UFC 127

[SPX]

At those odds, I am also thinking Siver. They've both been doing well. Sot has the bigger wins for sure, but I think he should be more like -170.

If money comes in on Sot then I will end up betting Siver.

[poopoo333]

Imo just because they have both been doing good doesn't mean Siver has a good shot of winning. I don't think siver's style matches up with george's at all

[SPX]

Imo just because they have both been doing good doesn't mean Siver has a good shot of winning. I don't think siver's style matches up with george's at all

George was getting outstruck in his fight by J-Lau. That means Siver can do the same. And he also has above average TDD.

So while I also favor George, I don't think his line should be that damn high.

[poopoo333]

I agree his line is a little high. I guess I am just starting to bet fights I am really confident in regardless of the line (under -400)

[SPX]

That shit can get you in trouble.

It tends to backfire on me more often than not and I lose more than I should.

Then again, if you're REALLY confident and feel the fighter wins 75%-80% of the time then you can justify it.

[edman5555]

Well I'm not sure I favor Siver but I think George is basically limited to his ground game in this fight. If he can't get it to the ground then he loses. He does not hit hard at all. Siver looks like he might be hard to take to the ground too but I would expect George to get him there at some point. What if Siver pops right back up? Can he do it repeatidly? I'm not sure. I think if it stays standing, George will be in trouble. I probably won't bet it, but if I do it will only be for a unit or two. Maybe a TKO bet.

[zY|]

Well I'm not sure I favor Siver but I think George is basically limited to his ground game in this fight. If he can't get it to the ground then he loses. He does not hit hard at all. Siver looks like he might be hard to take to the ground too but I would expect George to get him there at some point. What if Siver pops right back up? Can he do it repeatidly? I'm not sure. I think if it stays standing, George will be in trouble. I probably won't bet it, but if I do it will only be for a unit or two. Maybe a TKO bet.

Seriously? I seem to recall George working a great stiff jab and pounding the crap out of Pellegrino on the feet.

[edman5555]

Don't forget Pellegrino is a wrestler, Siver is a former professional kickboxer. In addition, Pellegrino dropped him with a knee at the end of round 3. Right before the buzzer. Dropped him.

[zY|]

I don't care what Siver used to be, his striking ain't all that in MMA. It just seems preposterous that he'll TKO George in 8 seconds if he stands with him. I'm sure he can more than hold his own.

[SPX]

Don't forget Pellegrino is a wrestler, Siver is a former professional kickboxer. In addition, Pellegrino dropped him with a knee at the end of round 3. Right before the buzzer. Dropped him.

To play the devil's advocate, Pellegrino's been coached by Florian and his striking has been looking solid enough for a while now, and Siver got outstruck by Pearson.

[SPX]

I don't care what Siver used to be, his striking ain't all that in MMA. It just seems preposterous that he'll TKO George in 8 seconds if he stands with him. I'm sure he can more than hold his own.

I don't know that I'd say "preposterous." It's certainly possible. Siver caught Winner in the first round and rocked his shit bad enough to rush in and get the choke. Could that punch have done the same to George?

[edman5555]

Fast forward to the 45 second mark.

http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=9Ifgj8WXp8w&feature=related

[SPX]

Ha ha!

[edman5555]

Try the 30 second mark here. Then the 45 second mark.

http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=z36iEZxxt40&feature=related

[SPX]

These overseas cards are always stacked with shitty fighters.

What shitty fighters?