UFC 127

[edman5555]

I havent seen one yet. Fitch by decision was at -122 before. I should have grabbed it.

[Luke]

Facebook to Stream "UFC 127: Penn vs. Fitch" Preliminary Bouts - http://5thRound.com/CFM

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[Luke]

Oh shit. Did not see that. Lucky I haven't pulled the trigger yet. Good save.

I really hope you two are joking .......if not .........insertdoublefacePalm.jpg

[edman5555]

Fitch by decision is not enough of an improvement over his line for me (but I think the whole line is off). But he is -200, but only -150 to win by decision. There is always the possiblity that BJ "hurts himself" again and lets himself get pounded out.

Pearson/Fisher goes the distance is likely, but where are you seeing a line for that?

I don't know. I can see why you say the whole line is off but the only way I see fitch winning is by decision so I might as well bet that if I bet Fitch at all. I really doubt BJ gets injured, if you were serious about that. I think Fitch can outwrestle BJ. BJ KO'd Hughes but IMO Hughes is getting old/disinterested. He was getting tagged on the feet by Renzo in the first round of their fight. BJ is always game, no doubt about that.

[edman5555]

Been watcing Brian Ebersole vs Hector Lombard. Ebersole is pretty tough.

[edman5555]

Ebersole has 62 fights by the way. I don't know if he can win, probably not but he seems like he can put up a fight. He has 9 losses by submission but 1 is from punches(Hector Lombard). 5 are pre 2002 and he hasnt been submitting by a grappling move since 2005.

[MMA_scientist]

I don't think Lytle is that great, just really hard to stop. I think his "boxing" is sloppy as hell and overrated. He has a very good ground, but his takedowns are not very good. I don't know anything about Ebersole, but no way I would bet Lytle at -400 or whatever he is.

I agree that Fitch won't stop BJ. BJ is very hard to stop, and Fitch doesn't have a lot of ways to finish any one, much less BJ. I just think the fight is more like 1:1 than 2:1, which is why I said the line is off. I actually think BJ will beat him. IMO BJ will take round 1, he can stuff anyone's takedowns for 1 round.

[edman5555]

Yeah Fitch has had trouble with guys before that have had good Takedown D. He commonly loses a round in a fight. I wonder if BJ can take 2 rounds. His standup and BJJ are better than Fitchs

[poopoo333]

Undercard lines are out

[MMA_scientist]

Nothing to see here.

[poopoo333]

^^I bet Gustafsson. He is the better striker, and I think he will hold his own in the grappling, or may be even better. Gustafsson was even stuffing Phil Davis for awhile, but then he went full retard and tried to take Davis down. Gustafsson is now training with Phil Davis and that crew too.

[trotterz]

thanks for the info, just have to wait for sportbet and 5dimes to get the lines

[poopoo333]

Fukuda may be worth a bet too if he gets to underdog odds.

[trotterz]

^^I bet Gustafsson. He is the better striker, and I think he will hold his own in the grappling, or may be even better. Gustafsson was even stuffing Phil Davis for awhile, but then he went full retard and tried to take Davis down. Gustafsson is now training with Phil Davis and that crew too.

I have been waiting a long time for that line to come out. Gustafsson in a beast, completely, it is going to be probably my only bet on that card.

[MMA_scientist]

^^I bet Gustafsson. He is the better striker, and I think he will hold his own in the grappling, or may be even better. Gustafsson was even stuffing Phil Davis for awhile, but then he went full retard and tried to take Davis down. Gustafsson is now training with Phil Davis and that crew too.

Is he the better striker? Tehuna has the best win between them (Igor). I agree Gustaffson looks like he has done work on his wrestling, just don't know how much of a factor it will be

I agree he is a favorite, but I don't think he is worth -275