He'd have to get pretty damn lucky
UFC 129 toronto GSP-Shields
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We will probably get to see Davis' hands in this fight. He will probably get some takedowns, but Brilz is by far the best wrestler Davis has faced. Brilz could win though, it is not inconcievable.2012: +19.33
2012 Parlay project: +16.5uComment
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Yeah he could but it just seems like Davis is the beast version of him. I think Brilz has a decent guillotine, if I remember correctly. It may have been him getting caught in it over and over in the nog fight but I think he grabbed at least one that looked close.1 unit = 300 $Comment
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A light-heavyweight bout between Jason Brilz (18-3-1 MMA, 3-2 UFC) and Vladimir Matyushenko (25-5 MMA, 6-3 UFC) is being finalized for April's UFC 129 event in Toronto.
Sources close to the event today told MMAjunkie.com (www.mmajunkie.com) that verbal agreements are in place and that bout agreements are being finalized.
Brilz initially was a replacement for Matt Hamill and expected to fight Phil Davis at the show. But Davis recently was pulled from the card and booked for a UFC Fight Night 24 headliner with Antonio Rogerio Nogueria.
UFC 129 takes place April 29 at Toronto's Rogers Centre and has already broken box-office records for a North American MMA event with 55,000 tickets sold and a live-gate tally of approximately $11 million.
The night's main card airs on pay-per-view, though it's not clear if Brilz vs. Matyushenko will retain its spot on the televised lineup.
Brilz was expected to meet Matyushenko this past November at UFC 122 before a back injury forced him to pull out of the overseas show.
In his most recent octagon appearance, Brilz stepped up on short notice against Antonio Rogerio Nogueira at UFC 114. The full-time firefighter and part-time wrestling coach made the most of the opportunity and dominated the former PRIDE star on the mat during the 15-minute encounter. Although he tired later in the fight, Brilz appeared to have done enough to eek out a decision victory. Nogueira, though, won the bout on two of the three judges' scorecards, which resulted in many boos. Despite the loss, the Midwesterner is 13-2-1 over his past 16 fights going back to 2002.
Matyushenko, meanwhile, is in his second stint in the UFC, and it's been a productive one. His only loss in the four fights came to upcoming title challenger Jon Jones. The Belarusian recently rebounded from that defeat with an impressive first-round TKO of Alexandre Ferreira at UFC 122. It was Matyushenko's fourth win in his past five fights and moved him to 14-2 since 2005.Comment
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But I do agree that Aldo should win.
In fact, UFC 129 has a lot of big favorites that I think might be worth the money -- Machida, Aldo, and GSP.I heart cockComment
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