever part of your bankroll you feel comfortable betting. Ill take him - whatever.

                Comment

                • Ludo
                  Senior Member
                  • Jan 2010
                  • 4931

                  #23
                  Re: UFC 123 - Machida/Rampage-Bones/Forrest

                  Originally posted by SPX
                  Originally posted by sbjj
                  As it pertains to Jones, yes, I think Vlad was a tougher matchup. Forrest might beat Vlad if they fought. But Vlad at least brought a tool to the table that I thought might give Jones trouble. Jones will be faster(way) and stronger than Forrest. And he is not near as durable as Vlad IMO.
                  What do you think Jones is good up to? And what do you think the line will open at?

                  I might take him up to -250. He's probably worth more, but Forrest has a way of pulling upsets and I'm always hesitant to bet against that.

                  BTW, it's time you got a suitable avatar. The little area with your name and shit is a barren, avatarless wasteland. Preferably it will have something to do with a ninja. It's kind of a rule for new guys.
                  I never had to put a ninja up...
                  2013: +8.24u(increased unit size on 5/19)
                  Favorites: 20-6 + 6.13u
                  Underdogs: 10-19 -2.51u
                  Ludo's Locks Parlay Project: +1.4u

                  2012: +20.311u

                  Comment

                  • Luke
                    10 year vet
                    • Oct 2006
                    • 30060

                    #24
                    Re: UFC 123 - Machida/Rampage-Bones/Forrest

                    Originally posted by LudoCain
                    [
                    I never had to put a ninja up...

                    Nor have I
                    2015 MMA BETTING CHAMP


                    Comment

                    • SPX
                      Senior Member
                      • Aug 2009
                      • 23875

                      #25
                      Re: UFC 123 - Machida/Rampage-Bones/Forrest

                      Originally posted by LudoCain
                      I never had to put a ninja up...
                      I think you came during the lull in ninja action. There was a time when almost all of us had ninja avatars. Luke was the only asshole who refused to do it.
                      I heart cock

                      Comment

                      • MMA_scientist
                        Senior Member
                        • Nov 2009
                        • 9857

                        #26
                        Re: UFC 123 - Machida/Rampage-Bones/Forrest

                        I was a loyal ninja AV supporter... I think a ninja AV is kind of a must for sucess in wagering.
                        2012: +19.33
                        2012 Parlay project: +16.5u

                        Comment

                        • Ludo
                          Senior Member
                          • Jan 2010
                          • 4931

                          #27
                          Re: UFC 123 - Machida/Rampage-Bones/Forrest

                          Originally posted by sbjj
                          Lets break down Rampages last 5 years. Lackluster performance against Dong Sik Yoon. Split decision with Lindland(some think he lost), lackluster win on eastman. Quick KO of Chuck(was it that spectacular looking back now). Close decision over Dan, and a close lose to Forrest. Quick KO of Wand, and then two horrible performances against Jardine(unbelievable when you think about this) and rashad. So he has looked good three times. He stopped 3 fighters(all have questionable beards) out of 10 or so. And failed to stop a few guys that the old(or younger) Jackson would have stopped.

                          And yet he is not at least somewhat washed up? i mean we can do the whole subjective argument about this. But for Gods sake, I think everyone can see he has slowed down.

                          I just do not see him all of a sudden turning it back on for this fight, especially when IMO he has lost his fire.

                          I also believe that the shot that dropped Machida in the second shogun fight was a temple shot that might have dropped anyone. Can Rampage land it, of course he can. Hell, Hughes landed a money shot on Ricardo, but i am not willing to bet on it.

                          Clearly when Rampage is without distraction and can really get fired up about who he's fighting he wrecks guys. Also, lets not act like a guy who's only career knockout losses are to Cro Cop, Rampage, and Dan Henderson has a weak chin all of a sudden. Rampage has definitely lost the fire and his biggest problem has always been motivation to get into the gym, as well as a lack of work ethic. The smart money will be on Machida but depending on the odds Rampage may be the "right side". We don't know if Machida will come out gunshy after suffering his first loss by horrific knockout only to find himself across from a man who has made a career out of brutalizing people with his hands.
                          2013: +8.24u(increased unit size on 5/19)
                          Favorites: 20-6 + 6.13u
                          Underdogs: 10-19 -2.51u
                          Ludo's Locks Parlay Project: +1.4u

                          2012: +20.311u

                          Comment

                          • Ludo
                            Senior Member
                            • Jan 2010
                            • 4931

                            #28
                            Re: UFC 123 - Machida/Rampage-Bones/Forrest

                            Originally posted by MMA_scientist
                            I was a loyal ninja AV supporter... I think a ninja AV is kind of a must for sucess in wagering.
                            Then explain SPX's recent woes(excluding the Anderson Silva parlay).
                            2013: +8.24u(increased unit size on 5/19)
                            Favorites: 20-6 + 6.13u
                            Underdogs: 10-19 -2.51u
                            Ludo's Locks Parlay Project: +1.4u

                            2012: +20.311u

                            Comment

                            • SPX
                              Senior Member
                              • Aug 2009
                              • 23875

                              #29
                              Re: UFC 123 - Machida/Rampage-Bones/Forrest

                              Originally posted by LudoCain
                              Then explain SPX's recent woes(excluding the Anderson Silva parlay).
                              Nigga, you must have me confused with someone else.
                              I heart cock

                              Comment

                              • Luke
                                10 year vet
                                • Oct 2006
                                • 30060

                                #30
                                Re: UFC 123 - Machida/Rampage-Bones/Forrest

                                Originally posted by LudoCain
                                Originally posted by MMA_scientist
                                I was a loyal ninja AV supporter... I think a ninja AV is kind of a must for sucess in wagering.
                                Then explain SPX's recent woes(excluding the Anderson Silva parlay).
                                that is Zak
                                2015 MMA BETTING CHAMP


                                Comment

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