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2015 MMA BETTING CHAMP
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I just wanted to mention that I put a little underdog bet on O'Brien to beat Jones.
BOL!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!I heart cockComment
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I am looking at Hamman and Cholish for bets. I have been watching Cholish for a little while, I like his style, and the guy he is fighting looks like another bjj guy but he has been fighting weak comp. Cholish has been in bigger fights, he also has the wrestling edge. I like that bet, but it being a UFC debut, the line can't be too steep, I am thinking ro -220 or so. I am looking at Hamman to use his wrestling and basically win a decision like Catone did.
What's everyone thinking? I know everyone is looking at Bocek, it will depend on the line for me. I think he will come in around -175, but who knows.
I like Nog to beat Tito, but I wouldn't be surprised at all to see Tito win a decision with his wrestling. Lil Nog can't beat wrestlers, and Tito is very solid if he can get the takedown. He also has decent striking defense. I think it is Tito or nothing there.
Mir should beat Big Nog again I guess, I really don't know. I don't bet Mir fights anymore, he is too hard to cap.
Jones is -450, which even as dominant as Jones has been, I still won't pay that price. I can't bet Machida either, because how do you bet against Jones at this point. The guy has won every minute of every fight he has had.
No thoughts on Ebersole/Patrick. I think it is close, slight edge to Ebersole for being huge. I think the line is about right.
Hominick should beat KZ IMO. I really don't think KZ is the type of fighter who can wrestle his way to a decision... maybe he can submit him, but that's his only real out IMO. He is going to get picked apart standing, and if Aldo couldn't put him away when he dropped him 4 times, I doubt KZ can.
tl/dr: I like Cholish and Hamman. What are you guys looking at?2012: +19.33
2012 Parlay project: +16.5uComment
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I already have a unit on kz at plus 280. I will be betting Mir pretty big, Probably throw unit on Machida, I like Hamman as well, I was thinking about tito until he started talking retirement. also, maybe not machida by sub, not tito by sub, not nog/mir by sub, not patrick by sub, not hominick by sub if the odds are around -200Comment
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I am going to bet a lot on Hamman probably...I hope his line is good. Probably will be worse than -200 though
Igor might be an OK dog bet against K Sos..I bet K Sos in this fight before it fell apart for UFC 131, but he has had another knee surgery and he is pretty banged up. Listening to an interview he had with Karyn Bryant, he sounded unsure of how much longer he was going to fight because of it's mental and physical toll on him etc etc. He might not be in the best place right now. K Sos' path to victory in this fight is to duplicate Bonnar's gameplan imo
Hallman beats Makdessi unless Makdessi proves to be some T3D/grappling wizard we know nothing about (or if he catches Hallman early). Makdessi throws a lot of kicks too, so that's more chances for Hallman to get the TD. I am worried about Hallman's cut to 155 though..he is old and stuff..it might be tough.
I think Bocek/Lentz might open up close to even, won't even be surprised to see Bocek open as a dog
I have 5u on Lil Nog right now..I don't think Tito can out wrestle him for 2/3 rounds. Tito will probably slow down a lot after the 1st round anyways. I think Lil Nog stuffs him and outboxes him comfortably. He has been preparing for wrestlers since UFC 114 for the most part. Tito is talking retirement and all that stuff...he is probably injured again and we will hear all about it after the fight.Comment
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I have .5u on Machida and 1.25u on Ebersole.
Hominick's line's a bit on the high side right now and it's probably not coming down. So he might go into a parlay.
I'm coming around on Bocek. You really think he will be -175, Scientist? I doubt he will be that high.
I'll take K-sos over Igor if the odds are reasonable.
Not touching Mir/Nog or Tito/Nog.
Everything else will require some more research for me to have an opinion.I heart cockComment
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The only reason I have been so high on Bocek is because I assumed the line would be good. -175 would suck. I probably would not even bet it.
I am starting to think Ebersole is now the play. And I also like Hamman if the price is right. Maybe Jabouin if the price is right also.Comment
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0.25U on Zombie at +300. WhooooootComment
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I am just guessing on the line... which is an art that I have not yet mastered. I am just basing it on Lentz getting destroyed in his last fight and Bocek has been fighting tougher guys. I could be totally wrong, which I usually am on opening lines.
Anyone look at Cholish or his opponent? Cholish is a D1 wrestler (Cornell, I think- but unlike every other sport, the Ivy League is actually really damn good at wrestling), and is training at Renzo Gracie's. His opponent is undefeated, buyt it looks like he has been can smashing, while Cholish has been fighting progressivly stiffer comp. And he usually wins by submission, which will be tough against Cholish.2012: +19.33
2012 Parlay project: +16.5uComment
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Haven't looked at it..I will just tail youComment
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I think Cholish is pretty damn good. But I have never seen Clarke fight. He seems to have a bit of hype behind him. he has a bunch of pics and video on his Facebook page. i am going to watch some of his fights.Comment
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Funny, both seem to be submission fighters. The 2 fights I saw of Cholish he looked real slick and real quick. He also has a nice mix of different subs against decent competition. Clarke has 2 RNC's and 2 Giullotines against what looks like sub par opposition. I wonder Scientist, are these not the easiest subs to apply to outmatched opponents. I remember Colish pulling off an extrememly slick kneebar in a fight I saw of his. I am just wondering if this is a case of one guy being the better BJJ guy even though the records might not indicate that.Comment
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