Bellator 39

[BillyPilgrim]

I feel good about it, I may hedge it out to 1u, because Nazare has not fought since 2009. Veach has been active and fighting good comp. But stylistically, Veach should have problems.

[BillyPilgrim]

Let me repeat the question: What do you (the plural "you") think about Alvarez/Curran?

[BillyPilgrim]

mini-wisemann:

.25u to win 1.3u

Strikeforce Fighting 1002 Justin Wilcox -300* vs Rodrigo Damm
Pending 4/2/11 8:00pm Bellator Fighting 2002 Eddie Alvarez -485* vs Pat Curran
Pending 4/2/11 8:00pm Bellator Fighting 2202 Patricky Freire -145* vs Toby Imada
Pending 4/2/11 8:00pm Bellator Fighting 2302 Ben Saunders -610* vs Matt Lee
Pending 4/2/11 7:00pm Bellator Fighting 2401 Rene Naraze +100* vs Matt Veach



lock.

[poopoo333]

Pat Curran is like Joey Beltran. He always wins when you think he is going to lose. I think Alvarez will win easily but I'd only put it in a parlay

[BillyPilgrim]

^^ I was considering a parlay with Saunders, but decided to pass, the price is too steep on Alvarez against a credible opponent. I just did my mini-wisemann instead. Feel free to call out the parlay buster in that line-up.

[BillyPilgrim]

.1u to win 1.55u

Pending 4/2/11 12:30am Strikeforce Fighting 1002 Justin Wilcox -300* vs Rodrigo Damm
Pending 4/9/11 9:00pm Strikeforce Fighting 1201 Lyle Beerbohm +165* vs Shinya Aoki
Pending 4/2/11 8:00pm Bellator Fighting 2002 Eddie Alvarez -485* vs Pat Curran
Pending 4/2/11 8:00pm Bellator Fighting 2202 Patricky Freire -145* vs Toby Imada
Pending 4/2/11 8:00pm Bellator Fighting 2302 Ben Saunders -610* vs Matt Lee
Pending 4/2/11 7:00pm Bellator Fighting 2401 Rene Naraze +100* vs Matt Veach

Lock.

[BillyPilgrim]

Ok, i need to stop.

[edman5555]

How good are Toby Imadas takedowns?

[edman5555]

I threw some money on Pat Freiere. Then his line improved significantly. I hate when that happens. It always makes me want to bet more. He looked really good in his last fight. Toby looked good with his sub win though. That inverted triangle choke thing. I don't know if that really means he is amazing though. I would think Judo gets beat by very good BJJ, unless he is really good at getting top position with it.

[MMA_scientist]

I am banking on Friere's takedowns and takedown defense being at least similar to Patricio's. Patricio stuffed Warren mant times in round1 and even took him down. Seeing as they train together, I am assuming he has some wrestling.

[edman5555]

Well he is supposedly really good on the ground and he did knock out rob mccullough which leads me to believe his standup is really good. I just get a vibe from this guy that says he is really amazing. Same thing with his bro. I put 7u on him already. Might have been a mistake but we'll see. The line moved right after I did it. I got him at -145, now he is -115. Action Junkie move. Toby isn't really that amazing though. He can win though. I think.

[poopoo333]

Freire dominated round 1 against Razor Rob...but then seemed to fade completely in round 2 and lost the round clearly, then IIRC was losing round 3 before getting the KO.

[edman5555]

The thing about Imada is I don't see that he has really done all that well against anyone except MAsvidal. That triangle was so famous I think it is effecting his line tbh. I think he should have got the nod in the Curran fight though. I watched most of that today.

[MMA_scientist]

Freire dominated round 1 against Razor Rob...but then seemed to fade completely in round 2 and lost the round clearly, then IIRC was losing round 3 before getting the KO.

Yeah, and I think Razor Rob would beat Imada too.

[edman5555]

What do you guys think of Rick Hawn/Lyman Good? Hawn seems to be pretty impressive but very new.