UFC 128 Newark, NJ March 19 Rua vs Jones

[SPX]

Goddamn. Bookmaker, Bodog, and Sportsbook fail so fucking HARD!

[poopoo333]

Goddamn. Bookmaker, Bodog, and Sportsbook fail so fucking HARD!

Yeah, are you gonna take Marquardt if he is still under -280? I hope he gets back to -350 I want to get Miller @+250

[SPX]

Yeah, are you gonna take Marquardt if he is still under -280? I hope he gets back to -350 I want to get Miller @+250

I will, yes. 5u.

Now if only they would OPEN THE FUCKING LINE before the line shifts again. Because I honestly wouldn't be surprised to see Marquardt hit -500 by fight night.

[Luke]

you all are laying -350 on not to go the distance?

[MMA_scientist]

^ I did.

[MMA_scientist]

^ I did.

I might hedge that out though... now that I think about it. Rua is tough to finish even when he is a rag doll. Jones has never gone 5 rounds... i think it may be a little steep.

[edman5555]

The problem with that is Shoguns takedown defense is not very good and Jones has the best takedowns+GNP at light heavyweight. He breaks peoples faces. If Shogun is on his back he will be taking a lot of that. I hear what your saying though, he is very tough but how much can he humanely take? He could get subbed by JJ too..On the flip side of that coin Shogun has amazing striking and good BJJ. He can end it at any time.

[sbjj]

Just my opinion. But I think it is INSANE laying money on round props-Over/Unders when they are priced that high.

[Luke]

Just my opinion. But I think it is INSANE laying money on round props-Over/Unders when they are priced that high.

+1



I'm not saying this does go to a decision I just think thats a high price to pay

[sbjj]

Yea, I think it has a better chance of ending inside the distance. But you can find round props like this all the time in Boxing. And I have just seen so many of them go against the common opinion.

What if Jones kicks the crap out of Rua for 3 rounds, then begins to tire. So he just takes him down the last 2 rounds and smothers him. Not saying that is the way I see it happening. But I do not think it is a far out prediction.

[MMA_scientist]

The problem with that is Shoguns takedown defense is not very good and Jones has the best takedowns+GNP at light heavyweight. He breaks peoples faces. If Shogun is on his back he will be taking a lot of that. I hear what your saying though, he is very tough but how much can he humanely take? He could get subbed by JJ too..On the flip side of that coin Shogun has amazing striking and good BJJ. He can end it at any time.

I don't know how much damage he will take. He may be on his back, but I don't think he will eat too many shots (until he gasses).

[MMA_scientist]

+1



I'm not saying this does go to a decision I just think thats a high price to pay

I got excited and pulled the trigger. I am going to hedge it out at least 2u. I am going to wait though, because I think I might get an arb opp on it.

[SPX]

FINALLY!

4u on Marquardt at -300. Would do 5 but that's everything in my BM account.

Now Sportsbook needs to open some lines so I can get on some of these other motherfuckers.

[edman5555]

Yea, I think it has a better chance of ending inside the distance. But you can find round props like this all the time in Boxing. And I have just seen so many of them go against the common opinion.

What if Jones kicks the crap out of Rua for 3 rounds, then begins to tire. So he just takes him down the last 2 rounds and smothers him. Not saying that is the way I see it happening. But I do not think it is a far out prediction.

Yeah you could be right. Your all making me nervous.

[edman5555]

I'm not going to arb out. I do ok going with my gut. I still think I am right. We'll see. 9.375u on it.