2011 Off topic thread(basketball,movies,etc whatever)

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  • Svino
    Senior Member
    • Mar 2010
    • 3873

    #3766
    I once saw a Sherdog poster claim that they had done an analysis of fight statistics and determined that a fight is about equally likely to end in any given minute that it is active, for the first 12 minutes, and after that it drops sharply. They said they looked at both 3 and 5 round fights.

    I couldn't see their data, nor I do know what fights were in their sample, but it sounds very plausible.

    Comment

    • Luke
      10 year vet
      • Oct 2006
      • 30060

      #3767
      Originally posted by edman5555
      Well i work a fulltime job making pretty decent money. I should be able to conceal any winnings by transfering the money in small amounts then correct? I do it by check though. Any tips for doing it a better way?

      My brother had to move 120k at once . I had him open 3 saving accounts and pull his money out 2-3k at a time,by check, rotating each withdraw check between the 3 accounts.

      Also made sure he was withdrawing very odd amounts , dont withdraw 2,000 or 3,000 withdraw 2748.37 or 3196.14 ....something odd that looks like a paycheck . You won't get reported for 2-3k checks but the banks may think its suspicious activity and close your account . I also told him if anyone asked what the checks where for to just say "work" . Once each check would clear he'd withdraw 400 per day using his ATM card until all the money was out of his account , he kept it in my dad's safe.

      I don't know for a fact if its ok or not to leave that kind of money in your bank account so I just had him take it out. If you have an extra 5k or less sitting in there I'd think you'd be fine but 40k in 3 accounts worried me so I had him take it out .The money sitting in your accounts is the only thing I'm unsure of ,maybe someone else knows that .
      2015 MMA BETTING CHAMP


      Comment

      • Luke
        10 year vet
        • Oct 2006
        • 30060

        #3768
        Originally posted by poopoo333
        Finishing Rates
        147 - Total fights
        75 - Decisions
        70 - Finishes (48.3% finishing rate)
        45 - Knockouts/TKOs
        25 - Submissions
        2 - Draws
        2 - No Contests

        Class Warfare
        76.9% - Finishing rate in heavyweight fights (10 out of 13)
        65% - Finishing rate in middleweight fights (13 out of 20)
        62.5% - Finishing rate in light-heavyweight fights (10 out of 16)
        48.5% - Finishing rate in lightweight fights (16 out of 33)
        47.4% - Finishing rate in featherweight fights (9 out of 19)
        30.8% - Finishing rate in welterweight fights (8 out of 26)
        23.5% - Finishing rate in bantamweight fights (4 out of 17)
        0% - Finishing rate in catchweight fights (0 out of 1)




        There is more at the link

        Good shit poopoo , saves me from looking the stuff up if I ever made it to it


        147 fights, 284 fighters , 25 submissions

        so there's a 1 in 11.36 chance of a fighter getting a sub . So on average there's about 2 subs every card , interesting for the "not by sub" props
        2015 MMA BETTING CHAMP


        Comment

        • poopoo333
          MMA *********
          • Jan 2010
          • 18302

          #3769
          I just had a quick thought about main event fights and how they usually end (by sub, KO, or decision more often?)..small sample size for now but since UFC 100:

          UFC 101: Penn RNC Florian
          UFN Diaz vs Guillard: Diaz guillotine Guillard
          UFC 109: Couture RNC Coleman
          UFN Florian Vs Gomi: Florian RNC Gomi
          TUF 11 Finale: Court McGee RNC Kris McCray
          UFC 116: Brock Lesnar arm triangle Shane Carwin
          UFC 117: Anderson Silva triangle Chael Sonnen

          Out of 46 main event fights, only 7 ended by sub...so around 15%. And out of those main events, imo I don't think ANY of us would have bet a "not *insert name here* by sub" prop bet except MAYBE the Brock Lesnar one.

