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It's about discipline. If you set a line/% and really believe that you're right, and you take a worse line, then you've just become a gambler and are playing without an advantage. I'm certainly not saying that I never do that, but I try not to.
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I guess there was value on Cholish @ -215. He is already -350. I really need to put some money in BM account. The feds scared me away and I never went back. The boat, I missed it.2012: +19.33
2012 Parlay project: +16.5uComment
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I think -350 is insane. I am thinking of a small bet on Clarke.Comment
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Yep. I have been burned a couple of times now, but this is by far the worst yet. I just didn't see a need to fund it because half of the time they don't open lines, and much of the time the line holds until 5d or I am on the other side of it. But I am not going to lie, this one hurts, because I am not betting that line. Actually, I may take the other side of it now.2012: +19.33
2012 Parlay project: +16.5uComment
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Hamman is down to -245 @ bookmaker
btw, I don't understand the Hallman line at all. Is it because he is dropping to LW?Comment
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Probably a combo of:
1. Hallman dropping to LW
2. Hallman getting smashed in his last fight
3. Makdessi looking impressive so far w/ solid T3D at least as far as he has been tested in that area
With that said, I think Hallman should be the fave. But I only dropped .5u on him because of the above.I heart cockComment
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I'm leaning on Makdessi over Hallman people.Comment
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The thing that worries me about Hallman(besides 1st cut) is that he just does not seem to take shots very well as of late.Comment
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He is definitely getting older. I don't think Hallman is a lock or anything, but I do think he has value @ +odds.2012: +19.33
2012 Parlay project: +16.5uComment
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Do you feel that way because of the recent knockouts? He was injured in the ebersole fight if you didn't know. The recent knockouts may be because of the step up in comp though it is a good point you made.
I guess what sells me on Hallman is this: He is a much more experienced fighter. He is bigger. He has a very good ground game, Makdessi comes from kickboxing so he probably doesn't.1 unit = 300 $Comment
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I'm with ya Edman, I favor Hallman also. It just seems like he is not taking punishment very well. Being injured would explain alot in regards to the Ebersole. All said, I like Hallman with the + next to his name.Comment
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I was also thinking of taking krystoff but his line is going to shit. I figure he did well against Bonnar the first time and Igor got shut out by him. Also Igor hasn't really been able to handle anyone outside Croatia. Krystoff is pretty solid middle tier fighter who has decent wrestling + striking. He also trains at a very good gym. That said IGor can hit pretty hard. I would have taken Krystoff at -205 where he was at before but i was lazy. I am starting to think he isn't going to move back at all.
I was kinda all in on mir at first but the more I Think about it the more I wonder about Nog. He could be a lot more mobile after these surgeries.
I want to bet Hamman but his line is kinda stinky.1 unit = 300 $Comment
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You just never know what you're going to get with that motherfucker.
Everyone thought he was going to smash Mir when they first fought and we all know what happened. Then everyone thought Couture would kill him and he dominated that fight. Then a lot of people thought he had a good chance again Cain and, well, he didn't. Then everyone said Schaub would win easily and Nog wins by KO.
Fuck that! I'm staying away every time he fights from now on!
Not sure why but I BOLd a little at this.I heart cockComment
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