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I am sure it is not precisely even, but if it was too far out of whack, the line would drop dramatically. GSP's line has actually improved, so I think that indicates that there is plenty of money on both sides. Over on SD, like half of the people are picking Shields straight up (in the grappling forum). I don't think our forum is a good barometer of what people are betting... we tend to bet the same things a lot, either because we are just that smart, or because we follow each other. I know I was not on GSP but ended up being sold on the 3fight parlay by everyone here.Last edited by MMA_scientist; 04-29-2011, 02:33 PM. -
Even? you dont really believe that do you?
Look at this forum , there's 25+ units worth of bets that have GSP in them and only 1.3 that have Shields does that sound even to you?
edit: Also the line is dropping so thats not encouraging people to put money on ShieldsLast edited by Luke; 04-29-2011, 02:13 PM.Leave a comment:
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No I do not. They need to keep the lines even, hence the need for people to bet Shields. All the money is coming in on GSP.Leave a comment:
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Sorry Vandaley but that sounds like bullshit. Joey Oddessa is a line maker. He probably just wants people to bet on Jake Shields so they can get their asses handed to them.Leave a comment:
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I personally know (well, I don't know him, but we have met and I have rolled with him) GSP's new manager, because he is also Demian's manager. GSP is going to have to be way off his game to lose here IMO. Jake can't knock him out, he can't pound him out, he can't outposition him, he basically has to either just beat him for 3 rounds or guillotine him. I just don't see it.
Side note, we might be bringing GSP in to the gym this year (because we got the hookup now because of his manager)... so yeah.Leave a comment:
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Supposedly GSP's camp and/or management team has been unstable lately. Joey Odessa mentioned it yesterday.Leave a comment:
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Oh I see. So you're crazy.
My confidence in GSP grows by the minute. I am going to be really shocked if he loses. I have less confidence in the other 2 fights, but I really do think it will hit.Leave a comment:
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Honestly, I am just super confident in the parlay, and super super confident in GSP. If it wasn't for my life circumstances, I would be even more kamikazee. Prolly my whole roll on the parlay, and I planned on depositing enough to win at least 10 more units on GSP.Leave a comment:
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Yeash, I am still worried about Machida. But I don't think Couture can stop him, and Machida has shown good sweeps from bottom as well (Nog swept Randy several times). I just hedged my parlay with Couture by decision and I feel ok about that now.Leave a comment:
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Yeah I might add some more. I think GSP, Aldo, Machida and Ellenberger win. Those are the only ones I have any idea about. I am scared to bet Machida. At first I thought his wrestling was amazing but then I realized he has only really stuffed Tito and -300 isn't worth it. Ellenberger at -200 is semi risky as well. I might try a Aldo/GSP/EB/Machida parlay depending on the odds for 1u or so.Leave a comment:
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It is going to hit... but it still a very agressive move, not as aggressive as wisemann's 8u on the triumverate parlay (that's 20% of his bankroll on an even money bet... it is equivalent fo 10u-20u on Diaz or Brilz). But that is not his m.o., I know it is a kamikaze move because of his life circumstances.Leave a comment:
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I might throw 10u on GSP/Aldo. I don't know if I really feel like it though. I would like to just watch one without worrying. On the other hand I will probably regret not betting it because I will winLeave a comment:
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