          Comment

          • Ludo
            Senior Member
            • Jan 2010
            • 4931

            #3770
            I probably would have taken all the guys who got subbed for "not by sub" prop. No way does Guillard sub Diaz, Sonnen sub Anderson, Florian sub Penn, or Coleman sub Couture.
            2013: +8.24u(increased unit size on 5/19)
            Favorites: 20-6 + 6.13u
            Underdogs: 10-19 -2.51u
            Ludo's Locks Parlay Project: +1.4u

            2012: +20.311u

            Comment

            • flyinggogoplata
              Banned
              • Jun 2011
              • 1048

              #3771
              Originally posted by zY|
              LOL

              Sycophant.
              ok look zy owns a thesaurus.

              Comment

              • flyinggogoplata
                Banned
                • Jun 2011
                • 1048

                #3772


                man thats brutal, I'm a two strip white belt and I could tell that she was out way before the stoppage.

                Comment

                • poopoo333
                  MMA *********
                  • Jan 2010
                  • 18302

                  #3773
                  holy shit
                  Last edited by poopoo333; 07-10-2011, 09:35 AM.

                  Comment

                  • edman5555
                    Senior Member
                    • Apr 2010
                    • 6628

                    #3774
                    Originally posted by Luke
                    My brother had to move 120k at once . I had him open 3 saving accounts and pull his money out 2-3k at a time,by check, rotating each withdraw check between the 3 accounts.

                    Also made sure he was withdrawing very odd amounts , dont withdraw 2,000 or 3,000 withdraw 2748.37 or 3196.14 ....something odd that looks like a paycheck . You won't get reported for 2-3k checks but the banks may think its suspicious activity and close your account . I also told him if anyone asked what the checks where for to just say "work" . Once each check would clear he'd withdraw 400 per day using his ATM card until all the money was out of his account , he kept it in my dad's safe.

                    I don't know for a fact if its ok or not to leave that kind of money in your bank account so I just had him take it out. If you have an extra 5k or less sitting in there I'd think you'd be fine but 40k in 3 accounts worried me so I had him take it out .The money sitting in your accounts is the only thing I'm unsure of ,maybe someone else knows that .
                    another option is to put it into a safety deposit box in a bank. That might be a good idea. Or spread the money out. If your dads safe gets robbed he is screwed. It would be good to spread it out into like 5 different safety boxes.
                    1 unit = 300 $

                    Comment

                    • poopoo333
                      MMA *********
                      • Jan 2010
                      • 18302

                      #3775
                      I ended up buying a $2 scratch off last night after a scratch off hiatus and won $100.

                      Comment

                      • flyinggogoplata
                        Banned
                        • Jun 2011
                        • 1048

                        #3776
                        pix or it didnt happen

                        Comment

                        • Luke
                          10 year vet
                          • Oct 2006
                          • 30060

                          #3777
                          Originally posted by edman5555
                          another option is to put it into a safety deposit box in a bank. That might be a good idea. Or spread the money out. If your dads safe gets robbed he is screwed. It would be good to spread it out into like 5 different safety boxes.
                          A safety deposit box would be the best idea ,my dad's safe is big (6x6 ft) but still wasnt the ideal thing.

                          If you spread out the money, withdraw odd amounts, use checks,don't use the money for big items, and get a safety deposit you'll be fine
                          2015 MMA BETTING CHAMP


                          Comment

                          • edman5555
                            Senior Member
                            • Apr 2010
                            • 6628

                            #3778
                            yeah i liked your idea of using western union and a fake name. I am still amazed that you can even do that.
                            1 unit = 300 $

                            Comment

                            • poopoo333
                              MMA *********
                              • Jan 2010
                              • 18302

                              #3779
                              Originally posted by flyinggogoplata
                              pix or it didnt happen

                              Comment

                              • poopoo333
                                MMA *********
                                • Jan 2010
                                • 18302

                                #3780
                                Fantasy Brackets for Hypothetical UFC Lightweight Grand Prix


                                If this were to happen, who would you pick to win? I'd pick BJ

                                Comment

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