TUF 13 Finale

[Luke]

Remember, this is at the palms so the cage will be smaller than normal, and I can easily see Guida taking a couple rounds by smothering Pettis.

Why would the cage be smaller?

[edman5555]

honestly i think pettis might win this the more that i think about it. Guida is on a 3 fight win streak but Guggerty isn't that great as far as i know and dos anjos was doing really well against him up until the jaw injury ( i know he won the fight but sherdog and junkie gave both rounds 1 and 2 to dos anjos). Florian picked him apart by having superior striking + decent takedown defense. Pettis should be the better striker in this and he seems to have pretty decent takedown defense. I honestly don't know who wins this one.

[poopoo333]

I think Pettis will mix it up with takedowns of his own as well.

[Thewisemann]

Yes, it is a smaller cage

[edman5555]

who knows but I cant see betting anything on this. I dont think guida will knock out pettis, he probably wont submit him but that wouldnt shock me because he was been working his ground game a lot. pettis wont knock out guida but he could submit him. Either one could get submitted, or it could go the distance. Tough to say, i guess guida could relentlessy push for the takedown and get it but I am not confident in it.

[SPX]

I see Guida's chances at submitting Pettis at nothing more than 5%.

[Thewisemann]

I was watching Maia/Grove the other day, Rogan stated the cage was smaller there.

[poopoo333]

For the Guida by decision backers, go get it on 5 dimes... +247

[MMA_scientist]

What does everyone like bet-wise for this card. There will be some more lines after the season is complete on Wednesday. We are probably looking at Ramsey vs. Ferguson for the TUF finale, then a few other lines for matchups.

As for the announced fights, I like Grispi to around -250 to beat Roop. i am also interested in Duran, who nearly upset Mizugaki when I bet on Miz to beat him. I am mildly interested in Jorgenson over Stone and Stephens over Downes. Guida/Pettis is too hard to call for me. I don't know enough about Maldonado, but it is hard to bet against a guy who has losses to "unknown fighter" on his record. I think Hermann/Credeur could go either way, I would consider either man as a significant dog.

What are y'all looking at?

[Mr. IWS]

The only thing Im leaning towards is Guida for now.

[edman5555]

The only one I will probably be on so far is Grispi. I don't think Roop is very good.

[SPX]

I've already got dat cash on Pettis.

We'll see what Grispi comes in at. I think -250 is too high. I was more thinking -170 tops.

[MMA_scientist]

The only one I will probably be on so far is Grispi. I don't think Roop is very good.

I don't either, he is tough, but I don't see any advantage for him in this fight. I am hoping Grispi's line is down because of his poor showing in his last fight. But he will probably be too pricey for me.

[MMA_scientist]

I've already got dat cash on Pettis.

We'll see what Grispi comes in at. I think -250 is too high. I was more thinking -170 tops.

How can Roop win? I don't see any path to victory for him. I am terrible at guessing opening lines, but I think he will be right in that are, -200 to -250. Grispi was on the fast track to a title shot until his most recent outing. I mean, he beat Hominick decisively not long ago.

[edman5555]

the line on grispi will probably suck though. I am pretty much expecting that.