UFC 133 : Injuries

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  • MMA_scientist
    Senior Member
    • Nov 2009
    • 9857

    I just pulled the trigger for 6u on:

    Not Rashad/Ebersole/Gustaffson/Akiyama by submission @ -420.

    Tito is very tough to submit, Rashad has never attempted a submission in the UFC, never even attempted it. Lock.
    Hallman has never been subbed in 63 fights. Lock.
    Hammill has never been subbed and those big strong brutish type wrestlers are very hard to submit, even without much training. Gus is going to want to keep it standing.
    Belfort is the only one who has been subbed and is also facing a guy that can submit. But even Vitor has only been subbed once. These vets are hard to submit. They are just too aware. You rarely see the vets getting submitted.

    Anyway, I think well worth the -420 price.


    I considered the same plus "not mendes by sub" also, but Yahya has been guillotined before and those Alpha Male guys all have filthy front chokes. I might add it in on another more risky prop parlay with some distance and ko props.
    2012: +19.33
    2012 Parlay project: +16.5u

    Comment

    • poopoo333
      MMA *********
      • Jan 2010
      • 18302

      Not Hallman by sub has value in one of these parlays....Lytle tried to sub Ebersole like 1,000,000 times and it never happened.

      Comment

      • poopoo333
        MMA *********
        • Jan 2010
        • 18302

        Oh nevermind, Ebersole has been subbed 9 times and Hallman has subbed 38 people. Fuck that.

        Comment

        • sbjj
          Senior Member
          • May 2010
          • 1418

          Originally posted by MMA_scientist
          I just pulled the trigger for 6u on:

          Not Rashad/Ebersole/Gustaffson/Akiyama by submission @ -420.

          Tito is very tough to submit, Rashad has never attempted a submission in the UFC, never even attempted it. Lock.
          Hallman has never been subbed in 63 fights. Lock.
          Hammill has never been subbed and those big strong brutish type wrestlers are very hard to submit, even without much training. Gus is going to want to keep it standing.
          Belfort is the only one who has been subbed and is also facing a guy that can submit. But even Vitor has only been subbed once. These vets are hard to submit. They are just too aware. You rarely see the vets getting submitted.

          Anyway, I think well worth the -420 price.


          I considered the same plus "not mendes by sub" also, but Yahya has been guillotined before and those Alpha Male guys all have filthy front chokes. I might add it in on another more risky prop parlay with some distance and ko props.
          I would not be surprised if Gus. stunned Hamill with puches and then followed him to the ground and chocked him.

          Comment

          • MMA_scientist
            Senior Member
            • Nov 2009
            • 9857

            Originally posted by sbjj
            I would not be surprised if Gus. stunned Hamill with puches and then followed him to the ground and chocked him.
            Could happen. I certainly would not stake my bankroll on it not happening, because Gustaffson does go for submissions. Anything can happen, the question is whether one of those things would happen more than 1 out of 4.2 fights.
            2012: +19.33
            2012 Parlay project: +16.5u

            Comment

            • MMA_scientist
              Senior Member
              • Nov 2009
              • 9857

              FYI, Hallman is on TRT, which probably explains why he suddenly got so much better mid to late career. Expect Hallman to be matching strength with Ebersole.

              TRT is magic. But it is making me want to stop watching MMA.
              2012: +19.33
              2012 Parlay project: +16.5u

              Comment

              • poopoo333
                MMA *********
                • Jan 2010
                • 18302

                I just read that article. Maybe it will heal his lisp.

                Comment

                • edman5555
                  Senior Member
                  • Apr 2010
                  • 6628

                  Originally posted by MMA_scientist
                  FYI, Hallman is on TRT, which probably explains why he suddenly got so much better mid to late career. Expect Hallman to be matching strength with Ebersole.

                  TRT is magic. But it is making me want to stop watching MMA.
                  Yeah I saw him on Inside MMA talking about it. BTW, anyone know how to watch Inside MMA shows without a sub to HDNET? I think they are pretty good.
                  1 unit = 300 $

                  Comment

                  • edman5555
                    Senior Member
                    • Apr 2010
                    • 6628

                    I think when I hit 40, I am going to be on TRT.
                    1 unit = 300 $

                    Comment

                    • edman5555
                      Senior Member
                      • Apr 2010
                      • 6628

                      anyone have any info about akiyamas training camp?
                      1 unit = 300 $

                      Comment

                      • flyinggogoplata
                        Banned
                        • Jun 2011
                        • 1048

                        Originally posted by edman5555
                        anyone have any info about akiyamas training camp?
                        it's in japan.

                        Comment

                        • edman5555
                          Senior Member
                          • Apr 2010
                          • 6628

                          does it involve japanese people?
                          1 unit = 300 $

                          Comment

                          • edman5555
                            Senior Member
                            • Apr 2010
                            • 6628

                            mma kamikaze overdrive. This guy is pretty good. http://forum.sbrforum.com/boxing-mma...edictions.html

                            I think anyone who puts a shitload of effort into mma predictions is worth listening to. He made a good point about the Hendricks/pierce fight. Hendricks lost to story because story outstruck him 2 to 1. Hendricks has beaten anyone he can outwrestle. Pierce doesn't seem to throw a lot of punches. I should probably double check that before I place a bet though.
                            1 unit = 300 $

                            Comment

                            • poopoo333
                              MMA *********
                              • Jan 2010
                              • 18302

                              Comment

                              • Vandelay
                                Senior Member
                                • Nov 2010
                                • 1934

                                Originally posted by edman5555
                                mma kamikaze overdrive. This guy is pretty good. http://forum.sbrforum.com/boxing-mma...edictions.html

                                I think anyone who puts a shitload of effort into mma predictions is worth listening to. He made a good point about the Hendricks/pierce fight. Hendricks lost to story because story outstruck him 2 to 1. Hendricks has beaten anyone he can outwrestle. Pierce doesn't seem to throw a lot of punches. I should probably double check that before I place a bet though.
                                lol that piece of work tried making an argument for hamill being a better striker because he was in the cage with rampage, franklin, and sum1 else. gtfo.

                                Comment

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